Kickoff is set for 02:00 GMT+0 on 26/10/2025 at Sky Stadium, Wellington (capacity 34,500). The match official is Daniel Elder (AUS). This is A-League Round 2 football between two sides eager to prove that last season’s struggles are behind them.
Wellington fought back from 0-2 to draw 2-2 away at Perth Glory, while Brisbane opened with a 1-0 win over Macarthur despite finishing with 10 men. With both outfits chasing an early-season reset, expect a committed football contest where Phoenix’s attacking intent meets Roar’s growing defensive discipline.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
This section primes you for form and H2H data below. The Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar prediction today leans on Brisbane’s five-match winning streak (including friendlies) and Phoenix’s weak 2024/25 home output. Wellington created chances at Perth but allowed four big chances the other way. Brisbane’s three away league wins last season suggest their style travels. Angles cluster around Brisbane Draw No Bet and goals markets with protection.
Wellington Phoenix Results
Wellington enter Round 2 off a spirited comeback but still need defensive tightening at home. The recent run mixes competitive and lower-tier cup opposition, plus one friendly. Below are the provided fixtures.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 18.10.25 | AL | Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix | 2-2 | D |
| 19.08.25 | CUP | Heidelberg Utd vs Wellington Phoenix | 4-0 | L |
| 10.08.25 | CUP | Nunawading City vs Wellington Phoenix | 0-1 | W |
| 27.07.25 | CUP | Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix | 1-1 (pen. 7-8) | D/W |
| 19.07.25 | CF | Wellington Phoenix vs Wrexham | 1-0 | W |
Three wins in five show resilience, yet strength of opposition varied. The 0-4 at Heidelberg exposes volatility when pressed aggressively. The 2-2 at Perth featured 71% possession but soft concessions, highlighting balance issues. Phoenix were the league’s lowest home scorers last season (11 in 13). Improvement at Sky Stadium is the key test.
Brisbane Roar Results
Brisbane arrive buoyed by a perfect stretch across preseason and Round 1. Their defensive platform and game management were evident against Macarthur. Provided fixtures below.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 17.10.25 | AL | Brisbane Roar vs Macarthur FC | 1-0 | W |
| 10.09.25 | CF | Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar | 0-8 | W |
| 26.08.25 | CF | Brisbane Roar vs Peninsula | 1-0 | W |
| 24.08.25 | CF | Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners | 2-0 | W |
| 19.08.25 | CF | Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar | 0-7 | W |
Five wins, four clean sheets, and multiple multi-goal victories point to confidence and sharpness. The Macarthur match showed composure under adversity (late 10-man stand). Brisbane’s structure in a 4-2-3-1 looks settled. They also managed three away league wins last term despite a low finish. Momentum and clarity of roles give them a slight edge.
Head-to-Head: Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 14.05.25 | CUP | Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar | 1-0 |
| 26.04.25 | AL | Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix | 1-0 |
| 06.02.25 | AL | Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar | 1-1 |
| 31.03.24 | AL | Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar | 1-0 |
| 02.02.24 | AL | Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix | 1-1 |
Tight, low-scoring pattern (every game ≤2 goals) with no dominant side. Edges often come from single moments or set-pieces. Current form, rather than H2H, should steer betting emphasis.
Projected Football Line-Ups for Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar
These are indicative XI’s to frame likely roles and match-ups across lines.
Wellington Phoenix (3-4-3): Oluwayemi (GK), Smith (DF), Hughes (DF), Sheridan (DF), Loke (MF), Nagasawa (MF), Conchie (MF), Kelly-Heald (MF), Sloane-Rodrigues (FW), Ishige (FW), Brooke-Smith (FW)
Brisbane Roar (4-2-3-1): Bouzanis (GK), Salas (DF), Bility (DF), Herrington (DF), Burke-Gilroy (DF), Klein (MF), O’Shea (MF), Brazete (MF), McGarry (MF), Hore (MF), Long (FW)
Unavailable & Doubtful Players
Squad news impacts depth charts and in-game options.
| Team | Player | Status / Reason |
| Wellington Phoenix | A. Kelly-Heald | Lacking match fitness |
| Wellington Phoenix | T. Payne | Doubtful (injury) |
| Brisbane Roar | N. Amanatidis | Muscle injury |
| Brisbane Roar | B. Halloran | Knee injury |
| Brisbane Roar | A. Ludwik | Groin injury |
| Brisbane Roar | D. Valkanis | Red-card suspension |
If Payne misses out, Phoenix lose pace and 1v1 defending on the flank. Roar’s wide options are thinned by injuries, but their central spine remains intact. Coaching suspension could affect touchline adjustments, not base structure.
Key Factors to Watch Before Betting
Early-season context, travel, and officiating shape risk:
- Brisbane ride a competitive 4-1-0 streak dating back to last season plus a perfect preseason;
- Phoenix scored only 11 home goals in 13 league matches last year; end-product at Sky Stadium is the key question;
- Wellington conceded four big chances at Perth despite 71% possession transition defense remains vulnerable;
- Brisbane collected three away league wins last term: game model generally travels;
- Kelly-Heald’s fitness management caps left-side options; Payne’s status could alter defensive match-ups;
- Elder’s games tend to flow without excessive stoppages; tempo can lift shot volume phases;
- Form trend: Roar clean-sheet profile vs Phoenix’s recent concessions;
- Scheduling pressure is minimal; chemistry and automatisms matter more than rotation.
Free Tips on Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar
Below are practical, deeper suggestions tailored to this fixture:
- Away Game-State Strategy: Roar’s 4-2-3-1 can throttle central progression and funnel Phoenix wide; look for X2 or DNB on Brisbane in pre-match pricing, with a live top-up if Wellington overcommits wing-backs early.
- Half-by-Half Market Angle: If Phoenix start on the front foot at home, consider Draw HT / Brisbane or BTTS in the second half, exploiting Phoenix’s transition gaps after the break.
- Attacking Channels & Player Impact: Hore and Long thrive attacking half-spaces behind Phoenix wing-backs; consider shots-on-target or goal involvement props if available.
- Set-Piece Watch: With Phoenix conceding quality looks recently, Brisbane corners or set-piece-related props gain appeal, especially with O’Shea’s delivery.
- In-Play Totals Management: Should tempo rise under Elder’s management style, a staged entry on Over 2.25/2.5 in-play can reduce variance versus a full pre-match Over.
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Match Prediction 2025: Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar
Brisbane bring clearer structure, sharper edges in transition, and momentum from a five-win run, while Phoenix still reconcile high possession with defensive leakage. Wellington’s historical home output in 2024/25 was underwhelming and their 3-4-3 leaves exploitable space behind wing-backs; Brisbane’s double pivot (Klein/O’Shea) can screen central lanes and spring quick releases into Hore and Long. Phoenix do carry threat especially if they pin Roar deep for spells so completely fading them is risky. The pragmatic stance is Brisbane Draw No Bet, with secondary interest in BTTS or a fractional Over. Relative Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar odds typically shade the hosts at Sky Stadium, but form and match-up tilt value toward the visitors in a protected format.
Our Prediction: Wellington Phoenix 1-2 Brisbane Roar
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Outcome | Brisbane Roar to Win | 2.36 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.66 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.79 |
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