Wales vs Turkey Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – UEFA Nations League

Match prediction for the Wales vs Turkey game at UEFA Nations League 2024.

September 6, 2024 will see the much awaited game between Wales and Turkey scheduled for the Cardiff City Stadium in Cardiff, Wales. The game starts at 18:45 local time; Norwegian referee Saggi R will officiate the match. This meeting marks the first round of the UEFA Nations League – League B, where both teams will try to start their campaigns with a success. Under the revised tournament structure, the 33,280 capacity Cardiff City Stadium is expected to be packed with fervent supporters ready to see their teams in action.

Under Craig Bellamy, who is managing the national team for the first time, Wales has entered a new chapter following a dismal run in the Euro 2024 qualifiers and a string of bad friendly performances. Under Vincenzo Montella, Turkey seeks to capitalize on their recent European success where they made it to the quarterfinals. Both teams have something to prove, thus this game is absolutely must-watch.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Several elements influence this Wales against Turkey prediction today. Under their new manager Craig Bellamy, Wales will be keen to begin his journey on a positive note especially considering their recent challenges in international events. Turkey, fresh from a great performance at Euro 2024, will therefore look to keep up their good form despite some recent difficulties in away games. The game concluded in a 1-1 draw last time these two teams met, which heightens the mystery about this encounter even more. Expect a fiercely competitive game as both teams want to start the UEFA Nations League strong.

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Wales Recent Results

Wales has experienced a turbulent run in their recent matches, reflecting their struggles on the international stage. Below is a summary of their last five games:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
09.06.2024FriendlySlovakia vs Wales4-0L
06.06.2024FriendlyGibraltar vs Wales0-0D
26.03.2024Euro Qual.Wales vs Poland0-1L
21.03.2024Euro Qual.Wales vs Finland4-1W
21.11.2023Euro Qual.Wales vs Turkey1-1D

Wales has struggled to find consistency in their recent performances. They have only one win in their last five matches, a 4-1 victory over Finland in a Euro qualifier. Their most recent game was a heavy 4-0 loss to Slovakia in a friendly, showcasing their defensive vulnerabilities. A goalless draw against Gibraltar also highlighted their lack of attacking prowess. The 1-1 draw against Turkey in their last encounter could provide some confidence, but overall, Wales needs significant improvement.

Turkey Recent Results

Turkey has shown mixed results in their recent outings, displaying both their potential and areas needing improvement. Here is a summary of their last five matches:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
06.07.2024Euro 2024Netherlands vs Turkey2-1L
02.07.2024Euro 2024Austria vs Turkey1-2W
26.06.2024Euro 2024Czech Republic vs Turkey1-2W
22.06.2024Euro 2024Turkey vs Portugal0-3L
18.06.2024Euro 2024Turkey vs Georgia3-1W

The recent form of Turkey has been one of highs and lows. During the Euro 2024, they registered remarkable wins against Austria and the Czech Republic, so highlighting their attacking ability and tenacity. But a 3-0 loss to Portugal and a limited 2-1 loss against the Netherlands exposed their defensive weaknesses against more formidable opponents. Turkey’s three goals against Georgia show how much of a threat their capacity to score goals remains even with these obstacles.

Wales vs Turkey Head-to-Head

Wales and Turkey have faced each other multiple times in recent years, with Turkey holding a slight edge in their encounters. Here are the results from their last five meetings:

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
21.11.2023Euro Qual.Wales vs Turkey1-1
19.06.2023Euro Qual.Turkey vs Wales2-0
16.06.2021Euro Qual.Turkey vs Wales0-2
19.08.1997World CupTurkey vs Wales6-4
13.12.1996World CupWales vs Turkey0-0

The head-to-head results indicate a competitive rivalry between the two teams, with Turkey slightly ahead. The most recent draw in November 2023 highlights the closely matched nature of their encounters. However, Turkey’s 2-0 win in June 2023 demonstrates their capability to dominate Wales, particularly in crucial matches. Wales’ last win over Turkey came in June 2021, which was a convincing 2-0 victory, showcasing their ability to challenge Turkey effectively.

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Wales Probable Lineup

As Wales prepares to kick off their UEFA Nations League campaign under new management, the team is expected to feature a balanced lineup combining experience and youth. Craig Bellamy, in his first competitive match as head coach, will likely opt for a formation that strengthens their defensive line while allowing key players to press forward and create scoring opportunities. Here is the probable lineup for Wales:


Ward (GK), Mepham (CB), Rodon (CB), Davies (CB), Roberts (RWB), James (LWB), Ampadu (CM), Williams (CM), Ramsey (LW), Johnson (RW), Moore (ST)

Probable starting lineup for Wales in the match against Turkey at UEFA Nations League 2024.

Turkey Probable Lineup

Turkey, aiming to build on their successful Euro 2024 run, is expected to field a strong lineup that showcases both experienced veterans and rising stars. Head coach Vincenzo Montella will likely rely on a solid defensive setup complemented by a dynamic midfield and an attacking trio capable of breaking down the Welsh defense. The probable lineup for Turkey is as follows:


Gunok (GK), Muldur (RB), Ayhan (CB), Bardakci (CB), Elmali (LB), Yokuslu (CM), Calhanoglu (CM), Yildiz (RW), Kokcu (CAM), Guler (LW), B. Yilmaz (ST)

Predicted starting lineup for Turkey in the match against Wales at UEFA Nations League 2024.

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

Several key players will be missing from the upcoming match between Wales and Turkey due to injuries or suspensions. The absence of these players could significantly impact the strategies and performance of both teams. Below is a list of the players who will not be available for selection in this match:

Wales PlayerReasonTurkey PlayerReason
Wayne HennesseyInjuryBertug YildirimSuspension
Tom KingNot selectedMerih DemiralSuspension
Joe MorrellNot selectedFerdi KadiogluInjury
Rubin ColwillNot selectedYunus AkgunNot selected
Dan JamesHamstring injuryYusuf YaziciNot selected
Wes BurnsHamstring injury

These absences may force both managers to adjust their tactical approaches and rely on other squad members to fill the gaps. The impact of these missing players could be crucial in determining the outcome of the match, as each team looks to capitalize on their opponent’s weakened areas.

Key Factors to Watch

As both teams prepare for this crucial match, several key factors could influence the outcome:

  • Injury Concerns: Wales will miss key players like Wayne Hennessey and Tom King due to injuries, which could impact their defensive stability;
  • New Management for Wales: Craig Bellamy’s debut as Wales’ manager adds an element of unpredictability to their tactics and lineup;
  • Turkey’s Away Form: Turkey has struggled away from home recently, failing to win any of their last five away matches;
  • Key Players in Focus: Turkey’s young talents, such as Arda Guler and Kenan Yildiz, could be game-changers, while Wales will rely heavily on captain Aaron Ramsey;
  • Wales’ Scoring Woes: Wales has failed to score from open play in five of their last six matches, highlighting their attacking deficiencies;
  • Disciplinary Issues for Turkey: Bertug Yildirim and Merih Demiral are suspended, which could weaken Turkey’s defensive lineup;
  • Past Performance Against Each Other: Recent results show Turkey’s dominance, but Wales has proven they can compete effectively, especially at home;
  • Venue Advantage: Playing at the Cardiff City Stadium, Wales has been unbeaten for over a year in regular time, which could provide a psychological edge.
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Free Tips on Wales vs Turkey

Regarding wagers on the forthcoming game between Wales and Turkey, several important factors should be taken into account that might affect the result of the match. Knowing the numbers and past performance of past interactions can help one to gain important understanding. Bettors can also make better decisions by assessing team form, head-to-head performance, other influencing elements including injuries, tactical approaches, and weather conditions.

  • Head-to-Head Statistics: Analyzing previous encounters between Wales and Turkey reveals a balanced rivalry, with both teams securing important wins. Turkey holds a slight advantage with a more recent victory, but Wales has also managed a draw in their last meeting. Understanding these dynamics can help predict whether this match will be equally competitive or if one team has an edge going into the game.
  • Home vs. Away Performance: Historically, Wales has performed better at home, with an unbeaten streak at Cardiff City Stadium for over a year. Conversely, Turkey has struggled in their last five away matches, failing to secure a single win. This contrast in home and away form suggests that Wales might have a home-field advantage, which could play a crucial role in the outcome of this fixture.
  • Injuries & Suspensions: Key players missing due to injuries or suspensions can significantly impact a team’s performance. For this match, Turkey will be without suspended players Bertug Yildirim and Merih Demiral, while Wales is missing several injured players, including their primary goalkeeper, Wayne Hennessey. Keeping track of these absences is crucial, as they could dictate how both teams line up and perform.
  • Weather Conditions: The weather forecast for Cardiff on match day could influence the game’s pace and style of play. Heavy rain or wind can affect ball movement and the players’ footing, potentially favoring a team with a more defensive or counter-attacking approach. Bettors should consider how these conditions might favor one team’s style over another.
  • Team Motivation and Managerial Changes: Wales enters this match with a new manager, Craig Bellamy, which could bring a fresh tactical approach and renewed motivation. On the other hand, Turkey, under Vincenzo Montella, will aim to build on their Euro 2024 success. Managerial changes can either positively or negatively impact a team’s performance, depending on how well the players adapt to new strategies.

By considering these factors, you can gain a deeper understanding of the potential dynamics of the Wales vs Turkey match and make more informed betting decisions.

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Wales vs Turkey Match Prediction 2024

Given the recent form and key factors at play, the Wales vs Turkey odds suggest a closely contested match. While Wales will benefit from the home advantage and the fresh start under Craig Bellamy, Turkey’s recent performances at the Euro 2024 indicate they have the quality to secure a result. Considering Turkey’s stronger form and Wales’ scoring struggles, a narrow victory for Turkey seems the most likely outcome.

Our Prediction: Wales 1-2 Turkey

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Full-Time ResultTurkey to Win2.8
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.88

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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