Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP prediction 2025 delivers a thrilling Liga Portugal round 15 encounter, where the hosts aim to upset the title-chasing visitors at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Vitoria rides recent momentum with defensive solidity, while Sporting seeks to close the gap at the top. This northern clash blends local pride with championship ambition in a packed stadium.
The match kicks off at 20:45 GMT+0 on Tuesday, December 23, 2025, at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques in Guimarães, a 29,917-capacity venue known for passionate crowds and excellent pitch conditions. Portuguese referee Manuel Nogueira takes charge, averaging 4.7 yellow cards with fair decisions. As round 15 in the Liga Portugal, outcomes here influence title and European qualification races.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP match prediction highlights Sporting’s attacking edge against Vitoria’s home resilience. Bettors eyeing Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP betting tips find value in over goals or Sporting win, given recent scoring trends. Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP prediction today favors the visitors, but hosts’ grit invites caution. Form reviews and H2H patterns ahead sharpen selections. Prepare for insights on totals and handicaps.
Vitoria Guimaraes Results
Vitoria Guimaraes competes in the upper mid-table with home strength offsetting road inconsistencies. Their campaign mixes cup progress with league resilience. Recent results reflect upward trajectory.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Vitoria Guimaraes |
| 17/12/2025 | TP | Vitoria Guimaraes vs AFS | 0-1 | L |
| 13/12/2025 | LP | Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0-1 | W |
| 08/12/2025 | LP | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente | 0-0 | D |
| 04/12/2025 | CUP | FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1-3 | W |
| 28/11/2025 | LP | Vitoria Guimaraes vs AFS | 4-0 | W |
Vitoria’s cup win over Porto showcased attacking depth. Rio Ave triumph underlined road bite. Gil Vicente draw preserved clean sheet. AFS home rout boosted morale. Recent cup loss stung briefly. This surge positions hosts competitively.
Sporting CP Results
Sporting CP chases the title with attacking firepower and defensive solidity under their coach. Their run features dominant wins with occasional draws. Recent results affirm credentials.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Sporting CP |
| 18/12/2025 | TP | Santa Clara vs Sporting CP | 2-3 | W |
| 13/12/2025 | LP | Sporting CP vs AFS | 6-0 | W |
| 09/12/2025 | CL | Bayern Munich vs Sporting CP | 3-1 | L |
| 05/12/2025 | LP | Benfica vs Sporting CP | 1-1 | D |
| 30/11/2025 | LP | Sporting CP vs Estrela | 4-0 | W |
Sporting’s six-goal rout of AFS showcased dominance. Santa Clara cup win highlighted resilience. Bayern loss exposed European gaps. Benfica draw salvaged point. Estrela victory restored rhythm. This foundation urges league focus.
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head
Encounters between Vitoria Guimaraes and Sporting CP often deliver goals and drama. These clashes feature Sporting’s edge. Recent five show high scores.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 17/05/2025 | LP | Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2-0 |
| 03/01/2025 | LP | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP | 4-4 |
| 21/04/2024 | LP | Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3-0 |
| 09/12/2023 | LP | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP | 3-2 |
| 24/04/2023 | LP | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP | 0-2 |
Sporting’s three wins average 2.3 goals scored. Vitoria’s lone success came high-scoring. January draw featured eight goals. Overall, 80% over 2.5 goals.
Predicted Lineups for the Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP Football Match
Projected starting lineups for this Liga Portugal round 15 fixture at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques reflect the coaches’ tactical setups, with Vitoria Guimaraes aiming for a compact defense and counter-attacks, while Sporting CP deploys their usual attacking 4-3-3 to dominate possession. These estimates account for recent form, rotation needs, and confirmed unavailabilities, providing a view into how each side might approach the high-stakes clash.
Vitoria Guimaraes Predicted Lineup
Castillo (GK), Maga (DF), Thiago Balieiro (DF), Abascal (DF), Mendes (DF), Nogueira (MF), Mitrovic (MF), Camara (AM), Samu (AM), Saviolo (AM), Oliveira (FW).
Sporting CP Predicted Lineup
Silva (GK), Fresneda (DF), Quaresma (DF), Inacio (DF), Araujo (DF), Hjulmand (MF), Simoes (MF), Alisson Santos (AM), Trincao (AM), Kochorashvili (AM), Suarez (FW).
Injured and Questionable Players
Several players will miss this Liga Portugal match due to injuries, international duty, or other unavailabilities, affecting depth for both Vitoria Guimaraes and Sporting CP. The table below lists the confirmed absences.
| Team | Player | Injury/Reason |
| Vitoria Guimaraes | Beni | International duty |
| Vitoria Guimaraes | Gustavo | Injury |
| Vitoria Guimaraes | Oscar Rivas Viondi | Injury |
| Sporting CP | Daniel Braganca | Knee Injury |
| Sporting CP | Geny Catamo | International duty |
| Sporting CP | Zeno Debast | Knee Injury |
| Sporting CP | Ousmane Diomande | International duty |
| Sporting CP | Pedro Goncalves | Muscle Injury |
| Sporting CP | Hidemasa Morita | Inactive |
| Sporting CP | Geovany Quenda | Injury |
| Sporting CP | Nuno Santos | Knee Injury |
Key Factors to Watch
Round 15 layers stakes, from Vitoria’s home push to Sporting’s title chase in Guimarães. Hosts seek upset, visitors points. No scandals sharpen focus. Standouts:
- Vitoria’s three-game unbeaten home streak nets eight goals;
- Sporting’s five wins in six league games concede 0.8 average;
- No major injuries for Vitoria, full squad;
- Sporting reports minor doubts, depth allows rotation;
- Vitoria home games average 2.4 total goals, over 2.5 in 60%;
- Sporting away generates 2.1 xG, targeting flanks;
- Porto cup win showcased Vitoria’s flair;
- Sporting’s AFS rout highlighted attacking depth.
Free Tips on Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP
These free tips are derived from statistical trends in head-to-head encounters, goal distributions, and performance metrics to pinpoint reliable betting angles for the Liga Portugal round 15 clash at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Data on scoring patterns and defensive records reveal clear opportunities in a fixture that often produces goals. Tailored to this matchup, they emphasize objective plays grounded in historical outputs and current form.
- The last five head-to-head meetings between Vitoria Guimaraes and Sporting CP averaged 3.8 goals total, with over 2.5 landing in 80% of cases;
- Sporting CP scores in 90% of their away games this season, averaging 2.1 goals on the road while Vitoria concedes 1.4 at home;
- Viktor Gyökeres has goal involvements in 70% of Sporting’s away wins, positioning him well for anytime scorer or shots on target markets;
- Estádio D. Afonso Henriques’ high-quality natural grass under mild December conditions around 12-15°C supports attacking play, aligning with the sides’ combined 3.2 goals-per-game average;
- League position shows Sporting with a 2.3 PPG away compared to Vitoria’s 1.6 at home, often leading to multi-goal outcomes in similar high-stakes ties.
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Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP Match Prediction 2025
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting CP odds favor Sporting at 1.60, reflecting their quality and H2H edge despite Vitoria’s home form. We forecast a 1-3 Sporting win, capitalizing on attacking depth to overwhelm, as visitors exploit transitions. Vitoria fights, yet Sporting prevails. Models grant 55% visitor probability, over 2.5 value given 80% H2H. Guests secure points.
Our Prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes 1-3 Sporting CP
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Sporting CP Win | 1.4 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 2.14 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.83 |
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