Venezuela vs Peru Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – World Championship Qualification 26/03/2025

World Championship Qualification
Venezuela vs Peru
Wed, 26 March 2025 – 00:00
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2.13
Home
3.1
Draw
3.85
Away

The clash between Venezuela and Peru is set to take place on March 26, 2025, as part of the South American World Championship Qualification for the 2026 World Cup. Hosted at the Estadio Monumental de Maturín in Maturín, Venezuela, with a capacity of 51,796, this match kicks off matchday 14 of the CONMEBOL qualifiers. The referee for the encounter will be Garay C. from Chile, overseeing a game that could prove pivotal for both teams’ aspirations to reach the finals. With only five rounds remaining, the stake are high in this fiercely contested qualification stage.

Venezuela, currently eighth in the standings, are teetering on the edge of playoff contention, while Peru, two points behind, are desperate to climb the table after a morale-boosting win. The tournament’s tight margins mean every goal and point will count at this late juncture. This fixture promises intensity, given the historical rivalry and Peru’s strong head-to-head record, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

For those looking to dive into Venezuela vs Peru betting tips, this section sets the stage for what’s to come. We’ll break down the recent performances of both sides and their historical clashes to give you a sharper edge. The Venezuela vs Peru prediction today hinges on form, key players, and tactical matchups that could sway the result. Expect a detailed look at how Venezuela’s home resilience stacks up against Peru’s newfound momentum. Let’s unpack the numbers and trends that matter most.

Venezuela Results

Venezuela’s campaign has hit a rough patch after a promising Copa America run last summer. Fernando Batista’s squad has struggled to replicate that form, with their World Cup hopes fading fast. Their home unbeaten streak in qualifiers offers some hope, but recent losses expose vulnerabilities.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
21/03/25WCEcuador vs Venezuela2-1L
18/01/25FIUSA vs Venezuela3-1L
20/11/24WCChile vs Venezuela4-2L
14/11/24WCVenezuela vs Brazil1-1D
16/10/24WCParaguay vs Venezuela2-1L

The last five games show a clear downward trend, with four losses and a solitary draw against Brazil. Three consecutive defeats in qualifiers, conceding nine goals, highlight defensive frailties. Home form remains a lifeline, with 10 of their 12 points earned at Maturín, but failing to beat Ecuador last week suggests even that fortress is cracking. Jhonder Cádiz’s late goals aren’t enough to mask the team’s inability to hold leads. Peru will sense blood here.

Peru Results

Peru’s qualification journey has been a rollercoaster, but their latest win signals a potential turnaround. Under new manager Oscar Ibanez, they’ve found a spark, though away form remains a glaring weakness. This match tests whether their recent success can travel.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
21/03/25WCPeru vs Bolivia3-1W
20/11/24WCArgentina vs Peru1-0L
16/11/24WCPeru vs Chile0-0D
16/10/24WCBrazil vs Peru4-0L
12/10/24WCPeru vs Uruguay1-0W

Two wins in five games mark an uptick, with the 3-1 Bolivia triumph ending a scoring drought. Losses to Argentina and Brazil are forgivable, but zero away goals in qualifiers this cycle is a red flag. Andy Polo’s form offers optimism, yet Peru’s road struggles persist. The Bolivia win could be a fluke or a foundation Venezuela will reveal which. Consistency remains elusive.

Who will win Wednesday’s World Championship Qualification clash between Venezuela and Peru?
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Venezuela
50%
Draw
30%
Peru
20%
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Head-to-Head: Venezuela vs Peru (Last 5 Matches)

The rivalry between these two sides has been one-sided lately, with Peru holding the upper hand. Venezuela haven’t beaten their opponents since 2013, a drought spanning over a decade. This history looms large as they prepare to face off again.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
22/11/23WCPeru vs Venezuela1-1
16/11/21WCVenezuela vs Peru1-2
06/09/21WCPeru vs Venezuela1-0
28/06/21CAVenezuela vs Peru0-1
15/06/19CAVenezuela vs Peru0-0

Peru’s unbeaten run in eight games (W4, D4) against Venezuela is striking. Their last visit to Venezuela ended in a 2-1 win, proving they can thrive away. Venezuela’s lone draw in this stretch shows faint resistance, but Peru’s dominance is hard to ignore.

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Venezuela Predicted Lineup

Venezuela’s Fernando Batista is expected to lean on a mix of experience and homegrown grit to salvage their faltering qualification hopes at Estadio Monumental de Maturín.

  • Romo (GK), Gonzalez (DF), Mejias (DF), Ferraresi (DF), Makoun (DF), Vargas (MF), Rincon (MF), Segovia (MF), Savarino (MF), Rondon (FW), Josef Martinez (FW)
Predicted starting lineup for Venezuela in the World Championship Qualification match against Peru, March 2025.

Peru Predicted Lineup

Peru, under Oscar Ibanez, will likely field a lineup blending seasoned stars with emerging threats, aiming to exploit their historical edge over Venezuela.

  • Gallese (GK), Advincula (DF), Garces (DF), Abram (DF), Trauco (DF), Aquino (MF), Tapia (MF), Carrillo (MF), Polo (MF), Flores (FW), Guerrero (FW)
Predicted starting lineup for Peru in the World Championship Qualification match against Venezuela, March 2025.

Key Factors to Watch

Both teams enter this match with their World Cup dreams on the line, making every detail critical. From individual brilliance to collective struggles, these elements will shape the outcome. Here’s what to focus on:

  • Venezuela’s Home Form: Undefeated in qualifiers at home (10/12 points), but recent losses hint at fragility;
  • Peru’s Away Woes: No goals or wins on the road in this cycle can they break the curse?
  • Jhonder Cádiz: Three straight games with a goal or assist, yet Venezuela keep losing;
  • Andy Polo: Five goal contributions in four games, a catalyst for Peru’s resurgence;
  • Injuries: Venezuela’s lineup shuffled last match; Peru debuted six new starters depth is a concern;
  • Defensive Lapses: Venezuela conceded 7 goals in their last two qualifiers; Peru shipped 4 to Brazil;
  • Historical Edge: Peru’s eight-game unbeaten streak vs. Venezuela weighs heavily;
  • Motivation: Both are chasing the playoff spot, but Peru’s latest win gives them momentum.

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Free Tips on Venezuela vs Peru

Digging into the stats and history of Venezuela vs Peru offers a goldmine for sharp bettors ahead of their March 26, 2025, showdown. This section zeroes in on critical angles that could tilt the scales, beyond the obvious form and injuries. Here’s a handful of tailored tips to boost your edge for this CONMEBOL qualifier.

  • Head-to-Head Trends Matter: Peru’s eight-game unbeaten streak against Venezuela (W4, D4) isn’t just luck it’s a pattern rooted in tactical superiority and mental edge, especially evident in their 2-1 win in Caracas in 2021.
  • Home vs. Away Divide: Venezuela snag 83% of their points (10/12) at home, while Peru haven’t scored once away in this cycle expect La Vinotinto to lean on Maturín’s energy, but Peru’s road block could crack under pressure.
  • Player Hot Streaks: Andy Polo’s five goal contributions in four games signal he’s Peru’s X-factor, while Venezuela’s reliance on Cádiz might falter if Peru’s backline shuts him down early.
  • Referee Influence: Garay C. from Chile officiates his card-heavy tendencies (check his past CONMEBOL games) could spark a feisty match, favoring bets on bookings over goals.
  • Pitch and Weather Edge: Late March in Maturín often brings heat and humidity, slowing play on the natural grass pitch teams might struggle with pace, tilting the game toward a cagey, low-scoring affair.
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Venezuela vs Peru Match Prediction 2025

Given the data, Peru look poised to edge this one, likely 1-0. Venezuela’s home resilience is fading three losses in four qualifiers and a leaky defense (9 goals conceded in 3 games) suggest they’re vulnerable. Peru, while poor away, have momentum from their 3-1 Bolivia win and a psychological edge with eight straight unbeaten games against Venezuela. Andy Polo’s form (5 contributions in 4 games) trumps Cádiz’s efforts on a losing side. Venezuela’s xG at home hovers around 1.5, but their conversion rate has dipped, while Peru’s recent 3-goal outburst shows intent, even if away goals elude them. The Venezuela vs Peru odds will likely favor the hosts slightly due to venue, but Peru’s historical dominance and current upswing tip the scales. A low-scoring affair feels right Venezuela’s attack lacks teeth, and Peru’s road struggles temper their output. Expect a tight, scrappy game where Peru capitalize on a defensive error late on.

Our Prediction: Venezuela 1-0 Peru

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Full-Time ResultVenezuela Win2.13
Total GoalsUnder 2.51.44
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.58

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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