The CONMEBOL World Cup 2026 Qualifying campaign intensifies as Uruguay host Peru at Estadio Centenario on September 4, 2025, with qualification on the line. Uruguay’s attacking prowess meets Peru’s desperate need for points, promising a tense clash in Montevideo.
Scheduled for 23:30 GMT+0 on September 4, 2025, at the 60,235-capacity Estadio Centenario, this World Cup Qualifying match will be officiated by Facundo Tello from Argentina. Uruguay, under Marcelo Bielsa, aim to secure their fifth straight World Cup berth, while Peru, led by Oscar Ibanez, fight to keep their faint playoff hopes alive.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Get set for the Uruguay vs Peru prediction today with our expert breakdown from BC.Game. Uruguay’s home dominance meets Peru’s defensive resilience, setting up a crucial qualifier. Uruguay’s two wins in five head-to-heads add intrigue. Recent performances and historical stats provide critical clues for your bets. Let’s unpack the numbers for your Uruguay vs Peru betting tips.
Uruguay Results
Uruguay, under Marcelo Bielsa, have regained momentum with a key win, bolstered by their strong home record at Estadio Centenario. Their attacking depth remains a key strength. Here’s a look at their last five matches across all competitions.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 11/06/25 | WC | Uruguay vs Venezuela | 2-0 | W |
| 06/06/25 | WC | Paraguay vs Uruguay | 2-0 | L |
| 25/03/25 | WC | Bolivia vs Uruguay | 0-0 | D |
| 22/03/25 | WC | Uruguay vs Argentina | 0-1 | L |
| 20/11/24 | WC | Brazil vs Uruguay | 1-1 | D |
Uruguay’s form shows one win, two draws, and two losses, averaging 0.6 goals per game, with a 2-0 win over Venezuela led by Darwin Nunez. Their 0-1 loss to Argentina exposed attacking woes, conceding 0.8 goals per game. Home form, with three wins in four qualifiers, is a strength. Their 20% BTTS rate suggests control. Federico Valverde’s return is key.
Peru Results
Peru, under Oscar Ibanez, have struggled in qualifiers, with a rare win but consistent defensive solidity. Their away form remains a significant challenge. Here’s their last five matches across all competitions.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 11/06/25 | WC | Peru vs Ecuador | 0-0 | D |
| 06/06/25 | WC | Colombia vs Peru | 0-0 | D |
| 26/03/25 | WC | Venezuela vs Peru | 1-0 | L |
| 21/03/25 | WC | Peru vs Bolivia | 3-1 | W |
| 20/11/24 | WC | Argentina vs Peru | 1-0 | L |
Peru’s form shows one win, two draws, and two losses, averaging 0.6 goals per game, with a 3-1 win over Bolivia led by Yoshimar Yotun. Their 0-0 draws highlight defensive strength, conceding 0.6 goals per game. Away form, with zero goals in eight qualifiers, is a concern. Their 20% BTTS rate suggests control. Miguel Araujo’s defending is crucial.
Uruguay vs Peru Head-to-Head
Uruguay and Peru have a balanced rivalry, with Uruguay winning two of their last five meetings, Peru one, and two draws. Their games are low-scoring, with four of five under 2.5 goals. Here’s a look at their last five head-to-head results.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 12/10/24 | WC | Peru vs Uruguay | 1-0 |
| 25/03/22 | WC | Uruguay vs Peru | 1-0 |
| 03/09/21 | WC | Peru vs Uruguay | 1-1 |
| 16/10/19 | FI | Peru vs Uruguay | 1-1 |
| 12/10/19 | FI | Uruguay vs Peru | 1-0 |
Uruguay’s two wins, with a 3-2 goal difference, show a slight edge. Peru’s 1-0 win in 2024 proves their upset potential. Expect a tight, low-scoring clash.
Predicted Starting Lineups for Uruguay vs Peru
The CONMEBOL World Cup 2026 Qualifying clash on September 4, 2025, at Estadio Centenario will see Uruguay and Peru field their strongest available squads, with these predicted lineups showcasing their tactical approaches. Uruguay aim to secure qualification with their home dominance, while Peru fight to keep their faint playoff hopes alive. Below are the expected starting XIs, with player positions based on the latest team news.
Uruguay Predicted Lineup
Mele (GK), Nandez (DF), Araujo (DF), Bueno (DF), Olivera (DF), Bentancur (MF), Ugarte (MF), Valverde (MF), Pellistri (FW), Nunez (FW), De Arrascaeta (FW)
Peru Predicted Lineup
Gallese (GK), Advincula (DF), Zambrano (DF), Garces (DF), Lopez (DF), Polo (MF), Yotun (MF), Tapia (MF), Noriega (MF), Ramos (FW), Quevedo (FW)
Injured and Questionable Players
Uruguay and Peru face challenges with key players sidelined for their September 4, 2025, World Cup Qualifying matchup, potentially altering the game’s dynamics. Multiple injuries, especially for Peru, force both managers to adapt their lineups. The table below lists unavailable players, excluding those in the predicted lineups, with their full names and reasons for absence.
| Team | Player | Reason |
| Uruguay | Jose Gimenez | Injury |
| Uruguay | Maximilian Araujo | Injury |
| Peru | Paolo Guerrero | Injury |
| Peru | Gianluca Lapadula | Injury |
| Peru | Andre Carrillo | Injury |
| Peru | Edison Flores | Injury |
| Peru | Alex Valera | Injury |
Key Factors to Watch
To craft a precise Uruguay vs Peru match prediction, focus on the elements that could sway this World Cup qualifier. Injuries, form, and tactical battles will shape the outcome at Estadio Centenario. Here are eight critical points to consider.
- Uruguay’s Darwin Nunez scored against Venezuela;
- Peru’s Yoshimar Yotun netted against Bolivia;
- Uruguay won their last home qualifier;
- Peru’s Paolo Guerrero is out with an injury;
- Uruguay conceded in two of five games;
- Peru failed to score in eight away qualifiers;
- Uruguay’s Federico Valverde bolsters midfield;
- Peru’s Gianluca Lapadula is sidelined.
Free Tips on Uruguay vs Peru
To place smart bets on the Uruguay vs Peru CONMEBOL World Cup 2026 Qualifying clash, rely on the stats from their recent performances and Uruguay’s two wins in five head-to-head encounters. This September 4, 2025, matchup at Estadio Centenario pits Uruguay’s home dominance against Peru’s defensive resilience. Here are five betting tips, drawn from statistical insights, to guide your wagers.
- Examine Head-to-Head Trends: Four of five recent meetings saw under 2.5 goals, with two draws; consider betting on under 2.5 goals for value.
- Check Estadio Centenario’s Pitch Conditions: The grass surface, if rain-affected, could slow Peru’s counters, favoring Uruguay’s possession play; monitor weather updates.
- Factor in Home Fan Influence: Uruguay’s passionate crowd can spark early aggression; bets on a first-half Uruguay goal hold potential.
- Assess Peru’s Away Form: Peru failed to score in eight away qualifiers; Uruguay may dominate possession at home.
- Evaluate Referee Facundo Tello’s Style: Known for strict officiating, Tello may issue cards in this high-stakes tie; explore prop bets on bookings.
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Uruguay vs Peru Prediction 2025
For the Uruguay vs Peru prediction 2025, we’re backing Uruguay to win 1-0. Uruguay’s home strength, with three wins in four qualifiers and a 2-0 victory over Venezuela, led by Darwin Nunez, gives them confidence, despite averaging 0.6 goals and conceding 0.8 per game. Peru’s defensive solidity, with two 0-0 draws and 0.6 goals conceded per game, is undermined by zero away goals in eight qualifiers and multiple injuries. The Uruguay vs Peru odds, with Uruguay at 1.45 and Peru at 7.50, reflect the hosts’ favor. Four of five head-to-heads under 2.5 goals and a 20% BTTS rate suggest a low-scoring game. Uruguay’s injuries to Jose Gimenez and Maximilian Araujo are offset by depth, while Peru’s absences of Paolo Guerrero, Gianluca Lapadula, and others weaken their attack. Expect Uruguay to leverage their home crowd for a narrow victory in a cautious, low-scoring clash.
Our Prediction: Uruguay 1-0 Peru
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Uruguay Win | 1.42 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.45 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.57 |
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