Spain travel to Konya for a pivotal football night in World Championship – Qualification (UEFA), Group E, with kickoff on 07/09/2025 at 18:45 GMT. The match will be staged at Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadium (capacity 42,000), and referee Oliver M. (England) is expected to oversee proceedings. It’s an early barometer of consistency after opening-day wins for both nations.
La Roja eased past Bulgaria 3-0, while Turkey edged Georgia 3-2 in a five-goal thriller. Beyond the points, this fixture audits squad depth and tactical detail: Spain’s layered possession and wing thrust against Turkey’s direct speed and set-piece threat. Expect tempo shifts and a raucous home atmosphere.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
Both arrive confident after round-one victories, which frames the Turkey vs Spain prediction today around control versus punch. Spain’s press-resistant midfield and wide combinations can sustain pressure, but Turkey’s early-goal habit keeps variance high. Recent streaks suggest first-half action on both sides. Historical head-to-head leans Spain, though the Konya factor narrows margins. Substitutions around the hour are likely to reshape chance quality and total goals.
Turkey Results
Turkey enter buoyed by a gritty opening win and a productive 2025 overall. Vincenzo Montella has blended a young, fearless front line with a set-piece-savvy structure. The next step is calmer game-state control against elite opposition.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L/D |
| 04.09.25 | WCQ (UEFA) | Georgia vs Turkey | 2-3 | W |
| 11.06.25 | Friendly | Mexico vs Turkey | 1-0 | L |
| 07.06.25 | Friendly | USA vs Turkey | 1-2 | W |
| 23.03.25 | UNL | Hungary vs Turkey | 0-3 | W |
| 20.03.25 | UNL | Turkey vs Hungary | 3-1 | W |
Four wins in five underline momentum, with 3+ goals scored in three of them. Turkey often strike before half-time, which shapes totals and in-play angles. Away successes (USA 1-2, Hungary 0-3) show they can punch above field position. Defensive variability appears late; protecting leads is still a theme. Set pieces and counters remain reliable avenues to chances.
Spain Results
Spain arrive with structure and punch after a routine 3-0 opener. Luis de la Fuente’s side lean on width, third-man runs, and well-timed rotations between the lines. The attacking ceiling is high, though transitions against can spike if the block stretches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L/D |
| 04.09.25 | WCQ (UEFA) | Bulgaria vs Spain | 0-3 | W |
| 08.06.25 | UNL | Portugal vs Spain | 2-2 (pen. 5-3) | D/L |
| 05.06.25 | UNL | Spain vs France | 5-4 | W |
| 23.03.25 | UNL | Spain vs Netherlands | 3-3 (pen. 5-4) | W |
| 20.03.25 | UNL | Netherlands vs Spain | 2-2 | D |
Three high-scoring UNL matches highlight Spain’s finishing depth. The Bulgaria trip reaffirmed away control and chance suppression. Conceding in elite away ties (Portugal/Netherlands) is the main caution. Wide combinations (Yamal/Nico Williams with Cucurella overlaps) drive cut-backs. Spain manage game state well when scoring first.
Turkey vs Spain Head-to-Head
Spain’s modern record versus Turkey is strong, headlined by Euro 2016. Turkey’s last recorded win in this extended series came in the 1960s, underscoring the scale of the task. Margin patterns tend toward Spain by a goal or two.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 17.06.16 | EURO | Spain vs Turkey | 3-0 |
| 01.04.09 | WCQ (UEFA) | Turkey vs Spain | 1-2 |
| 28.03.09 | WCQ (UEFA) | Spain vs Turkey | 1-0 |
| 31.05.67 | EURO | Spain vs Turkey | 2-0 |
| 01.02.67 | EURO | Turkey vs Spain | 0-0 |
Spain lead decisively across eras, with multiple clean sheets. However, Turkey’s current attack is more dynamic than some historical editions, raising BTTS potential relative to older trends.
Projected starting XIs football lineups for Turkey vs Spain
Below are projected XIs based on current team news; final selections may vary as coaches adjust for fitness and matchups.
Turkey (expected XI): Cakir (GK), Muldur (DF), Demiral (DF), Bardakci (DF), Elmali (DF), Calhanoglu (MF), Yuksek (MF), Akgun (MF), Guler (MF), Yildiz (FW), Akturkoglu (FW)
Spain (expected XI): Simon (GK), Porro (DF), Le Normand (DF), Huijsen (DF), Cucurella (DF), Merino (MF), Zubimendi (MF), Pedri (MF), Yamal (FW), Oyarzabal (FW), N. Williams (FW)
Unavailable players status overview
Below is the current availability picture heading into matchday.
| Team | Player | Status/Reason |
| Turkey | Barış Alper Yılmaz | Suspended (red card vs Georgia) |
| Spain | Lamine Yamal | Back scare; expected to be fit |
| Spain | No new injuries reported |
Key factors before kickoff
The opening window has already revealed trends, but the sample is still small discipline and risk control matter. Here are the pivotal elements that can swing the contest in Konya:
- Turkey keep scoring before half-time; an early goal shifts totals and game flow;
- Five of Turkey’s last six produced Over 2.5, signaling tempo and space on the flanks;
- Spain have 10 clean sheets in their last 14 WCQ away games, a strong travel trait;
- Spain’s last five goals arrived before HT relevant for first-half markets;
- Konya’s atmosphere and Turkey’s set pieces can lift home xG from dead balls;
- Yamal’s expected availability boosts Spain’s right-side creation and final pass;
- Spain’s Merino-Zubimendi-Pedri axis controls tempo and limits counters;
- Refereeing profile may drive cards/penalty risk in a high-tempo match.
Free Tips on Turkey vs Spain
Below is a focused set of practical pointers tailored to this matchup. The goal is to translate underlying patterns into actionable bet constructions without duplicating the prior section:
- Split stake on goals (HT/FT): Combine Over 1.0 HT (push protection) with Over 2.5 FT to capture Turkey’s early scoring trend and Spain’s late control once subs arrive.
- Spain Draw No Bet with in-play plan: Take Spain DNB pre-match; if Turkey score first, consider adding Spain 0 or +0.25 in-play as Spain’s response metrics improve when chasing.
- Right-side creation props: If Yamal starts, target goal/assist markets or Spain shots on target; Porro’s overlaps can overload Turkey’s left and generate cut-backs.
- Cards via tempo asymmetry: High press vs direct counters breeds contact Over cards is live; discipline trends suggest Spain most cards: No when lines allow.
- Set-piece ladders: With Calhanoglu deliveries and Spain’s aerial threats (Le Normand/Merino), consider Assist from set piece (any) or Over corners ladders in close prices.
- In-game state hedges: If Spain lead at HT, look to Under live or Spain to win & Under X.5 combos as their WCQ away profile supports game compression.
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Turkey vs Spain Match Prediction 2025: outcome and value view
Pricing should tilt toward Spain on fundamentals, yet the Turkey vs Spain odds must respect the venue and Turkey’s first-half scoring streak. Spain’s midfield gives them the repeatable edge in possession chains and chance prevention, while the wings (Yamal/Nico Williams) stretch Turkey’s back line horizontally to create cut-backs and second-phase looks. Turkey’s most promising routes are direct early attacks, Calhanoglu’s set pieces, and transitional strikes from Güler/Yıldız. If Spain score first, they can compress the game and lower variance; if Turkey score early, Spain’s response usually lifts shot volume and territory. Across these paths, a narrow away win with both teams on the board rates highest, supported by Spain’s WCQ away record and deeper bench impact after 60’. Expect a lively first half, more measured control from Spain in phases two and three, and margins decided by wing execution and dead-ball quality.
Our Prediction: Turkey 1-2 Spain
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| 1X2 | Spain Win | 1.57 |
| Both Teams To Score | Yes | 1.7 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.56 |
| Team Goals Spain | Over 1.5 | 1.51 |
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