Turkey vs Hungary Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – UEFA Nations League 20/03/2025

UEFA Nations League
Turkey vs Hungary
Thu, 20 March 2025 – 17:00
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1.79
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3.55
Draw
4.8
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The first leg of the UEFA Nations League promotion/relegation playoff between Turkey and Hungary kicks off on March 20, 2025, at 17:00 GMT+0. The match will take place at Rams Park in Istanbul, a 53,798-capacity stadium, with referee Ivan Kruzliak from Slovakia overseeing proceedings. This clash marks a critical moment in the UEFA Nations League, pitting Turkey, who are battling for promotion to League A, against Hungary, who aim to retain their spot in the top tier after finishing third in Group A3.

Turkey’s unexpected stumble against Montenegro cost them automatic promotion, forcing them into this playoff, while Hungary seek to recover from a mixed campaign marred by heavy losses to Germany and the Netherlands. Both teams bring distinct strengths to this encounter Turkey’s robust home form contrasts with Hungary’s historical edge in head-to-head meetings, setting the stage for a tightly contested battle in Istanbul.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

For those looking to dive into Turkey vs Hungary betting tips, this section sets the foundation for what’s to come. We’ll unpack recent performances and historical clashes to sharpen your perspective. The Turkey vs Hungary prediction today hinges on current form, key absences, and tactical nuances. Expect a detailed breakdown of how each side has fared in their latest outings. Stay tuned for actionable insights derived from hard data and trends.

Turkey Results

Turkey’s campaign in League B4 was a rollercoaster, culminating in a painful slip from first to second place on the final matchday. Vincenzo Montella’s squad now faces a do-or-die scenario to reach League A for the first time. Their home record offers a glimmer of hope as they prepare to host Hungary.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
19.11.24UNLMontenegro vs Turkey3-1L
16.11.24UNLTurkey vs Wales0-0D
14.10.24UNLIceland vs Turkey2-4W
11.10.24UNLTurkey vs Montenegro1-0W
09.09.24UNLTurkey vs Iceland3-1W

Turkey’s unbeaten home streak in the Nations League (W5, D3) stands out, with their last loss on home soil dating back to 2020 against Hungary, no less. The 3-1 defeat to Montenegro exposed defensive frailties, but wins over Iceland and Montenegro earlier showcased their attacking bite. Scoring has been consistent at home, with 3+ goals in two of their last three Rams Park outings. The draw against Wales hints at resilience, though the Montenegro collapse raises questions about pressure handling. They’ll need to tighten up at the back to leverage their home advantage.

Hungary Results

Hungary’s League A3 journey was a tale of survival, finishing above Bosnia but well behind Germany and the Netherlands. Marco Rossi’s decision to stick with a largely unchanged Euros squad signals continuity, despite inconsistent results. Now, they face a stern test to avoid relegation.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
19.11.24UNLHungary vs Germany1-1D
16.11.24UNLNetherlands vs Hungary4-0L
14.10.24UNLBosnia & Herzegovina vs Hungary0-2W
11.10.24UNLHungary vs Netherlands1-1D
10.09.24UNLHungary vs Bosnia & Herzegovina0-0D

Hungary’s resilience shines through in their 1-1 draws with Germany and the Netherlands, but the 4-0 thrashing in Amsterdam exposed vulnerabilities on the road. Their away win in Bosnia offers hope, yet scoring remains a struggle only one goal in four of their last five games. The clean sheet against Bosnia highlights defensive solidity, but heavy losses to top sides suggest trouble against aggressive hosts. Szoboszlai’s late penalty against Germany shows clutch potential. They’ll need more than grit to crack Turkey’s home fortress.

Who will win Thursday’s UEFA Nations League clash between Turkey and Hungary?
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Turkey
65%
Draw
20%
Hungary
15%
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Turkey vs Hungary Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches: D1, L4 for Turkey)

Past encounters heavily favor Hungary, who have dominated recent meetings with Turkey. This historical edge adds intrigue to an already pivotal playoff. Turkey’s last win over Hungary came in 2007, a distant memory as they seek to rewrite the script.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
22.03.24FIHungary vs Turkey1-0
18.11.20UNLHungary vs Turkey2-0
03.09.20UNLTurkey vs Hungary0-1
26.03.13WCTurkey vs Hungary1-1
16.10.12WCHungary vs Turkey3-1

Hungary’s three straight wins without conceding underline their tactical superiority in this matchup. Turkey’s lone draw in 2013 is their only bright spot in an otherwise bleak run. The Crescent Stars must defy history to take control of this tie.

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Turkey Possible Starting Lineup

Turkey’s lineup hinges on blending experience with emerging talent, led by captain Hakan Calhanoglu in midfield.

  • Gunok (GK), Muldur (DF), Ayhan (DF), Bardakci (DF), Elmali (DF), Kokcu (MF), Calhanoglu (MF), Akgun (MF), Yildiz (MF), Yilmaz (FW), Akturkoglu (FW)
Predicted starting lineup for Turkey in the UEFA Nations League playoff against Hungary

Hungary Possible Starting Lineup

Hungary’s setup leans on Dominik Szoboszlai’s creativity, with Marco Rossi favoring a balanced approach to counter Turkey’s home threat.

  • Dibusz (GK), Fiola (DF), Orban (DF), Dardai (DF), Nego (DF), Schafer (MF), Nikitscher (MF), Nagy (MF), Szoboszlai (MF), Sallai (FW), Varga (FW)
Predicted starting lineup for Hungary in the UEFA Nations League playoff against Turkey

Injured and Questionable Players

Injuries and suspensions can swing a match like Turkey vs Hungary, especially with key absences altering tactical plans. Below is a rundown of players sidelined or doubtful for this playoff clash, based on the latest team news. These gaps will force both managers to adapt, potentially exposing weaknesses or unveiling surprises.

TeamPlayerStatus/Injury
TurkeyAltay BayindirInjured
TurkeyCaglar SoyuncuInjured
TurkeyFerdi KadiogluInjured
TurkeyEnes UnalInjured
TurkeyMerih DemiralSuspended (1 match)
TurkeyArda GulerSuspended (1 match)
HungaryAdam NagyOut (recent injury recovery)

Turkey’s depleted defense and attack, missing stalwarts like Soyuncu and Guler, could strain their backline, while Hungary’s exclusion of Nagy trims their midfield depth both sides will feel the pinch.

Key Factors to Watch

Both teams enter this playoff with high stake Turkey chasing promotion, Hungary fighting to stay in League A. Rams Park’s raucous crowd could tilt the scales, but Hungary’s head-to-head dominance looms large. Here’s what will shape the outcome:

  • Turkey’s Injuries: No Bayindir, Soyuncu, Kadioglu, or Unal; Demiral and Guler are suspended;
  • Hungary’s Absences: Adam Nagy is out, with four uncapped players stepping in;
  • Turkey’s Home Form: Unbeaten in eight Nations League home games (W5, D3);
  • Hungary’s Away Struggles: Heavy losses to Germany (5-0) and Netherlands (4-0) this cycle;
  • Szoboszlai’s Impact: Three UNL goals, including two away, make him Hungary’s X-factor;
  • Turkey’s Scoring Streak: Goals in four of their last five home matches;
  • Hungary’s Drought: One goal or fewer in eight of their last nine internationals;
  • Pressure Cooker: Turkey’s Montenegro collapse hints at fragility; Hungary’s late draw with Germany shows resolve.

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Free Tips on Turkey vs Hungary

Breaking down the Turkey vs Hungary clash requires more than gut instinct it’s about digging into the numbers and trends that define this matchup. This section offers practical, data-driven pointers tailored to the March 20, 2025, first-leg playoff at Rams Park. Here’s how to sharpen your betting edge with insights drawn from past performances and team dynamics.

  • Head-to-Head Edge: Hungary have won their last three meetings with Turkey without conceding, including a 1-0 victory in March 2024 history suggests they thrive in this fixture, so weigh their psychological advantage heavily.
  • Home vs. Away Contrast: Turkey’s unbeaten run in eight Nations League home games (W5, D3) clashes with Hungary’s shaky away form, notably 5-0 and 4-0 thrashings by Germany and the Netherlands expect Istanbul’s fortress factor to play a big role.
  • Player Form Spotlight: Dominik Szoboszlai’s three UNL goals this cycle, two on the road, make him a game-changer, while Turkey’s Kenan Yildiz has scored in the first half of his last three strikes early moments could define the outcome.
  • Schedule Fatigue Check: Turkey’s last outing was a draining 3-1 loss to Montenegro in November, while Hungary’s congested run included a 4-0 defeat to the Netherlands rested legs might tilt the scales in a tight contest.
  • Fan Fuel: Rams Park’s 53,798 roaring supporters have powered Turkey to consistent home scoring (3+ goals in two of their last three UNL home matches) don’t underestimate the crowd as a momentum-shifter.

These tips, rooted in stats and recent encounters, frame Turkey vs Hungary as a battle of home grit versus historical mastery use them to cut through the noise.

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Turkey vs Hungary Match Prediction 2025

Turkey’s home dominance clashes with Hungary’s historical stranglehold, making this a coin-toss with edge. Turkey’s unbeaten run at Rams Park (W5, D3) and 2.1 average goals scored in their last three home UNL games suggest they’ll find the net. Hungary’s attack, however, has sputtered failing to score more than once in eight of nine recent outings while their defense crumbled against top sides away. Szoboszlai’s flair could punish lapses, but Turkey’s absences (Demiral, Guler) are offset by Calhanoglu’s leadership and Yildiz’s first-half threat. Hungary’s three consecutive clean-sheet wins over Turkey are a red flag, yet their 4-0 Netherlands drubbing exposes road fragility. Turkey vs Hungary odds likely favor the hosts slightly, given their fortress-like record and desperation for promotion. A tight affair beckons, but Turkey’s crowd and attacking intent should tip it. Prediction: Turkey 2-1 Hungary. The Crescent Stars seize a narrow lead, setting up a tense second leg.

Our Prediction: Turkey 2-1 Hungary

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Full-Time ResultTurkey Win1.78
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.89
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals1.97

Turkey vs Hungary prediction 2025 leans on home form trumping history, but don’t sleep on Szoboszlai turning it into a dogfight. For those eyeing Turkey vs Hungary match prediction or Turkey vs Hungary betting tips, this first leg offers value on a narrow home win. Place your bet with confidence place your bet on the Turkey vs Hungary match at bc.game and ride the momentum of Istanbul’s roar.

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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