On February 4, 2025, at Stade de l’Aube in Troyes, Troyes and Brest are scheduled to square off in the Coupe de France Round of 16. Jérémie Stinat will referee the game to decide which side moves on to the quarter-finals.
While Brest wants to keep up their great domestic performance despite recent European challenges, Troyes will be trying to reach the final eight of the tournament for the first time since 2013. This match seems to be a fierce and erratic struggle because both teams show different prediction in their different leagues.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
Today’s Troyes versus Brest forecast shows an intriguing clash between a Ligue 2 underdog and a Ligue 1 candidate. Troyes are a challenging opponent as they have varied performance in the league but are strong in the Coupe de France. Though they have struggled in European contests, Brest dominates Ligue 1 and shows up as minor favorites. Both clubs have defensive weaknesses, hence goals might be anticipated from both ends. Based on prior interactions, Brest will be sure they will keep their perfect run against Troyes intact in recent years.
Troyes Results
Though they have had an inconsistent run of play in Ligue 2, Troyes have shown tenaciousness and tactical discipline in the Coupe de France. Their past five matches are below:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 01/02/25 | Ligue 2 | Troyes vs Caen | 3-0 | W |
| 24/01/25 | Ligue 2 | Laval vs Troyes | 1-0 | L |
| 20/01/25 | Ligue 2 | Troyes vs Annecy | 0-1 | L |
| 15/01/25 | Coupe de France | Troyes vs Rennes | 1-0 | W |
| 10/01/25 | Ligue 2 | Rodez vs Troyes | 2-1 | L |
Troyes have struggled in Ligue 2, losing three of their last four league matches, but their form in the Coupe de France has been impressive. Their 1-0 win over Rennes in the previous round showcased their defensive resilience and ability to capitalize on limited chances. Playing at home has been beneficial, with their last victory at Stade de l’Aube providing confidence ahead of this match. The key for Troyes will be maintaining their disciplined approach while improving their attacking efficiency.
Brest Results
Brest, currently in solid form in Ligue 1, have mixed results across competitions. Here’s a look at their last five games:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 01/02/25 | Ligue 1 | Brest vs PSG | 2-5 | L |
| 29/01/25 | Champions League | Brest vs Real Madrid | 0-3 | L |
| 26/01/25 | Ligue 1 | Le Havre vs Brest | 0-1 | W |
| 22/01/25 | Champions League | Shakhtar vs Brest | 2-0 | L |
| 18/01/25 | Ligue 1 | Rennes vs Brest | 1-2 | W |
Brest have been inconsistent, particularly in European competitions, where they have suffered heavy defeats against elite teams. However, their domestic form remains strong, with recent victories against Le Havre and Rennes. Their attack has been productive, but defensive issues have been evident, especially against stronger opposition. Playing away from home has not been an issue for Brest, as they have won three of their last four matches in domestic competitions as visitors.
Troyes vs Brest Head-to-Head Results
These two sides have met multiple times in recent years, with Brest holding an edge in their head-to-head record. Below are their last five encounters:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 19/03/23 | Ligue 1 | Troyes vs Brest | 2-2 |
| 13/11/22 | Ligue 1 | Brest vs Troyes | 2-1 |
| 13/02/22 | Ligue 1 | Brest vs Troyes | 5-1 |
| 22/12/21 | Ligue 1 | Troyes vs Brest | 1-1 |
| 12/01/19 | Ligue 2 | Brest vs Troyes | 1-1 |
Brest have avoided defeat in their last six meetings against Troyes, showing dominance in their recent head-to-head clashes. Their last encounter at Stade de l’Aube ended in a 2-2 draw, while their biggest victory came in 2022, with a convincing 5-1 win at home. Troyes will need to break this trend and find a way to exploit Brest’s defensive frailties.
Troyes Possible Starting Lineup:
Lemaitre (GK); Mendes (DF), Monfray (DF), Diaz (DF), Gozzi (DF); Chavalerin (MF); Irie (MF), Diop (MF), M’Changama (MF), Said (FW); De Preville (FW).
Brest Possible Starting Lineup:
Coudert (GK); Zogbe (DF), Chardonnet (DF), Ndiaye (DF), Pereira Lage (DF); Camara (MF), Magnetti (MF); Doumbia (MF), Faivre (MF), Balde (FW); Ajorque (FW).
Injured and Questionable Players
Injuries and suspensions could impact both teams’ selections for this crucial fixture. Below is a list of unavailable or doubtful players.
| Team | Player | Injury/Issue |
| Troyes | Alexandre Phliponeau | Knock injury |
| Troyes | Mehdi Tahrat | Leg injury |
| Brest | Bradley Locko | Lower leg issue |
| Brest | Jordan Amavi | Thigh injury |
| Brest | Massadio Haidara | Muscle strain |
| Brest | Jonas Martin | Muscle strain |
Both teams have some concerns regarding player availability. Troyes might miss Phliponeau and captain Tahrat, which could affect their defensive stability. Brest have multiple doubts, particularly in defense and midfield, with Locko, Amavi, Haidara, and Martin all uncertain to feature. These absences could play a crucial role in shaping the outcome of the match.
Key Factors to Watch
This match presents several crucial factors that could determine the outcome:
- Troyes’ home form: They have not lost a Coupe de France game at home in regular time since 2014;
- Brest’s European struggles: They have lost their last two Champions League matches with a combined score of 5-0;
- Injury concerns: Troyes may be without Alexandre Phliponeau and captain Mehdi Tahrat, while Brest have fitness doubts over Bradley Locko, Jordan Amavi, Massadio Haidara, and Jonas Martin;
- Troyes’ defensive discipline: They have conceded just once in this tournament;
- Brest’s strong away form: They have won three of their last four away matches against French opposition;
- Troyes’ struggle in Ligue 2: Three losses in their last four league matches indicate inconsistency;
- Brest’s recent dominance in head-to-head clashes: They have not lost to Troyes since 2017;
- Troyes’ efficiency when scoring first: They have won their last 10 competitive matches when netting the opener.
Free Tips on Troyes vs Brest
When analyzing the Troyes vs Brest match, it’s essential to consider various factors beyond just team form. While statistics from previous encounters provide insight, elements such as motivation, playing styles, and external conditions can significantly impact the outcome. Below are key aspects that could influence this Coupe de France clash and help in making an informed bet.
- Head-to-Head Advantage: Brest holds a psychological edge over Troyes, having remained unbeaten in their last six competitive meetings. The last time Troyes defeated Brest at Stade de l’Aube was in April 2017, indicating that Brest tends to perform well against this opponent.
- Home vs. Away Performance: Troyes have been solid at home in the Coupe de France, not losing a regular-time match at Stade de l’Aube in this tournament since 2014. However, Brest have been strong on the road, winning three of their last four away matches in domestic competitions.
- Team Motivation and Tournament Importance: Troyes are eyeing their first quarter-final appearance in 12 years, making this match crucial for them. Brest, on the other hand, have consistently reached this stage in recent years but have not advanced further since 2015. This could mean higher motivation for Troyes, who see this as a rare opportunity, while Brest may prioritize Ligue 1 over the cup.
- Recent Schedule and Fatigue: Brest have played high-intensity matches in Ligue 1 and the Champions League, suffering physically demanding games against PSG and Real Madrid. This congested schedule might lead to fatigue, giving Troyes, who play in Ligue 2 with a less demanding fixture list, an advantage in terms of freshness.
- Playing Styles and Tactical Approaches: Troyes have relied on a compact defensive setup in this competition, conceding just one goal in four matches. Brest, in contrast, prefer a more aggressive approach, which has sometimes exposed their defense, as seen in the five goals conceded against PSG. If Troyes maintain their defensive discipline, they could frustrate Brest and look for opportunities on the counter.
By keeping these aspects in mind, bettors can make a more calculated approach when considering their Troyes vs Brest betting tips.
Troyes vs Brest Match Prediction
This Coupe de France clash promises to be an exciting contest between two teams with contrasting performances in different competitions. Brest’s superior league form and recent head-to-head dominance make them slight favorites, but Troyes’ home advantage and cup resilience cannot be ignored. Troyes vs Brest odds slightly favor the visitors, but this match could be closer than expected.
Given Brest’s superior squad depth and attacking prowess, they are likely to edge out a win, but Troyes’ ability to defend compactly and take their chances on the counter could make it difficult. Expect a competitive game with both teams likely to score.
Our Prediction: Troyes 1-2 Brest
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Full-Time Result | Brest to Win | 1.94 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.86 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 2.02 |
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