Toulouse vs Guingamp Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Coupe de France 05/02/2025

Coupe de France
Toulouse vs Guingamp
Wed, 05 February 2025 – 19:45
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1.6
Home
3.8
Draw
5.2
Away

On February 5, 2025, Toulouse will square against Guingamp in an entertaining Coupe de France Round of sixteen match. Sporting a 33,150 capacity, Stadium Municipal in Toulouse will host the game. Since both sides want a place in the quarter-finals, the game looks to be fierce. Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra) will supervise field action. While Guingamp, who participate in Ligue 2, will be hoping for an upheaval, Toulouse, the 2023 Coupe de France champions, will be eager to make a strong run once more.

With Toulouse trying to keep their mid-table place in Ligue 1 and Guingamp striving for Ligue 1 promotion, both clubs arrive into this game in rather decent form. Although Toulouse’s main concerns are domestic league affairs, given their past of cup departures to lower-division teams, they will undoubtedly take this cup encounter seriously. Conversely, Guingamp will be bursting with confidence after their outstanding success in this competition thus far.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

Today’s Toulouse against Guingamp prediction points to an interesting interaction between the two teams. Although lately in Ligue 1 they have shown some erratic play, Toulouse has been competitive in the Coupe de France. This game is uncertain since Guingamp, despite playing in a lower level, has had some unforgettable cup triumphs. Guingamp has a strong team with players like Hugo Picard and Brighton Labeau, who are in good form, which could cause disturbance. Although Toulouse is the higher-tier team, they will still have to work on their form from most recent league games.

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Toulouse Results

Toulouse has experienced mixed results recently. Their recent form in Ligue 1 has been disappointing, with only one win in their last five matches. However, their cup form remains decent, and they have managed to progress despite tough challenges. The team will need to build on their recent home victory in the cup against Laval.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
02.02.25L1Toulouse vs Nice1-1D
26.01.25L1Toulouse vs Montpellier1-2L
18.01.25L1Lyon vs Toulouse0-0D
15.01.25CDFToulouse vs Laval2-1W
12.01.25L1Toulouse vs Strasbourg1-2L

With just one victory in their last five league games, Toulouse’s current form reveals challenges in Ligue 1. Their record in the Coupe de France has been inconsistent, though, with limited triumphs over lower-league opponents. Their capacity to translate their cup successes into regular wins will determine whether or not they can land a place in the Coupe de France’s quarter-finals.

Guingamp Results

Though they stumbled in their most recent game, Guingamp’s performance in Ligue 2 has been outstanding. With some dramatic wins including penalty shootouts, their performance in the Coupe de France has been extraordinary. Though they are the underdogs in this game, they will be trying to keep up their aggressive cup campaign.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
01.02.25L2Guingamp vs Paris FC0-1L
24.01.25L2Caen vs Guingamp0-1W
17.01.25L2Guingamp vs Rodez3-0W
14.01.25CDFGuingamp vs Sochaux3-2W
10.01.25L2Annecy vs Guingamp1-4W

Although Guingamp’s recent Ligue 2 performance displays a strong drive for promotion, their most recent setback to Paris FC broke a six-game winning run. Their Coupe de France run has been outstanding, though, and they will be somewhat confident going into this game. In this cup tie, the team’s pressure-resistance especially in penalty shootouts may be quite important.

Who will win Wednesday’s Coupe de France clash between Toulouse and Guingamp?
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Toulouse
65%
Draw
20%
Guingamp
15%
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Toulouse vs Guingamp Head-to-Head

The history of recent matchups between Toulouse and Guingamp shows a competitive rivalry. Toulouse has had the upper hand in their last five encounters, but Guingamp has proven to be resilient. In these previous matches, both teams have been capable of scoring and making games tight, which sets up an exciting cup clash.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
09.04.22L2Guingamp vs Toulouse2-4
30.10.21L2Toulouse vs Guingamp2-2
12.04.21L2Guingamp vs Toulouse1-1
05.12.20L2Toulouse vs Guingamp2-2
10.03.19L1Toulouse vs Guingamp1-0

Toulouse has been slightly more successful in recent head-to-head matches, but Guingamp has shown they can hold their own, especially in high-pressure situations. These past encounters suggest we can expect a close and fiercely contested match between the two sides.

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Toulouse Probable Lineup:

Toulouse is expected to field a strong lineup for their Coupe de France match against Guingamp. Here’s how the players are likely to be positioned:

Restes (GK), McKenzie (DF), Cresswell (DF), Akdag (DF), Donnum (DF), Casseres (MF), Zajc (MF), Suazo (MF), Babicka (FW), Magri (FW), Gboho (FW)

Toulouse starting lineup for the Coupe de France 2025 match against Guingamp.

Guingamp Probable Lineup:

Guingamp will look to field their best available squad in this cup match. The expected starting lineup is as follows:

Niasse (GK), Riou (DF), Gomis (DF), Nair (DF), Ourega (DF), Sidibe (MF), Louiserre (MF), Luvambo (MF), Guendouz (FW), Labeau (FW), Picard (FW)

Guingamp starting lineup for the Coupe de France 2025 match against Toulouse.

Key Moments to Watch

Ahead of the Toulouse vs Guingamp prediction 2025, here are several key moments to consider:

  • Toulouse’s Cup Form: They have struggled against lower-league teams in the past, which could play a significant role;
  • Guingamp’s Penalty Shootout Success: Their ability to handle pressure could be crucial in a tight match;
  • Recent Injuries: Toulouse will be without several key players, including Niklas Schmidt, Vincent Sierro, and Djibril Sidibe, which could impact their lineup;
  • Guingamp’s Motivation: With no major injuries or transfers, Guingamp will be full of confidence, aiming to upset a Ligue 1 team;
  • Toulouse’s Home Advantage: Playing at Stadium Municipal gives Toulouse a slight edge, though their recent league form has been less than convincing;
  • Guingamp’s Strong Attack: Players like Hugo Picard and Brighton Labeau have been in excellent form, adding a dangerous dimension to their attack;
  • Toulouse’s Poor Recent Form: Their recent form in Ligue 1, with only one win in five, suggests they might struggle;
  • Guingamp’s Push for Promotion: Their focus on Ligue 2 promotion means they might prioritize the cup, giving them added motivation.
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Free Tips on Toulouse vs Guingamp

Before the Toulouse vs. Guingamp game, you should give some thought to numerous elements to guide your bet. Examining closely the teams’ form, head-to- head statistics, player conditions, and other factors helps one to get important understanding of how the game could turn out. These are some important pointers to guide your expectations for this Coupe de France encounter.

  • Recent Team Form and Motivation: Toulouse has struggled in their recent Ligue 1 matches, only picking up one win in their last five games. This lack of form might make them more motivated to succeed in the Coupe de France, as it is their last opportunity for silverware this season. Guingamp, on the other hand, has had a solid season in Ligue 2 and will be looking to continue their impressive cup run, so their morale is likely high despite a recent loss.
  • Head-to-Head History: In their last five meetings, Toulouse has generally had the upper hand, with more wins than Guingamp. However, their encounters have often been closely contested, with many of them ending in a draw or a narrow win. This suggests that despite Toulouse’s higher league status, Guingamp will be a tough competitor and could make this match closer than expected.
  • Injuries and Suspensions: Toulouse will be without several key players, including Niklas Schmidt, Vincent Sierro, and Djibril Sidibe due to injuries. These absences could impact their depth and overall team balance. Guingamp, on the other hand, is missing Alpha Sissoko due to suspension, but otherwise, their squad remains intact. These player absences could influence the match, especially in key moments.
  • Home Advantage and Fan Support: Toulouse will have the benefit of playing at their home stadium, Stadium Municipal, which could give them a slight advantage. The passionate home crowd could lift Toulouse’s performance, especially after a difficult run in Ligue 1. Guingamp will need to cope with the pressure of playing away, which can sometimes be a challenge, particularly in high-stakes cup matches.
  • Pitch Conditions: The pitch at Stadium Municipal is a well-maintained natural grass surface, which is favorable for Toulouse, as they are more accustomed to playing on this type of pitch. Guingamp, however, may struggle slightly with the surface, given their experience with artificial turf in Ligue 2. The condition of the pitch could play a subtle role in shaping the match, with faster ball movement favoring the home team.
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Match Prediction: Toulouse vs Guingamp Prediction 2025

Given their higher league position and home advantage, Toulouse’s odds against Guingamp are probably going to be favourable given both clubs’ present performance. Guingamp’s most recent cup performances have been outstanding, though, and with a solid squad, they might readily challenge Toulouse. Given Toulouse’s poor Ligue 1 performance and their erratic recent cup form, Guingamp’s chances to reach the quarter-finals seem rather good.

Given the tough character of this tie and Guingamp’s cup form, I expect a 1-1 draw that might call for extra time or penalties.

Our Prediction: Toulouse 2-1 Guingamp

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultToulouse to win1.6
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.85
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals1.9

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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