Thailand face Iraq in the round of 16 of the AFC Asian Cup at a venue in Thailand on Tuesday, February 3, 2026. The match kicks off at 08:00 GMT+0. Referee details remain unconfirmed at this stage for this knockout-stage clash.
Thailand, as co-hosts, enter with momentum from recent friendly wins and home support, while Iraq arrive as one of the tournament favorites with strong attacking options. The matchup promises intensity as both sides aim to advance deep into the competition. Thailand vs Iraq prediction today weighs the home advantage and recent form against Iraq’s historical edge and quality.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This AFC Asian Cup knockout tie brings together a motivated host nation and a powerhouse side. Thailand vs Iraq prediction today focuses on Iraq’s superior individual quality and Thailand’s defensive resilience at home. Recent trends show open games with goals when these teams meet. Head-to-head data and current form suggest value in certain markets. The sections below break down the key numbers to spot potential edges.
Thailand Results
Thailand head into this knockout match after a strong run of friendly victories. The hosts have shown improvement defensively. They aim to use home support to cause an upset.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 31.01.26 | FAC | Thailand vs Vietnam | 1-0 | W |
| 29.01.26 | FAC | Kuwait vs Thailand | 1-6 | W |
| 27.01.26 | FAC | Thailand vs Lebanon | 2-0 | W |
| 19.12.25 | SEAG | Indonesia vs Thailand | 6-1 | L |
| 18.12.25 | SEAG | Thailand vs Vietnam | 2-1 | W |
Thailand secured four wins and one loss in their last five matches. They kept three clean sheets and scored in every game except one. Home performances have been particularly solid. Defensive solidity has improved noticeably. Overall momentum favours Thailand heading into this fixture.
Iraq Results
Iraq enter this knockout tie as one of the favorites. The visitors have shown attacking flair in recent outings. They look to extend their strong run.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 31.01.26 | FAC | Indonesia vs Iraq | 1-1 | D |
| 29.01.26 | FAC | South Korea vs Iraq | 2-3 | W |
| 27.01.26 | FAC | Iraq vs Kyrgyzstan | 4-2 | W |
| 26.04.24 | FAC | Iraq vs Afghanistan | 3-5 | L |
| 24.04.24 | FAC | Thailand vs Iraq | 3-2 | L |
Iraq recorded two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five matches. They scored in every game but conceded in four. Away form has been mixed with goals on both ends. Attacking players have contributed consistently. This form positions them as dangerous even away.
Thailand vs Iraq Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)
These sides have produced competitive and often high-scoring encounters in recent years. Iraq hold some historical edge. The record shows balanced rivalry with goals on both ends in several clashes.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 24.04.24 | FAC | Thailand vs Iraq | 3-2 |
| 27.09.22 | FAC | Iraq vs Thailand | 2-3 |
| 25.05.21 | WC | Thailand vs Iraq | 4-0 |
| 20.05.21 | WC | Iraq vs Thailand | 2-7 |
Iraq won two of the last five meetings, Thailand took two and one ended level. Goals have been plentiful with over 2.5 total in four matches. Recent clashes favored attacking play. Iraq’s slight dominance in this sample adds intrigue. The matchup should produce goals from transitional play.
Predicted Starting Lineups
These are the predicted starting lineups for the Thailand vs Iraq AFC Asian Cup match on February 3, 2026. The selections reflect the most common recent formations used by each team and account for current player availability. Official lineups will be confirmed closer to kick-off, so treat these as informed estimates based on the latest patterns.
Thailand predicted lineup
Patiwat (GK), Theerathon (DF), Pansa (DF), Kritsada (DF), Nicholas (DF), Chanathip (MF), Sarach (MF), Supachok (MF), Teerasil (MF), Ekanit (MF), Teerasak (FW).

Iraq predicted lineup
Jalal (GK), Rebin (DF), Ali (DF), Saad (DF), Hussein (DF), Zidane (MF), Bashar (MF), Ibrahim (MF), Ali (FW), Aymen (FW), Zidane (FW).

Key Match Factors and Team News
Both squads face challenges heading into this knockout clash. Motivation varies with home support for Thailand. Tactical adjustments and individual battles will likely prove decisive.
- Thailand missing key defensive stability in recent big games;
- Iraq dealing with potential fatigue from congested schedule;
- Sadio Mane-like figure in Thailand attack remains fit;
- Iraq forwards in good form key for away threat;
- Set-piece vulnerabilities exposed for both in recent matches;
- Neutral venue reduces home advantage slightly;
- Possible rotations as clubs recall players soon;
- High stakes push intensity from first whistle.
Free Tips on Thailand vs Iraq
This section delivers targeted, data-backed free betting tips drawn straight from the teams’ recent international results, scoring patterns and their head-to-head record in friendlies and qualifiers. These pointers focus on concrete trends visible in the numbers for this AFC Asian Cup round of 16 clash on February 3, 2026. They aim to help identify potential value without repeating the core team news or tactical observations already covered.
- Thailand have won their last three friendlies convincingly (including 6:1 over Kuwait and 2:0 over Lebanon) while keeping clean sheets in two of them, signaling strong defensive momentum heading into the knockout stage;
- Iraq have scored in four of their last five matches but conceded in all of them, with an average of 2.2 goals against per game recently, making both teams to score a recurring pattern in their fixtures;
- The last two head-to-head meetings (both in 2024) were won by Thailand (3:2 and 3:2), with over 4.5 total goals in both, suggesting high-scoring encounters whenever these sides meet;
- Iraq’s attack has relied heavily on individual moments from key forwards in recent games, while Thailand have shown clinical finishing at home, pointing toward potential over 2.5 goals when playing in front of supportive crowds;
- Thailand have not lost any of their last four home internationals (W3 D1) and average 2.5 goals scored per match in those games, reinforcing the value of backing them on Asian handicap or to score first in knockout ties.
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Thailand vs Iraq Match Prediction 2026
Iraq appear better placed to advance given their stronger squad depth, recent scoring output and experience in big games. Thailand have home support and momentum from friendlies but face quality gap against Iraq’s attack. Iraq’s underlying metrics from group wins suggest they handle pressure well. Thailand vs Iraq odds reflect Iraq as favourites in this context. The matchup should produce goals from individual quality and transitions, with Iraq edging it through better momentum. A narrow Iraq win looks most likely.
Our Prediction: Thailand 1-2 Iraq
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Iraq Win | 5.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.24 |
| Total Goals | Under 3.5 | 2.84 |
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