In the second round of the 2023 US Open, world number three Daniil Medvedev will face off against Christopher O’Connell, ranked 61st. The winner will advance to the third round to play against either Felipe Meligeni Alves or Sebastian Baez. Medvedev has won both previous encounters with O’Connell, including a victory at this tournament in 2020 and another in Doha earlier this year. Medvedev has had a strong season on hard courts, winning three consecutive titles in February and another in Miami in March. However, after a mediocre grass court season, he has yet to regain his top form. He lost to Alex De Minaur in the third round in Canada and was eliminated in the second round in Cincinnati by Alexander Zverev. Despite this, the 2021 US Open champion easily defeated Attila Balazs in the first round, losing only two games.
On the other hand, Christopher O’Connell advanced past his previous highest ranking of 67th after defeating Max Purcell in the first round. The Australian has faced top-10-ranked opponents twice this season and lost both times. O’Connell’s best results have come on clay courts, where he reached three quarter-finals and a semi-final in Munich. On hard courts, however, he has only advanced past the second round once and failed to qualify for the main draw at both the Canada and Cincinnati Masters earlier this month. His record for the year is currently 25-26 overall and 10-13 on hard courts. Although O’Connell managed to take a set off Medvedev in Doha this year, his recent form suggests that an upset is unlikely in this match.
vs. Alexander Zverev (Western & Southern Open)
4-6, 7-5, 4-6
vs. Alex De Minaur (Omnium National Bank)
6-7 (7-9), 5-7
Christopher O’Connell’s last 3 matches
vs. Daniel Altmaier (ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati)
6-3, 6-7, 4-6
vs. Cristian Garin (ATP Masters 1000 Canada)
List of key factors that could potentially influence the outcome of the match between Daniil Medvedev and Christopher O’Connell
Current form: The current form of both players could play a significant role in the outcome of the match. Medvedev has had a strong season on hard courts, but has yet to regain his top form after a mediocre grass court season. O’Connell, on the other hand, has had mixed results this year and has struggled on hard courts.
Head-to-head record: Medvedev has won both previous encounters with O’Connell, which could give him a psychological advantage going into the match.
Playing style: The playing styles of both players could also be a factor. Medvedev is known for his aggressive baseline play and strong serve, while O’Connell is more of a counterpuncher who relies on his movement and consistency.
Surface: The match will be played on a hard court, which could favor Medvedev given his strong record on this surface.
Physical condition: The physical condition of both players could also play a role, as fatigue or injury could affect their performance.
Odds of Winning
Previous Encounters Won
Chances of winning according to BC Game
Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win the match against Christopher O’Connell in the second round of the US Open. The odds favor Medvedev, with a 1.086 chance of winning compared to O’Connell’s 7.61. Medvedev has won both previous encounters with O’Connell, and has had a strong season on hard courts, which could give him an advantage in this match.
Born in Perth in 1987, Edward Collins, a recognized betting expert, achieved a Master’s in Sport Biomechanics from the University of Sydney in 2013. From 2014 to 2021, he collaborated with Australia’s tennis coaching associations, specializing in serve mechanics and court movement analysis. Collins has been credited with 13 academic papers, focusing primarily on player stamina and racquet technology. In 2022, he shifted gears to journalism. Currently, Collins dedicates himself to crafting analytical articles on tennis, offering insights into match strategies and player development, and regularly contributes his expertise to various sports media outlets.