Tanzania vs Tunisia (1:1): Africa Cup of Nations 30/12/2025

December 30, 2025

Status: Finished

1-1

Africa Cup of Nations

Tanzania

Tunisia

The decisive Group C clash at the Africa Cup of Nations 2025 sees Tanzania host Tunisia in a match where the Eagles of Carthage can secure progression to the knockout stage with at least a point, while the Taifa Stars need a win for any realistic hope of a historic first-ever advancement.

The game kicks off at 16:00 GMT+0 on Tuesday, December 30, 2025, at the Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah in Rabat, Morocco – a neutral venue with a capacity of 69,500. No specific referee appointment has been confirmed yet for this fixture. This third-round encounter in Group C could determine second place behind already-qualified Nigeria, adding extra intensity to an already high-stakes African showdown.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

As we dive deeper into recent performances and historical context, the Tanzania vs Tunisia prediction today points toward a cautious, low-scoring affair given the stakes. Tunisia’s experience in tight knockout-qualifying games often leads to controlled displays, while Tanzania’s improved resilience under pressure could frustrate the favorites. Both teams have shown vulnerability in defense recently, but motivation levels differ significantly. Expect tactical discipline over flair, with late goals potentially deciding the outcome. Key battles in midfield will dictate possession and transitions.

Tanzania Results

Tanzania have shown signs of progress at AFCON 2025 but remain winless in the group, extending a long drought without victory in the finals. They competed well against stronger sides yet failed to convert dominance into three points. The Taifa Stars now face a must-win scenario to keep knockout dreams alive.

Tanzania earned their first point of the tournament with a hard-fought draw against Uganda but still seek an elusive AFCON win. Defensive solidity has improved, conceding just three goals in two group games. However, attacking output remains limited, with only two goals scored. The recent run of no victories in nine matches highlights the challenge ahead. Pressure to attack could expose them against Tunisia’s counter-threat.

Tunisia Results

Tunisia arrived with high expectations as 2004 champions but suffered a setback against Nigeria after a strong opener. They sit on three points and control their destiny – a draw suffices for progression. Recent matches have been entertaining, often featuring both teams scoring.

Tunisia demonstrated attacking prowess with a convincing win over Uganda but defensive frailties surfaced in the loss to Nigeria. They have scored in seven of their last nine games, showing threat going forward. Late goals have been a feature, with six after the 80th minute in recent outings. Experience in 17 consecutive AFCON appearances provides an edge in pressure situations. A more pragmatic approach is likely here to secure the required result.

Who will win Tuesday’s Africa Cup of Nations clash between Tanzania and Tunisia?

Tanzania > Draw > Tunisia >

Tanzania

14%

Draw

25%

Tunisia

61%

Tanzania vs Tunisia Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)

Direct encounters between these sides have been rare and low-scoring, with Tunisia holding the edge in limited meetings. The most recent clashes came during AFCON qualifying, producing just three goals across two games.

Tunisia remain unbeaten against Tanzania in competitive fixtures, with tight margins defining results. Both previous qualifying meetings were decided by a single goal or ended level. This history suggests another close, cagey contest where Tunisia’s superior quality often prevails without large scorelines.

Tanzania vs Tunisia Predicted Starting Lineups

Lineups for international matches are confirmed only shortly before kick-off, but based on recent performances in the tournament, team news, and reliable previews, here are the most likely starting XIs for this crucial Group C encounter. Tanzania are expected to maintain a defensive setup with quick transitions, while Tunisia may opt for a balanced approach to secure at least a point. Note that Tunisia could be without Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane due to injury.

Tanzania possible starting lineup 

Foba (GK); Hussein (DF), Hamad (DF), Mwamnyeto (DF), Mnoga (DF); Msuva (MF), Msanga (MF), Salum (MF), Miroshi (MF), Allarakhia (FW), John (FW)

Tunisia possible starting lineup

Dahmen (GK); Valery (DF), Bronn (DF), Talbi (DF), Abdi (DF); Sassi (MF), Mejbri (MF), Skhiri (MF); Achouri (FW), Mastouri (FW), Tounekti (FW)

Key Points to Watch

With progression on the line, several factors could influence the outcome beyond pure form. Tanzania’s desperation contrasts Tunisia’s calculated approach, potentially leading to an open second half.

• Tanzania have no fresh injury concerns and field a full-strength squad motivated for a historic result;
• Tunisia may miss midfielder Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane after his injury against Nigeria, weakening central options;
• The Taifa Stars are winless in nine matches but have drawn three, showing resilience in holding leads late;
• Tunisia have seen both teams score in seven of their last nine games, indicating defensive vulnerabilities;
• Seven of Tanzania’s last nine matches produced under 2.5 goals, favoring a low-total encounter;
• Late drama is common for Tunisia, with six goals after the 80th minute in their previous five outings;
• Motivation edge to Tanzania for a must-win, while Tunisia can play for a draw and exploit counters;
• Neutral venue in Rabat levels the playing field, but Tunisia’s greater AFCON experience (17th straight appearance) counts in big moments;
• Simon Msuva’s penalty expertise could prove decisive if Tanzania earn spot-kicks;
• Ellyes Skhiri’s influence in midfield remains key for Tunisia despite the recent defeat.

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Free Tips on Tanzania vs Tunisia

Before placing any bets on this crucial Group C decider, savvy punters always dig into the underlying statistics and contextual factors that shape outcomes. These free tips draw directly from historical data, recent trends, and match-specific nuances to help identify value opportunities. By focusing on patterns from previous encounters and team performances, you can gain an edge in anticipating how this Tanzania vs Tunisia clash might unfold on December 30.

• Head-to-Head Dominance: Tunisia remain unbeaten in competitive meetings against Tanzania, with their last two encounters (both in AFCON qualifying) producing just three goals total – favoring low-scoring, controlled games where the Eagles of Carthage prevail without conceding much.
• Recent Productivity Trends: Seven of Tanzania’s last nine matches have gone under 2.5 goals, while Tunisia’s games often see both teams score (seven of nine), but their H2H history overrides this, pointing to a cagey affair with limited openings.
• Weather and Pitch Conditions: Expected mild December weather in Rabat (around 16-18°C with low rain chance) on the stadium’s premium hybrid grass surface should promote smooth, technical play rather than disrupted, high-error football – suiting Tunisia’s experienced midfield control.
• Referee Tendencies: African referees in AFCON often maintain flow in high-stakes games, but with VAR in play, expect strict calls on penalties or cards; this could benefit disciplined sides like Tunisia over desperate attackers.
• Congested Schedule Impact: Both teams played just three days ago, but Tunisia’s deeper squad rotation options reduce fatigue risk compared to Tanzania, who may push harder and tire late – aligning with Tunisia’s streak of late goals in recent outings.

Tanzania vs Tunisia Match Prediction 2025

Tunisia hold the clearer path to progression and boast superior squad depth plus historical dominance in these matchups. Tanzania have improved defensively but lack the cutting edge to break down organized opponents consistently. Expect the Eagles of Carthage to control possession and frustrate the Taifa Stars, potentially nicking a goal on the counter or set-piece. Tanzania vs Tunisia odds favor the away side, reflecting their experience and favorable position. A draw keeps Tunisia safe while likely ending Tanzania’s hopes – but we back Tunisia’s quality to edge a narrow victory in a tense, low-scoring battle.

This decisive Group C fixture carries massive implications, with Tunisia’s know-how in survival scenarios giving them the edge over a spirited but limited Tanzania outfit. The Carthage Eagles have navigated similar must-not-lose games successfully in past tournaments, drawing on vast AFCON pedigree. Tanzania’s recent draws show fight, yet converting pressure into wins has proven elusive. Defensive lapses cost Tunisia against Nigeria, but against lesser attack, they should regain composure. Late substitutions and set-pieces could decide it, where Skhiri and Achouri provide threats. Motivation is high on both sides, but Tunisia’s pragmatic style suits the occasion better. Back under 2.5 goals as primary angle given streaks, with Tunisia to win or draw double chance safest. Overall, expect a hard-fought 0-1 or 1-1 – edging toward Tunisia prevailing narrowly for progression security.

Our Prediction: Tanzania 0-2 Tunisia

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