Sudan and Burkina Faso clash in a decisive Group E fixture at the Africa Cup of Nations, with direct qualification to the knockout stage on the line. The match kicks off at 16:00 GMT on December 31, 2025, at the iconic Stade Mohamed V in Casablanca, Morocco – a venue with a capacity of over 45,000 known for its passionate atmosphere.
This third-round encounter in the group stage of AFCON 2025 carries huge stakes: Burkina Faso need only a draw to secure second place behind Algeria, while Sudan must win to guarantee progression. No referee has been officially announced yet for this fixture, but CAF’s pool of officials ensures a high-standard appointment. Sudan vs Burkina Faso prediction today points to a tense, low-scoring affair given the motivations.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
As we dive into the recent performances and historical context, this Sudan vs Burkina Faso prediction today highlights the contrasting forms and motivations. Burkina Faso arrive with superior pedigree in recent AFCON tournaments, often advancing deep, while Sudan are chasing just their second knockout appearance since 1970. Expect a tactical battle where experience could edge it. The Stallions’ late-scoring habit adds intrigue, but Sudan’s defensive resilience might frustrate them. Value lies in cautious outcomes rather than high-scoring thrillers.
Sudan Results
Sudan have shown grit in this tournament, bouncing back from an opening defeat to grab a vital win. Their overall form remains patchy, with defence often their strongest suit but attack struggling for consistency. Recent results reflect a team capable of grinding out points against similar-level opposition.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 28.12.2025 | ACN | Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan | 0-1 | W |
| 24.12.2025 | ACN | Algeria vs Sudan | 3-0 | L |
| 09.12.2025 | Friendly | Bahrain vs Sudan | 3-1 | L |
| 06.12.2025 | Friendly | Sudan vs Iraq | 0-2 | L |
| 03.12.2025 | Friendly | Algeria vs Sudan | 0-0 | D |
Sudan secured a crucial victory via an own goal against Equatorial Guinea, marking their first AFCON win in years. The heavy loss to Algeria exposed vulnerabilities against top sides, but they kept a clean sheet in friendlies prior. Only two wins in their last 12 matches underline reliance on defensive solidity. Five of their last seven defeats were by 2+ goals, suggesting trouble when conceding first. This scrappy form makes them dangerous underdogs at home neutral venues.
Burkina Faso Results
Burkina Faso boast strong recent momentum, with a history of deep AFCON runs including semi-finals in four of their last five group advancements. Their unbeaten streak ended against Algeria, but they remain favourites to progress. The Stallions excel in comebacks and late goals.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 28.12.2025 | ACN | Algeria vs Burkina Faso | 1-0 | L |
| 24.12.2025 | ACN | Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea | 2-1 | W |
| 18.11.2025 | Friendly | Burkina Faso vs Benin | 3-0 | W |
| 14.11.2025 | Friendly | Burkina Faso vs Niger | 3-2 | W |
| 12.10.2025 | WC Qual. | Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia | 3-1 | W |
Burkina Faso’s dramatic stoppage-time win over Equatorial Guinea showcased character, but the narrow defeat to Algeria halted a seven-match unbeaten run. They scored heavily in pre-tournament games, winning four straight before the Algeria blip. Six of their last eight matches saw the HT result hold at FT, indicating control once ahead. Fifteen of their last 16 goals came after the 30th minute – a streak that could prove decisive. Strong goal difference keeps them in pole position.
Sudan vs Burkina Faso Head to Head
The sides have met sparingly, with just one previous AFCON encounter back in 2012 – a match Sudan won decisively to advance. Limited history adds unpredictability, but Sudan’s lone victory gives them psychological edge. No recent friendlies mean patterns are hard to spot beyond that single clash.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 30.01.2012 | ACN | Sudan vs Burkina Faso | 2-1 |
Historical meetings are rare, but Sudan hold the only win in competitive play. That 2012 triumph on matchday three mirrored today’s high-stakes scenario. Burkina Faso will seek revenge, yet the lack of frequent encounters favours cautious play. Patterns suggest low totals, with BTTS rare in Sudan’s games. Overall, the head-to-head leans slightly towards Sudan upsetting expectations.
Sudan vs Burkina Faso Predicted Starting Lineups
Lineups are subject to late changes, but based on recent matches, team news, and tactical preferences, here are the most likely starting XIs for this crucial Group E clash. Coaches often stick to winning formulas while accounting for returns from suspension or minor rotations. Official confirmations typically come 1-2 hours before kick-off.
Sudan possible starting lineup
Mohamed Alnour Adam Saeed (GK); Mohamed Saeed Ahmed (DF), Mustafa Karshom (DF), Awad Zaid (DF), Ahmed Yousif Tabanja (DF); Ammar Kamaleldin Taifour (MF), Abdelrazig Omer (MF); Salaheldin Adil Ahmed Alhassan (MF), Walieldin Khidir (MF), Yasir Mozamil (FW); Mohamed Abdelrahman (FW)
Burkina Faso possible starting lineup
Hervé Koffi (GK); Steeve Yago (DF), Edmond Tapsoba (DF), Issoufou Dayo (DF), Arsène Kouassi (DF); Ibrahim Blati Touré (MF), Gustavo Sangare (MF), Ismahila Ouédraogo (MF); Bertrand Traoré (FW), Dango Ouattara (FW), Georgic (FW)
Injured and Questionable Players
Both teams head into this match with relatively clean bills of health, allowing for strong selections. No fresh injury concerns have been reported in the lead-up to the game, though Sudan continue to manage a broader squad impacted by longer-term absences.
| Team | Player | Reason |
| Sudan | Team captain (unnamed) | Injury |
| Sudan | Three forwards (unnamed) | Injury |
| Sudan | One full-back (unnamed) | Injury |
Key Factors to Watch
Both teams enter with clean injury slates, allowing full-strength selections. Form contrasts sharply: Sudan’s resilience versus Burkina Faso’s attacking flair. Motivation is sky-high, with progression hanging in the balance.
- No fresh injuries reported for either side; Salaheldin Alhassan returns from suspension for Sudan;
- Burkina Faso’s superior goal difference means a draw suffices for direct qualification;
- Sudan need victory for guaranteed progression, potentially opening them up late;
- Mohamed Abdelrahman scores most goals after the hour mark – a late threat for Sudan;
- Dango Ouattara key for Burkina Faso, unbeaten in nine caps when he scores/assists;
- Burkina Faso’s pedigree: semi-finals or better in four of five recent group exits;
- Only two of Sudan’s last 12 games saw BTTS, pointing to clean sheets;
- Weather in Casablanca expected mild; neutral venue but Sudan designated “home”;
- Late goals dominant for Burkina Faso (15/16 after 30th minute).
Free Tips on Sudan vs Burkina Faso
These free betting tips are derived from a deep dive into the statistics of previous matches, head-to-head records, and broader performance data for both teams. By examining patterns in scoring, defensive resilience, and historical outcomes, bettors can gain valuable insights into likely scenarios for this crucial Group E decider. The focus here is on objective trends to help identify potential value in the markets.
- Burkina Faso have scored 15 of their last 16 goals after the 30th minute, making them specialists in late breakthroughs – ideal for bets on second-half goals or comebacks if Sudan score first.
- Only two of Sudan’s last 12 matches featured both teams to score (BTTS No), highlighting their low-scoring, defensively oriented games that often end with clean sheets or minimal goals.
- Historical head-to-head is limited to one AFCON meeting in 2012 (Sudan 2-1 win), but recent trends show Burkina Faso dominating weaker opposition while Sudan struggle to create chances consistently.
- Burkina Faso’s superior recent schedule included heavy scoring in pre-tournament wins (four straight victories with multiple goals), contrasting Sudan’s patchy form with just one win in their last five across all competitions.
- The Stade Mohamed V features a high-quality hybrid natural grass pitch, favoring technical play and possession-based teams like Burkina Faso over direct, physical styles.
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Sudan vs Burkina Faso Match Prediction 2025
Burkina Faso hold the edge with experience and a favourable position – a draw secures advancement for the fourth straight AFCON. Sudan have shown defensive stubbornness, grinding a win over Equatorial Guinea, but struggle against quality attacks as seen versus Algeria. The Stallions’ late-scoring prowess and better overall form tilt the balance. Expect a cagey game where Burkina Faso control possession and nick a result. Sudan vs Burkina Faso odds reflect this, with value on the visitors not losing.
We predict Burkina Faso to win or draw (X2) as the safest outcome, likely 0-1 or 1-1. Motivation for Sudan could force errors, but Burkina Faso’s composure in big AFCON moments shines through. Probability around 65% for Burkina Faso avoiding defeat. Alternative: Under 2.5 goals, given Sudan’s low-scoring trend and cautious approach needed.
Our Prediction: Sudan 0-1 Burkina Faso
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Burkina Faso | 1.8 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.42 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.49 |
Place your bets wisely – the Sudan vs Burkina Faso odds offer great value on the more experienced side in this high-stakes, tight encounter. You can place your bet on the Sudan vs Burkina Faso match at bc.game.
