The German Supercup, now named the Franz Beckenbauer Supercup, kicks off the 2025/26 season with a blockbuster clash between Stuttgart and Bayern Munich. Set for August 16, 2025, at 18:30 GMT+0 at the MHPArena in Stuttgart, this match pits the Bundesliga runners-up against the reigning champions under the watchful eye of referee Harm Osmers.
Stuttgart, hosting the final, aim to capitalize on their home advantage at the 60,449-capacity MHPArena, seeking their first Supercup triumph since 1992. Bayern Munich, the record ten-time winners, return after missing last year’s final, driven by new signing Luis Díaz and a desire to honor the tournament’s namesake.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
The Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich prediction today hinges on recent form, head-to-head records, and key player performances. Stuttgart’s home struggles and Bayern’s attacking prowess set the stage for a high-stakes encounter. Both teams have shown mixed results in pre-season, with Stuttgart’s defensive issues and Bayern’s unbeaten away streak shaping expectations. Historical data favors Bayern, but Stuttgart’s resilience at home could spark surprises. This section breaks down their recent matches and direct clashes to guide your betting decisions.
Stuttgart Results
Stuttgart’s pre-season and late last season performances show a team capable of explosive offense but shaky defense. Their home form, marked by seven losses in the last ten games, raises concerns for the Supercup. Still, their attacking output, led by Nick Woltemade, keeps them competitive.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 09/08/25 | CF | Stuttgart vs Bologna | 0-1 | L |
| 02/08/25 | CF | Stuttgart vs Toulouse | 6-0 | W |
| 26/07/25 | CF | Stuttgart vs Celta Vigo | 2-1 | W |
| 12/07/25 | CF | Fellbach vs Stuttgart | 1-7 | W |
| 24/05/25 | POK | Arminia Bielefeld vs Stuttgart | 2-4 | W |
Stuttgart’s 6-0 thrashing of Toulouse highlights their attacking potential, with Woltemade’s goal-scoring form a key factor. However, their 0-1 loss to Bologna exposed defensive vulnerabilities, especially at home. Only four clean sheets in 24 home games last season suggest Bayern could exploit gaps. The Swabians’ ability to score against weaker sides is clear, but consistency against top-tier opponents remains a challenge. Their high-scoring win over Bielefeld in the cup shows resilience, but defensive lapses could prove costly.
Bayern Munich Results
Bayern Munich, under Vincent Kompany, have maintained strong momentum despite a short off-season. Their pre-season victories and a nine-match unbeaten domestic away run (W6, D3) underline their dominance. The addition of Luis Díaz bolsters an already potent attack, though injuries to key players like Musiala and Davies pose risks.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 12/08/25 | CF | Grasshoppers vs Bayern Munich | 1-2 | W |
| 07/08/25 | CF | Bayern Munich vs Tottenham | 4-0 | W |
| 02/08/25 | CF | Bayern Munich vs Lyon | 2-1 | W |
| 05/07/25 | CWC | PSG vs Bayern Munich | 2-0 | L |
| 29/06/25 | CWC | Flamengo RJ vs Bayern Munich | 2-4 | W |
Bayern’s pre-season form is formidable, with three consecutive wins, including a 4-0 rout of Tottenham. Their ability to score three or more goals in five of their last six domestic away games signals offensive strength. The loss to PSG in the Club World Cup exposed defensive frailties, but their recovery against Flamengo shows resilience. Díaz’s integration adds dynamism, though the absence of Musiala and Davies may strain their depth. Bayern’s consistency on the road makes them favorites, but Stuttgart’s home crowd could test their resolve.
Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich Head-to-Head
The rivalry between Stuttgart and Bayern Munich is one of the most storied in German football, with Bayern holding a dominant 95 wins in 162 meetings. Recent encounters have largely favored Bayern, though Stuttgart’s 3-1 upset in May 2024 proves they can challenge the giants. The head-to-head history sets a critical backdrop for the Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich match prediction.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 28/02/25 | BUN | Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich | 1-3 |
| 19/10/24 | BUN | Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart | 4-0 |
| 04/05/24 | BUN | Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich | 3-1 |
| 17/12/23 | BUN | Bayern Munich vs Stuttgart | 3-0 |
| 04/03/23 | BUN | Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich | 1-2 |
Bayern’s dominance is clear, winning four of the last five head-to-heads, often by multiple goals. Stuttgart’s sole victory, a 3-1 triumph in 2024, shows their potential to upset at home. Bayern’s attacking output, averaging 3.2 goals in these five matches, highlights their edge. Stuttgart’s defensive struggles at the MHPArena, conceding in all five games, suggest Bayern could capitalize again. However, Stuttgart’s ability to score in three of these matches keeps the contest intriguing.
Stuttgart Possible Starting Lineup
Stuttgart’s lineup is built around their core players, with Bredlow (GK), Vagnoman (DF), Jaquez (DF), Chabot (DF), Mittelstadt (DF), Leweling (MF), Karazor (MF), Stiller (MF), Fuhrich (FW), Undav (FW), Woltemade (FW).
Bayern Munich Possible Starting Lineup
Bayern’s lineup reflects Kompany’s attacking philosophy, featuring Neuer (GK), Laimer (DF), Upamecano (DF), Tah (DF), Stanisic (DF), Kimmich (MF), Goretzka (MF), Olise (MF), Karl (MF), Diaz (FW), Kane (FW).
Injured and Questionable Players
Injuries play a significant role in shaping the outcome of the Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich match. Stuttgart are missing a key midfielder, while Bayern’s squad depth is tested by the absence of two star players. The table below details the unavailable players and their respective injuries.
| Team | Player | Injury |
| Stuttgart | Angelo Stiller | Unspecified Injury |
| Bayern Munich | Jamal Musiala | Long-term Injury |
| Bayern Munich | Alphonso Davies | Long-term Injury |
Key Factors to Watch
The Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich betting tips revolve around critical elements that could sway the match. Both teams enter with strengths and vulnerabilities, from Stuttgart’s home crowd boost to Bayern’s injury concerns. Here are the pivotal aspects to monitor:
- Stuttgart’s Home Form: Seven losses in their last ten home games signal defensive instability;
- Bayern’s Away Scoring: Bayern scored 3+ goals in five of their last six domestic away matches;
- Key Absences: Stuttgart miss Angelo Stiller, while Bayern are without Musiala and Davies, testing their depth;
- Nick Woltemade’s Form: Stuttgart’s striker scored in each of their final four games last season;
- Michael Olise’s Impact: Bayern’s winger scored and assisted in their last four domestic games, often early;
- Defensive Records: Stuttgart kept only four clean sheets in 24 home games; Bayern conceded in four of five MHPArena visits;
- Motivation: Bayern aim to honor Franz Beckenbauer, while Stuttgart seek their first Supercup since 1992;
- Recent Streaks: Stuttgart’s 20 home games without a draw suggest a decisive outcome is likely.
Free Tips on Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich
The Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich prediction 2025 benefits from analyzing specific statistical and contextual factors unique to this matchup. These free tips focus on elements like referee tendencies, pitch conditions, and scheduling impacts to refine your betting strategy. By considering these, you can better gauge how the game might unfold at the MHPArena.
- Referee Influence: Harm Osmers’ tendency to issue cards could lead to a high card count, especially if Stuttgart’s aggressive pressing meets Bayern’s quick transitions.
- Pitch Conditions: The MHPArena’s natural grass, if well-maintained, favors Bayern’s precise passing game, but any wear could benefit Stuttgart’s physical style.
- Recent Schedule Fatigue: Bayern’s congested pre-season, including Club World Cup matches, may cause slight fatigue, potentially leveling the playing field.
- Fan Influence: Stuttgart’s 90% ticket allocation at the MHPArena creates a hostile atmosphere, potentially boosting their energy against Bayern.
- Weather Impact: August weather in Stuttgart is typically mild, but any rain could slow Bayern’s passing while aiding Stuttgart’s counter-attacks.
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Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich Match Prediction 2025
The Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich prediction 2025 leans toward a Bayern victory, driven by their superior attacking firepower and historical dominance. Bayern’s nine-match unbeaten away streak, coupled with scoring 3+ goals in five of their last six domestic away games, makes them formidable. Stuttgart’s home advantage and Woltemade’s scoring streak offer hope, but their defensive frailties conceding in 20 of 24 home games last season tilt the balance. Bayern’s new signing, Luis Díaz, adds unpredictability, while Olise’s early scoring threat could exploit Stuttgart’s shaky backline. Despite Stuttgart’s 3-1 upset in 2024, Bayern’s 95 wins in 162 meetings and recent 4-0 and 3-0 routs suggest they’re likely to overwhelm. The Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich odds reflect this, with Bayern favored to lift the trophy. Stuttgart’s high-pressing style may create chances, but Bayern’s depth and Kompany’s tactical nous should secure a 3-1 win. Expect both teams to score, given Stuttgart’s home resilience and Bayern’s occasional defensive lapses at the MHPArena.
Our Prediction: Stuttgart 1-3 Bayern Munich
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Outcome | Bayern Munich Win | 1.58 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.43 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.52 |
Place your bets with confidence on this thrilling encounter. The bet on the match – Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich you can make on bc.game, where competitive odds await for this German Supercup showdown.
