St Etienne vs Guingamp (2:3): Ligue 2 27/09/2025

September 28, 2025
Status: Finished
2-3
Ligue 2
St Etienne
Guingamp
match decor

The upcoming clash between St Etienne and Guingamp is set to kick off at 18:00 GMT+0 on September 27, 2025, at the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard in Saint-Étienne, France. This match is part of the French Ligue 2, the second tier of French football, and falls within the regular season, specifically round 8, where both teams are vying for crucial points to climb the standings. The referee for the game is Mickael Lesage from France, known for his consistent handling of Ligue 2 fixtures.

St Etienne enters the match as the home side with a capacity crowd of up to 42,000 potentially in attendance, adding to the intense atmosphere at their historic venue. Guingamp, traveling from Brittany, will look to spoil the party in what promises to be a competitive encounter in a league where promotion spots are hotly contested.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

As we delve into the St Etienne vs Guingamp prediction today, it’s essential to examine the recent performances and historical data that could influence the outcome. Bettors should focus on form trends, as both teams have shown varying levels of consistency in their last outings. Key insights include goal-scoring patterns and defensive vulnerabilities that often decide Ligue 2 matches. Understanding head-to-head records can provide an edge, revealing patterns in previous encounters. Overall, these elements combine to offer valuable betting opportunities for informed decisions.

St Etienne Results

St Etienne has been in impressive form leading up to this fixture, showcasing resilience and attacking prowess in recent Ligue 2 games. The team has accumulated points steadily, with a focus on securing wins both home and away. Their ability to grind out results against tough opponents highlights their promotion ambitions.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
23.09.25L2Amiens vs St Etienne0-1W
20.09.25L2St Etienne vs Reims3-2W
13.09.25L2Clermont vs St Etienne1-2W
30.08.25L2St Etienne vs Grenoble1-1D
23.08.25L2Boulogne vs St Etienne0-1W

St Etienne remains unbeaten in their last five matches, collecting 13 points from a possible 15. Their away form stands out with three consecutive victories, demonstrating strong defensive organization. At home, they have scored consistently, netting four goals in the last two fixtures. The draw against Grenoble was the only blemish, but even then, they created numerous chances. This run positions them well for continued success in the league.

Guingamp Results

Guingamp has experienced a mixed bag of results recently, blending wins with setbacks in Ligue 2. The team shows potential in attack but has struggled with consistency, particularly on the road. Their performances indicate a need for better defensive stability to challenge top sides.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
23.09.25L2Guingamp vs Dunkerque2-1W
20.09.25L2Troyes vs Guingamp5-2L
15.09.25L2Guingamp vs Montpellier1-0W
30.08.25L2Bastia vs Guingamp1-3W
23.08.25L2Guingamp vs Red Star0-4L

Guingamp has secured three wins in their last five, but heavy defeats highlight defensive issues. Home games have been a strength, with clean sheets in recent victories. Away, they conceded nine goals in two losses, pointing to vulnerabilities. The win over Dunkerque shows resilience, but inconsistency remains a concern. Overall, their form suggests they can compete but often falter against stronger attacks.

Who will win Saturday’s Ligue 2 clash between St Etienne and Guingamp?
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St Etienne
58%
Draw
22%
Guingamp
20%
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St Etienne vs Guingamp Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)

The rivalry between St Etienne and Guingamp has produced entertaining matches in recent years, with goals often featuring prominently. Historical data shows a balance, but home advantage has played a role in outcomes. These encounters provide context for predicting tactical approaches in the upcoming game.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
04.05.24L2Guingamp vs St Etienne2-2
05.12.23L2St Etienne vs Guingamp1-3
06.05.23L2St Etienne vs Guingamp3-2
17.09.22L2Guingamp vs St Etienne2-1
12.01.19L1Guingamp vs St Etienne0-1

The head-to-head record is evenly split, with two wins each and one draw, indicating no clear dominance, though St Etienne has fared better at home.

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St Etienne Possible Starting Lineup

St Etienne is expected to field a strong side, leveraging their attacking depth and home advantage to maintain their unbeaten run.

Larsonneur (GK), Bernauer (DF), Nade (DF), Lamba (DF), Annan (DF), Tardieu (MF), Jaber (MF), Moueffek (MF), Davitashvili (MF), Stassin (FW), Cardona (FW)

Predicted starting lineup for St Etienne in the Ligue 2 match against Guingamp, 2025.

Guingamp Possible Starting Lineup

Guingamp will aim to counter St Etienne’s pressure with a balanced lineup, focusing on defensive stability and quick transitions.

Selbonne (GK), Sissoko (DF), Gomis (DF), Demouchy (DF), Abdallah (DF), Hatchi (MF), Louiserra (MF), Sidibe (MF), Ott (MF), Hemia (FW), Mafouta (FW)

Predicted starting lineup for Guingamp in the Ligue 2 match against St Etienne, 2025.

Key Factors to Watch

Before placing bets, consider the nuances that could sway this Ligue 2 encounter. Factors like player availability and recent momentum are critical for accurate predictions. Highlighting these elements helps in assessing potential game-changers.

  • St Etienne’s unbeaten streak of five games, including four wins, boosts their confidence;
  • Guingamp’s defensive lapses, conceding 10 goals in their last two away losses;
  • Key injury for St Etienne: Dennis Appiah out with a foot injury, potentially weakening the right-back position;
  • Ebenezer Annan sidelined for St Etienne due to an ankle injury, affecting defensive depth;
  • Djylian N’Guessan missing for St Etienne with a hamstring issue, impacting midfield options;
  • Guingamp’s Sohaib Nair absent with an ankle injury, which could expose their backline;
  • No major scandals reported for either team, allowing focus on pure football;
  • St Etienne’s strong home scoring record, with eight goals in recent home matches;
  • Guingamp’s winning series interrupted by heavy defeats, showing inconsistency;
  • Recent successes for St Etienne include three straight away wins, building momentum.

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Free Tips on St Etienne vs Guingamp

To craft a reliable St Etienne vs Guingamp prediction 2025, bettors should dive into specific statistics and trends that shape this matchup. This section highlights critical factors beyond form and injuries, focusing on tactical and situational elements that could influence the game. These tips, derived from historical data and team dynamics, provide actionable insights for informed betting.

  • Pitch Conditions and Gameplay: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard’s natural grass pitch is well-maintained, favoring St Etienne’s fluid passing style, which could challenge Guingamp’s less consistent away performances.
  • Referee Tendencies: Mickael Lesage averages 4.2 cards per Ligue 2 match, suggesting a potential for bookings if the game becomes heated, especially in midfield battles.
  • Tactical Matchup: St Etienne’s high-pressing 4-3-3 could exploit Guingamp’s shaky away defense, which has conceded 9 goals in two recent road games, favoring an attacking bet like over 1.5 home goals.
  • Fan Influence: The 42,000-capacity crowd at Geoffroy-Guichard often acts as St Etienne’s “12th man,” potentially boosting their morale against a Guingamp side that struggles away.
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St Etienne vs Guingamp Match Prediction 2025

Based on the analysis, we predict a St Etienne victory in this Ligue 2 clash, likely by a 2-1 scoreline. St Etienne’s unbeaten run and solid home form give them a clear edge over Guingamp, who have struggled defensively on the road, conceding heavily in recent away games. Their head-to-head history suggests goals, but St Etienne’s superior current momentum and fewer vulnerabilities make them favorites. Guingamp’s mixed results, with wins at home but losses away, indicate they may create chances but ultimately fall short against a motivated host pushing for promotion. The St Etienne vs Guingamp odds reflect this, with home win priced around -160, offering value given their form. Defensively, St Etienne has kept things tight, allowing just four goals in five games, while Guingamp’s attack could be blunted by injuries. Expect St Etienne to control possession and exploit counter-attacks, leading to a narrow but deserved win. This prediction aligns with statistical models favoring under 2.5 goals, as both teams’ recent matches have trended low-scoring despite occasional bursts. Overall, St Etienne’s depth and home advantage should prevail in what could be a tense affair.

Our Prediction: St Etienne 2-1 Guingamp

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match WinnerSt Etienne1.62
Total GoalsOver 2.51.58
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.61

You can place a bet on the match – St Etienne vs Guingamp on bc.game, where competitive odds and live betting options enhance the excitement for this Ligue 2 fixture.

About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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