The Spain vs Greece match prediction is set to captivate basketball fans as two European heavyweights clash in the FIBA EuroBasket 2025. This Group C encounter, scheduled for September 4, 2025, at 18:30 GMT+0, will take place at the Spyros Kyprianou Arena in Limassol, Cyprus. The tournament, co-hosted by Cyprus, Finland, Latvia, and Poland, is in its group stage, with the top four teams advancing to the knockout rounds. While specific referee details are unavailable, the high-stake nature of this game, featuring NBA stars like Giannis Antetokounmpo for Greece and Willy Hernangomez for Spain, ensures intense scrutiny and officiating precision.
This Spain vs Greece prediction 2025 promises a tactical battle, with Spain defending their 2022 EuroBasket title against a Greece squad led by a dominant Antetokounmpo. Both teams are navigating tough Group C competition, including Italy and Georgia, making this matchup pivotal for securing a top spot in the standings.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
To make informed Spain vs Greece betting tips, understanding recent performances and historical matchups is crucial. The Spain vs Greece prediction today hinges on dissecting their form, key players, and head-to-head encounters. Both teams have shown strengths and vulnerabilities in their opening games, setting the stage for a competitive clash. This section prepares readers for a detailed look at recent results and direct confrontations. By examining these factors, bettors can better gauge potential outcomes.
Spain Results
Spain, the reigning EuroBasket champions, entered the 2025 tournament with high expectations but faced early challenges. Their recent performances reflect a mix of resilience and struggles, particularly in their opening loss. Below is a summary of their last five matches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 02/09/25 | EuroBasket | Italy vs Spain | 67-63 | L |
| 31/08/25 | EuroBasket | Spain vs Cyprus | 91-47 | W |
| 30/08/25 | EuroBasket | Spain vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | 88-67 | W |
| 28/08/25 | EuroBasket | Georgia vs Spain | 83-69 | L |
| 23/08/25 | Friendly | Germany vs Spain | 95-78 | L |
Spain’s 2-2 record in EuroBasket 2025 shows inconsistency, with losses to Georgia and Italy exposing defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in perimeter defense (allowing 47% from three against Georgia). Their wins over Cyprus and Bosnia highlight offensive firepower, averaging 89.5 points in victories. Willy Hernangomez’s interior presence (19 points, 8 rebounds vs. Cyprus) is a key asset, but the absence of Alberto Abalde and Alberto Diaz due to injuries has strained their guard play. The team’s reliance on young players may impact their performance against elite opponents. A strong home-court advantage at Limassol could boost their momentum.
Greece Results
Greece, led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, has been a formidable force in Group C, showcasing offensive dominance. Their recent games reflect a strong start, though a recent upset raises questions. Below are their last five matches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 02/09/25 | EuroBasket | Greece vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | 77-80 | L |
| 31/08/25 | EuroBasket | Georgia vs Greece | 53-94 | W |
| 30/08/25 | EuroBasket | Cyprus vs Greece | 69-96 | W |
| 28/08/25 | EuroBasket | Greece vs Italy | 75-66 | W |
| 24/08/25 | Friendly | Greece vs France | 77-92 | L |
Greece’s 3-1 EuroBasket record underscores their offensive prowess, averaging 85.5 points per game, led by Antetokounmpo’s 29.0 points per game. Their loss to Bosnia exposed weaknesses in closing tight games, with poor free-throw shooting (under 70%). Their 47% three-point shooting against Georgia highlights their perimeter threat. The team’s reliance on Giannis makes them vulnerable if opponents double-team him. Fatigue from a demanding schedule could also play a role.
Spain vs Greece Head-to-Head Results
The Spain vs Greece rivalry has produced closely contested battles, with Spain holding a slight edge in recent encounters. Their head-to-head history is critical for the Spain vs Greece match prediction. Below are the last five matchups.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 30/07/24 | Olympics | Spain vs Greece | 84-77 |
| 11/08/22 | Friendly | Spain vs Greece | 87-80 |
| 09/08/22 | Friendly | Greece vs Spain | 86-70 |
| 15/09/15 | EuroBasket | Spain vs Greece | 73-71 |
| 12/09/13 | EuroBasket | Greece vs Spain | 79-75 |
Spain has won three of the last five encounters, with an average margin of 5.4 points, indicating tight contests. Their defensive discipline has often neutralized Greece’s offense, though Greece’s 2022 friendly win showed their potential when Antetokounmpo dominates. Recent games suggest low-scoring, physical battles, with totals often under 160 points.
Predicted Starting Lineups for Spain vs Greece
The starting lineups for the Spain vs Greece EuroBasket 2025 matchup are pivotal, as both teams rely on key players to dictate their game plans. Spain’s roster blends experience with youth, while Greece leans heavily on Giannis Antetokounmpo’s versatility. Below is a table of the projected starting lineups based on recent performances and team news.
| Spain Player | Position | Greece Player | Position |
| Santi Aldama | Power Forward | Giannis Antetokounmpo | Power Forward |
| Juancho Hernangomez | Small Forward | Kostas Papanikolaou | Small Forward |
| Willy Hernangomez | Center | Georgios Papagiannis | Center |
| Alex Larrea | Point Guard | Tyler Dorsey | Shooting Guard |
| Santi Yusta | Shooting Guard | Kostas Sloukas | Point Guard |
Key Factors to Watch
For the Spain vs Greece prediction 2025, several critical elements will shape the outcome. Both teams bring unique strengths and challenges to this Group C clash. Bettors and fans should focus on the following to inform their Spain vs Greece betting tips.
- Injuries: Spain is without Alberto Abalde and Alberto Diaz, weakening their backcourt depth;
- Greece’s Star Power: Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 29.0 PPG and ability to attack the paint make him a game-changer;
- Spain’s Form: Spain’s 2-2 record shows inconsistency, with losses exposing perimeter defense issues;
- Greece’s Form: Greece’s 3-1 record is strong, but their loss to Bosnia highlights struggles in close games;
- Spain’s Recent Success: Wins over Cyprus and Bosnia show Spain’s ability to dominate lesser opponents;
- Greece’s Shooting: Their 47% three-point shooting against Georgia could exploit Spain’s weak perimeter defense;
- Spain’s Youth: Young players stepping up due to injuries may struggle against Greece’s physicality;
- Greece’s Free-Throw Woes: Under 70% free-throw shooting could cost them in a tight game.
Free Tips on Spain vs Greece
The Spain vs Greece match offers bettors a chance to leverage statistical insights for informed wagers. This section highlights additional factors, beyond those already covered, to refine your Spain vs Greece betting tips. These tips draw from historical data, team dynamics, and external influences to enhance your prediction strategy.
- Venue Impact: The Spyros Kyprianou Arena’s neutral setting in Limassol may reduce Spain’s typical home advantage, leveling the playing field for Greece.
- Player Fatigue: Greece’s congested schedule, with three games in five days, could lead to reduced stamina, especially for Giannis, who plays heavy minutes (37.2 per game).
- Tactical Matchup: Spain’s slow-paced, half-court offense (pace 70.2) may struggle against Greece’s fast-break style (pace 74.8), favoring transition scoring.
- Fan Influence: The absence of a strong home crowd in Cyprus could limit momentum swings, making in-game execution critical for both teams.
- Pitch Conditions: The indoor arena ensures consistent court conditions, but Greece’s faster style may benefit from the smooth, predictable surface.
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
Spain vs Greece Match Prediction 2025
The Spain vs Greece match prediction favors Greece due to their offensive firepower and Giannis Antetokounmpo’s dominance. Spain’s defensive struggles, particularly against three-point shooting (allowing 47% vs. Georgia), align poorly against Greece’s 47% three-point accuracy. Despite Spain’s historical edge (3-2 in last five head-to-heads), their current roster, hampered by injuries to Abalde and Diaz, lacks the depth to contain Giannis, who averages 29.0 points per game. Spain’s wins over Cyprus and Bosnia (average 89.5 points) show offensive capability, but their losses to Georgia and Italy reveal vulnerabilities against balanced teams. Greece’s loss to Bosnia (77-80) exposed free-throw issues (under 70%), but their overall offensive rating (85.5 PPG) surpasses Spain’s. The Spain vs Greece odds likely reflect Greece as favorites, given their 3-1 record and star power. A low-scoring, physical game is expected, with Greece’s perimeter shooting and Giannis’s paint presence tipping the scales. Greece should win by a narrow margin, leveraging their offensive versatility.
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Greece to win | 1.52 |
Place your bet on the match – Spain vs Greece at bc.game to capitalize on this exciting EuroBasket clash. With competitive odds and a user-friendly platform, bc.game offers a seamless betting experience for fans looking to engage with this high-stakes matchup.
