Spain’s quest for the 2026 World Cup kicks into high gear as they host Georgia in a clash that could cement their Group E dominance. Picture Elche’s Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero buzzing with 31,388 fans, La Roja’s flair meeting Georgia’s fearless underdog spirit. It’s a matchup where history favors the hosts, but the visitors’ Euro 2024 heroics add a twist.
This UEFA World Cup Qualifiers Group E fixture unfolds on Saturday, October 11, 2025, at 18:45 GMT+0 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in Elche, with Lithuanian referee M. Lukjancukas officiating. Spain, unbeaten with six points from two games, aim to keep their perfect record, while second-placed Georgia, with three points, look to pull off another shock after their Euro 2024 last-16 run. Spain’s 6-0 thrashing of Turkey showcased their firepower, but Georgia’s 3-0 win over Bulgaria and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s return signal danger.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Our Spain vs Georgia prediction today leans on recent form and head-to-head trends to uncover betting value. Spain’s relentless attack has steamrolled opponents, but Georgia’s knack for defying odds keeps this intriguing. Their Euro 2024 clash, a 4-1 Spain win, sets a benchmark, yet Georgia’s recent form suggests resilience. We’ll break down their latest results to spot patterns, like Spain’s goal glut or Georgia’s counter threat. These insights shape bets that balance risk and reward.
Spain Results
Spain have been a juggernaut in UEFA World Cup Qualifiers, racking up goals and points with surgical precision. Their Euro 2024 triumph and 2010 World Cup glory fuel a squad hungry to reclaim global dominance. Here’s how their last five competitive matches stack up.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 07/09/25 | WC | Turkey vs Spain | 0-6 | W |
| 04/09/25 | WC | Bulgaria vs Spain | 0-3 | W |
| 08/06/25 | UNL | Portugal vs Spain | 3-2 | L |
| 05/06/25 | UNL | Spain vs France | 5-4 | W |
| 23/03/25 | UNL | Spain vs Netherlands | 4-3 | W |
Spain’s back-to-back qualifier wins, scoring nine goals without reply, scream confidence, with Dani Olmo’s hat-trick against Turkey a standout. Their 5-4 thriller over France shows attacking depth, but Portugal’s 3-2 upset exposed rare defensive gaps. Averaging 4.0 goals per game in qualifiers, La Roja’s press overwhelms, though injuries to stars like Lamine Yamal test squad depth. The Netherlands win, sealed by Mikel Oyarzabal’s late strike, proves their clutch factor. Georgia faces a Spain side peaking but not untouchable.
Georgia Results
Georgia’s Euro 2024 breakout has carried into their World Cup qualifying campaign, blending grit with flashes of brilliance. Their 3-0 Bulgaria rout showed a team ready to compete with Europe’s elite. Here’s a look at their last five competitive matches.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 07/09/25 | WC | Georgia vs Bulgaria | 3-0 | W |
| 04/09/25 | WC | Georgia vs Turkey | 2-3 | L |
| 30/06/24 | EUR | Spain vs Georgia | 4-1 | L |
| 26/06/24 | EUR | Georgia vs Portugal | 2-0 | W |
| 22/06/24 | EUR | Georgia vs Czech Republic | 1-1 | D |
Georgia’s 3-0 win over Bulgaria, led by Georges Mikautadze’s brace, highlights their scoring punch, averaging 1.8 goals per game. The 2-3 loss to Turkey showed fight but defensive frailty, conceding 1.4 goals on average. Their Euro 2024 upset of Portugal proves they can stun giants, with Kvaratskhelia’s flair key. A draw with Czech Republic reflects resilience, though Spain’s 4-1 rout lingers as a reality check. This form suggests Georgia can score but struggle against elite presses.
Spain vs Georgia Head-to-Head
Spain and Georgia’s recent clashes have been one-sided, with La Roja dominating through superior firepower. Their Euro 2024 last-16 thrashing set a high bar, but Georgia’s lone friendly win in 2016 adds a faint upset whisper. These battles often see goals galore, shaped by Spain’s relentless attack.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 30/06/24 | EUR | Spain vs Georgia | 4-1 |
| 19/11/23 | EUR | Spain vs Georgia | 3-1 |
| 08/09/23 | EUR | Georgia vs Spain | 1-7 |
| 05/09/21 | WC | Spain vs Georgia | 4-0 |
| 28/03/21 | WC | Georgia vs Spain | 1-2 |
Spain’s clean sweep of the last five, including a 7-1 demolition in 2023, showcases their dominance, outscoring Georgia 20-4. High-scoring games, with four of five exceeding 2.5 goals, reflect Spain’s attacking edge. Georgia’s lone goal in most matches shows spirit but little threat. This history favors a comfortable La Roja win, though Georgia’s recent form hints at a closer fight. Expect goals, but Spain’s control should prevail.
Predicted Starting Lineups for Spain vs Georgia
The Spain vs Georgia UEFA World Cup Qualifiers clash on October 11, 2025, at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero promises a tactical battle, with Spain’s possession-heavy 4-3-3 meeting Georgia’s counter-attacking 4-3-3. Spain’s injury-hit squad still boasts depth, while Georgia lean on star power to challenge La Roja’s home dominance. Below are the expected starting lineups for this Group E showdown.
Spain Starting Lineup
Simon (GK), Porro (DF), Le Normand (DF), Cubarsi (DF), Cucurella (DF), Pedri (MF), Merino (MF), Zubimendi (MF), Olmo (FW), Oyarzabal (FW), Torres (FW)
Georgia Starting Lineup
Mamardashvili (GK), Kakabadze (DF), Kashia (DF), Goglichidze (DF), Azarovi (DF), Gagnidze (MF), Kochorashvili (MF), Mekvabishvili (MF), Davitashvili (FW), Mikautadze (FW), Kvaratskhelia (FW)
Key Factors to Watch
Spain vs Georgia is a clash of pedigree versus pluck, where injuries and form could tilt the scales at Elche. Spain’s star-studded squad faces a Georgia side riding Euro 2024 momentum, but key details shape the outcome. Here’s what could make or break this UEFA World Cup Qualifiers showdown.
- Spain’s Injury Woes: Missing Yamal, Williams, Gavi, and Carvajal, La Roja lean on Olmo’s three goals this campaign;
- Kvaratskhelia’s Return: Georgia’s PSG star, back from a thigh issue, could exploit Spain’s depleted defense;
- Spain’s Home Firepower: Averaging 4.0 goals in qualifiers, Elche’s 31,388 fans fuel their press;
- Georgia’s Counter Threat: Mikautadze’s two goals against Bulgaria signal danger on the break;
- Spain’s Unbeaten Streak: Two qualifier wins and three in five overall show relentless form;
- Georgia’s Chakvetadze Absence: A key midfielder out hurts their engine room balance;
- Spain’s Set-Piece Edge: Cubarsi’s aerial presence could punish Georgia’s shaky defending;
- Georgia’s Euro Momentum: Their Portugal upset proves they thrive under pressure.
Free Tips on Spain vs Georgia
Sharpen your bets for the Spain vs Georgia UEFA World Cup Qualifiers clash on October 11, 2025, with these tips rooted in head-to-head stats and recent performances. Spain’s dominant 9-0 goal tally in qualifiers meets Georgia’s Euro 2024 grit, setting up a tactical battle at Elche. This list highlights value plays by tapping into form, conditions, and overlooked angles.
- Exploit High-Scoring Trends: Spain’s last five head-to-heads with Georgia averaged 4.4 goals, with four over 2.5, making over 3.5 goals a solid bet;
- Factor in Elche’s Pitch: The Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero’s natural grass, likely crisp in October’s mild weather, suits Spain’s 62% possession game, boosting over 6.5 Spain corners;
- Watch Referee Lukjancukas: Known for card-heavy games, his presence could push bookings over 4.5, given Spain’s aggressive press and Georgia’s physical counters;
- Account for Spain’s Schedule: Back-to-back qualifiers in a week might tire Spain’s injury-hit squad, favoring Georgia’s +1.5 Asian Handicap for late resilience;
- Leverage Fan Impact: Elche’s 31,388-strong crowd acts as Spain’s 12th man, likely spurring early goals, so bet on over 1.5 first-half goals.
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Spain vs Georgia Match Prediction
For the Spain vs Georgia prediction 2025, I’m backing Spain to win 2-1, their depth and home roar overcoming Georgia’s spirited challenge. Spain’s 6-0 Turkey rout and 3-0 Bulgaria win, averaging 4.0 goals, show lethal intent, even with Yamal and Williams sidelined. Georgia’s Kvaratskhelia, fresh from injury, and Mikautadze’s form (two goals last outing) ensure a counter threat, but their 4-1 Euro loss to Spain exposes gaps against elite sides. The Spain vs Georgia odds favor La Roja at 1.40, reflecting their 7-1 head-to-head edge and 20-4 goal tally. Spain’s 62% possession and 5.2 shots on target per game overwhelm, though Georgia’s 1.8 goals per game promise a reply. Elche’s atmosphere and Lukjancukas’ whistle, known for tight calls, keep this close but not level. Olmo’s flair and Porro’s runs should unlock Georgia late, despite their fight. Spain’s path to 2026 looks clear.
Our Prediction: Spain 2-1 Georgia
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Spain Win | 1.15 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 2.18 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.35 |
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