Smouha vs Pharco Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Egyptian Premier League 21/01/2026

Premier League Egypt
Egyptian Premier League
Smouha vs Pharco
Wed, 21 Jan 2026 – 18:00
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1.89
Home
2.84
Draw
4.9
Away

The Smouha vs Pharco clash takes place on Wednesday, January 21, 2026, at Alexandria Stadium in Alexandria, with a kick-off time of 18:00 GMT. This fixture is part of the regular season in the Egyptian Premier League, specifically Round 15 of the 2025/26 campaign. The venue, Alexandria Stadium (capacity 13,660), hosts this local derby between two Alexandria-based sides fighting to climb away from the lower half of the table. No specific referee details have been confirmed in advance reports, but Egyptian Premier League matches typically feature officials known for strict card discipline in tight contests.

This mid-table battle carries added weight given both teams’ recent struggles and the need for points to distance themselves from the relegation zone. Smouha, playing at home, will look to leverage their defensive solidity, while Pharco aims to end a poor run and exploit any gaps on the counter.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

As we dive into the data ahead of Smouha vs Pharco prediction today, key patterns emerge from recent performances and historical encounters. Both sides have shown inconsistency in the league, with Smouha holding a slight edge at home and Pharco struggling away. Recent cup outings highlight defensive vulnerabilities for both, setting up a potentially low-scoring affair. Home advantage and current standings position Smouha as marginal favorites in many markets. Expect a tactical, cautious game where set-pieces and individual errors could decide the outcome.

Smouha Results

Smouha enter this match with a mixed but relatively stable run, mixing draws and narrow wins to stay mid-table. Their home form provides a foundation, though recent cup results exposed some attacking bluntness. The team has been hard to break down but lacks consistent goal threat.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
11.01.26CUPSmouha vs Haras El Hodood1-0W
08.01.26CUPHaras El Hodood vs Smouha2-1L
05.01.26CUPAl Masry vs Smouha2-0L
30.12.25CUPSmouha vs Kahrabaa Ismailia2-2D
25.12.25CUPZamalek vs Smouha0-1W

Smouha have taken points in three of their last five across competitions, showing resilience despite cup losses. Home games yield more positives, with only one defeat in recent outings. Defensive organization stands out, conceding just once in the last home match. The team averages low-scoring affairs lately. This form suggests they can grind out results against similar-level opponents.

Pharco Results

Pharco arrive in poor momentum, enduring a string of defeats that have left them near the bottom. Away trips have been particularly tough, with minimal goals scored and frequent concessions. Survival mode dominates their approach right now.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
13.01.26CUPWE SC vs Pharco2-1L
10.01.26CUPPharco vs Al Ahly1-4L
04.01.26CUPEl Gaish vs Pharco1-0L
31.12.25CUPCeramica Cleopatra vs Pharco2-1L
24.12.25CUPPharco vs Enppi2-1W

Pharco have lost four of their last five matches, highlighting deep issues in defense and confidence. Only one win in this stretch came at home. Away form remains winless recently, with consistent concessions. Goal output stays low, averaging under one per game. This run puts pressure on them to avoid another defeat here.

Premier League Egypt
Smouha
Who will win Wednesday’s Egyptian Premier League clash between Smouha and Pharco?
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Smouha
49%
Draw
33%
Pharco
18%
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Smouha vs Pharco Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)

The rivalry remains competitive, with no clear dominance in recent years. Draws and narrow margins feature heavily, often producing tight, low-event games.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
30.12.24PLPharco vs Smouha2-1
24.05.24PLPharco vs Smouha1-1
04.12.23PLSmouha vs Pharco2-1
23.05.23PLPharco vs Smouha1-0
08.01.23PLSmouha vs Pharco0-2

Head-to-head shows balanced outcomes, with Pharco edging slightly in recent visits but Smouha stronger at home historically. Three of the last five ended with both teams scoring or close margins. Low totals prevail in most encounters. This trend points to another cautious, potentially cagey derby.

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Predicted Lineups for Smouha vs Pharco – Egyptian Premier League

Here are the projected starting lineups for the upcoming Smouha vs Pharco match on January 21, 2026. These formations are based on the most recent team selections, available squad information, and tactical preferences shown in prior games. Note that official confirmed lineups are typically announced closer to kick-off (around 60 minutes before), and substitutions or late changes due to fitness or tactical decisions can occur. Smouha are expected to deploy a balanced 4-2-3-1 or similar setup emphasizing defensive solidity at home, while Pharco may opt for a compact shape to counter on the break amid their poor run.

Smouha: Predicted lineup

Taimour H. (GK); Hafez H. (DF), Ragab M. (DF), Mostafa M. (DF), Afifi Y. (DF); Mohamed K. (MF), Fathi E. (MF), Amer A. (MF), Juhayna (FW); Amankona S. (FW), Hassan A. (FW).

Smouha predicted starting lineup for the match against Pharco - Egyptian Premier League January 2026

Pharco: Predicted lineup

Daador A. (GK); Ndiaye B. (DF), Hussein M. (DF), Emam S. (DF), Ahmed M. (MF); Mostafa W. (MF), Galal Y. (MF), Fouad A. (MF) (C), El Mallah Y. (MF); Badara A. (FW), El Tayeb K. (FW).

Pharco predicted starting lineup for the match against Smouha - Egyptian Premier League January 2026

These lineups reflect the provided player lists and typical positional alignments for each side in recent outings. Smouha’s setup features strong full-back options and midfield control, potentially allowing them to dominate possession at Alexandria Stadium. Pharco’s selection includes captain Fouad A. in a central creative role, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed if they fail to contain Smouha’s forwards. Keep an eye on any last-minute team news for adjustments.

Key Match Factors and Team News

Several elements will shape this Alexandria derby, from squad availability to tactical matchups and current streaks. Both sides face pressure to collect points amid their league positions.

  • Smouha missing Mohamed Dabash due to suspension, weakening the backline slightly;
  • Pharco with no reported major injuries or suspensions, allowing full squad selectio;
  • Smouha sit 14th with 16 points from 12 games (3W-7D-2L, 9:7 goals), showing defensive solidity but poor attack;
  • Pharco languish 16th with 12 points from 13 games (2W-6D-5L, 5:12 goals), in desperate need of an away result;
  • Smouha unbeaten in their last three home league games, building some momentum;
  • Pharco on a four-game losing streak across competitions, confidence at rock bottom;
  • Local derby factor often leads to extra motivation and cards in Alexandria clashes;
  • Recent cup fatigue for both after midweek action, potentially impacting intensity;
  • Under 2.5 goals trend strong in H2H and both teams’ recent matches;
  • Smouha’s home xG creation edges higher than Pharco’s away defensive record allows.

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Free Tips on Smouha vs Pharco

This section highlights practical betting advice tailored to the Smouha vs Pharco derby in the Egyptian Premier League. Drawing from recent form trends, head-to-head patterns, and venue specifics, these tips focus on value opportunities without overlapping broader match factors. They emphasize objective data like productivity in past clashes and home/away disparities to guide informed decisions.

  • Prioritize home advantage in low-scoring leagues: Smouha have stayed solid at Alexandria Stadium recently, conceding few goals in domestic outings, while Pharco struggle to create chances away, making home-side edges reliable in tight mid-table battles.
  • Lean toward unders when H2H history shows caution: The last five encounters averaged under 2.5 goals with frequent narrow results or draws, reflecting defensive mindsets in this Alexandria rivalry and supporting bets on low totals.
  • Monitor team morale through streaks: Pharco’s extended losing run across competitions signals low confidence, especially on the road, whereas Smouha’s ability to pick up points despite mixed results suggests better resilience under pressure.
  • Factor in derby motivation for card-heavy outcomes: Local clashes like this often see heightened intensity and fouls, with both sides fighting to avoid the drop zone, increasing the likelihood of bookings compared to standard fixtures.
  • Assess away scoring drought for clean sheet potential: Pharco have managed only five league goals in 13 matches this season and rarely threaten opponents away, boosting the case for Smouha to keep a shutout against a side low on attacking output.
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Smouha vs Pharco Match Prediction

Smouha vs Pharco odds favor the hosts given their home record, Pharco’s dismal form, and the derby context where home sides often prevail narrowly. Smouha’s defensive setup should contain Pharco’s limited attack, while the visitors’ poor scoring run (just 5 goals in 13 league games) limits upset potential. Expect a low-scoring game with Smouha controlling possession and nicking a win via a set-piece or counter. Pharco may park the bus but lack quality to threaten consistently. The likely outcome is a Smouha victory, possibly by a single goal, or a hard-fought draw if fatigue shows. Home advantage and motivation tilt it toward the hosts in a match that rarely explodes into high drama.

Our Prediction: Smouha 1-0 Pharco

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Full Time ResultSmouha Win1.89
Total GoalsUnder 2.51.33
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.4

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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