Smouha vs Al Ahly Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Egypt Premier League 23/02/2026

Egyptian Premier League
Egypt Premier League
Smouha vs Al Ahly
Mon, 23 Feb 2026 – 19:30
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6.0
Home
3.5
Draw
1ю58
Away

The upcoming clash between Smouha and Al Ahly is set for Monday, February 23, 2026, kicking off at 19:30 GMT+0 at Alexandria Stadium, with a capacity of 13,660. This Round 19 fixture in the Egyptian Premier League promises intensity as Al Ahly chase consistency at the top, while Smouha aim to capitalize on home advantage. Referee details remain unconfirmed in available sources, but expect a standard Egyptian league official handling the match amid typical strict disciplinary approach.

This encounter carries weight in the 2025/26 season standings, with Al Ahly holding strong title credentials despite recent absences, and Smouha showing mixed domestic results. Smouha vs Al Ahly prediction today highlights a classic underdog vs giant dynamic in Egyptian football.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

As we dive into the data ahead of this key Egyptian Premier League fixture, focus shifts to recent performances, historical edges, and critical absences that shape value opportunities. Smouha vs Al Ahly prediction today relies heavily on form trends, defensive solidity, and how injuries disrupt Al Ahly’s usual dominance. Key insights reveal patterns in low-scoring H2H games and Smouha’s home resilience against top sides. Bettors should weigh Al Ahly’s quality despite personnel issues against Smouha’s recent home win. These elements combine to inform realistic expectations for goals, cards, and outright outcome.

Smouha Results

Smouha enter this match after a patchy run in the Premier League, blending solid home displays with struggles away. The team has shown capability to grind results but lacks consistency against elite opposition. Recent outings underline defensive vulnerabilities paired with occasional attacking spark.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
16.02.2026PLAl Ittihad vs Smouha1-0L
11.02.2026PLZamalek vs Smouha1-0L
04.02.2026PLSmouha vs Pyramids2-1W
29.01.2026PLEnppi vs Smouha1-2W
21.01.2026PLSmouha vs Pharco2-0W

Smouha have alternated wins and losses recently, securing three victories in their last five but dropping points in tough away fixtures. Home form provides encouragement with clean sheets and narrow wins against mid-table sides. The back-to-back defeats highlight issues in converting chances against stronger defenses. Overall momentum leans positive at Alexandria Stadium where they exploit counter opportunities effectively.

Al Ahly Results

Al Ahly maintain their status as Egyptian giants with controlled performances across competitions. Despite a demanding schedule including CAF Champions League ties, they show resilience in securing points. Recent results reflect defensive strength and ability to win tight games.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
19.02.2026PLAl Ahly vs El Gouna1-0W
15.02.2026CLAl Ahly vs FAR Rabat0-0D
11.02.2026PLAl Ahly vs El Ismaily2-0W
07.02.2026CLKabylie vs Al Ahly0-0D
03.02.2026PLNational Bank Egypt vs Al Ahly1-1D

Al Ahly remain unbeaten in their last five across all fronts, registering three clean sheets and efficient scoring when needed. Draws in continental action suggest rotation impact but league wins confirm dominance domestically. Minimal concessions underline defensive organization even amid absences. The side excels in low-event matches, grinding results through structure and experience.

Egyptian Premier League
Smouha
Who will win Monday’s Egypt Premier League clash between Smouha and Al Ahly?
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Smouha
14%
Draw
25%
Al Ahly
61%
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Smouha vs Al Ahly Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)

Historical meetings heavily favor Al Ahly who dominate this fixture with superior quality and consistency. Smouha rarely breach the Reds’ defense in recent years. The pattern shows low-scoring, controlled games.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
07.01.2025PLAl Ahly vs Smouha2-0
08.08.2024PLSmouha vs Al Ahly0-1
28.11.23PLAl Ahly vs Smouha0-0
17.04.2023PLSmouha vs Al Ahly0-2
17.01.2023CUPAl Ahly vs Smouha3-1

Al Ahly have won four of the last five encounters with one draw, conceding just twice overall. Clean sheets dominate for the visitors while Smouha struggle to create clear chances. The trend points to narrow Al Ahly victories or stalemates in tight contests.

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Predicted Starting Lineups for Smouha vs Al Ahly

These are the projected starting lineups for the Egyptian Premier League match between Smouha and Al Ahly on February 23, 2026, based on recent team selections, available squad information, and typical formations used in similar fixtures. Note that actual lineups are confirmed closer to kick-off and may vary due to last-minute decisions, tactics, or unconfirmed absences. Al Ahly often rotate amid a busy schedule, while Smouha tend to field a stable home XI.

Smouha possible starting lineup:

Ahmed Mayhoub (GK), Mido Mostafa (DF), Hesham Hafez (DF), Mohamed Dabash (DF), Abdelrahman Amer (DF), Amr El Sisi (MF), Khaled El Ghandour (MF), Ahmed Fawzi (MF), Samir Fekri (MF), Samuel Amadi (FW), Pape Badji (FW).

Smouha predicted starting lineup – Egypt Premier League match vs Al Ahly 23/02/2026

Al Ahly possible starting lineup:

Mohamed El Shenawy (GK), Mohamed Hany (DF), Yasser Ibrahim (DF), Yassin Marei (DF), Youssef Belammari (DF), Marwan Ateya (MF), Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane (MF), Aliou Dieng (MF), Emam Ashour (MF), Achraf Bencharki (FW), Ieltsin Camões (FW).

Al Ahly predicted starting lineup – Egypt Premier League fixture against Smouha February 2026

Key Match Factors and Team News

Multiple elements will dictate the flow of this Premier League showdown, from personnel shortages to tactical setups. Al Ahly face notable challenges upfront and at the back while Smouha benefit from a fully available squad.

  • Al Ahly missing key defender Yasser Ibrahim due to suspension (yellow card accumulation).
  • Forward Trezeguet sidelined with injury until early April.
  • Winger Zizo out long-term with tendon injury.
  • New defender Amr El Gazzar also unavailable through injury.
  • Midfielder Marwan Attia absent via suspension in midfield.
  • Smouha have no reported injuries or suspensions entering the game.
  • Al Ahly’s recent clean sheets highlight defensive resilience despite absences.
  • Smouha’s home wins against mid-table teams boost confidence at Alexandria Stadium.

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Free Tips on Smouha vs Al Ahly

This section delivers practical, data-driven advice tailored to the Smouha vs Al Ahly encounter in the Egyptian Premier League on February 23, 2026. Drawing from recent team statistics, historical meetings dominated by low-scoring outcomes, and current form patterns, these tips help identify value without overlapping team news or key factors already covered. Bettors can use these to refine approaches for this fixture where Al Ahly’s quality often prevails in tight contests despite challenges.

  • Examine head-to-head productivity: The last five clashes averaged under 1.8 goals per game with four clean sheets for Al Ahly, making under 2.5 goals a consistent angle in this rivalry.
  • Evaluate home-away disparities: Smouha have claimed three home wins in their recent five league outings while keeping clean sheets against mid-tier sides, but they failed to score in both recent home games versus Al Ahly.
  • Consider league table context: Al Ahly sit fourth with 33 points from 16 matches and a strong +12 goal difference, compared to Smouha’s eighth place on 25 points, underscoring the visitors’ superior consistency throughout the season.
  • Factor in recent scheduling demands: Al Ahly’s midweek CAF Champions League commitments have led to draws in continental ties, potentially contributing to fatigue that favors cautious, low-event football in domestic away fixtures.
  • Assess overall match tendencies: Both teams feature in defensive-oriented games lately, with Al Ahly posting three clean sheets in five across competitions and Smouha alternating narrow results, pointing toward no both teams to score as a reliable trend here.
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Smouha vs Al Ahly Match Prediction

Al Ahly hold clear edge in quality and experience despite defensive and attacking absences, making them favorites to control proceedings and secure the points. Smouha’s home form offers resistance but historical dominance plus Al Ahly’s low-scoring efficiency suggest a narrow away success. Expect a cagey affair with limited goals given recent trends and absences impacting creativity. Smouha vs Al Ahly odds reflect this imbalance favoring the visitors in most markets. Defensive solidity should prevail over open play, aligning with Al Ahly’s recent 1-0 style wins. Overall probability leans toward an away win or under 2.5 total goals in a disciplined encounter.

Our Prediction: Smouha 0-1 Al Ahly

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultAl Ahly Win1.58
Total GoalsUnder 2.51.58
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.52

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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