SC Farense vs Benfica Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Taça de Portugal 17/12/2025

Taça de Portugal
SC Farense vs Benfica
Wed, 17 Dec 2025 – 20:45
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13.0
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6.0
Draw
1.21
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SC Farense vs Benfica prediction 2025 captures a classic cup upset opportunity, as the second-division hosts welcome Primeira Liga giants in a knockout clash ripe for rotation and surprises. Benfica arrive with continental pedigree and depth, yet Farense’s home tenacity in cup runs could force a nervy evening under Algarve lights. This round of 16 tie blends underdog spirit with elite quality, promising goals from transitions and set pieces amid festive scheduling.

The encounter kicks off at 20:45 GMT+0 on Tuesday, December 17, 2025, at Estádio de São Luís in Faro, a compact 6,500-seat venue that packs passionate support for the Lions of the Algarve. No confirmed referee appointment surfaces, with Taça de Portugal officials typically averaging 4.5 yellow cards and occasional penalties in high-profile ties. As the round of 16 in the Taça de Portugal, Portugal’s premier knockout competition, victory secures a quarterfinal berth and keeps trophy dreams alive for both sides.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

SC Farense vs Benfica match prediction spotlights Benfica’s road prowess against Farense’s cup resilience at São Luís. Bettors scanning SC Farense vs Benfica betting tips find appeal in Benfica handicaps or goal totals, given historical scoring patterns. SC Farense vs Benfica prediction today strongly favors the Eagles, though rotation risks open doors for Farense counters. Upcoming sections unpack form streaks and direct meetings to refine selections. Dive into data-driven angles for sharper plays on this mismatch.

SC Farense Results

SC Farense battles in Liga Portugal 2 with fluctuating outputs, blending home solidity against lower foes with struggles versus promotion contenders. Coach Jorge Costa nurtures a counter-attacking unit, thriving on set pieces while exposing defensive gaps in open play. Their recent mix reflects a side capable of cup magic yet inconsistent in league grind.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultSC Farense
13/12/2025LP2Academico Viseu vs SC Farense3-0L
08/12/2025LP2SC Farense vs Vizela2-0W
30/11/2025LP2Sporting CP B vs SC Farense3-1L
23/11/2025TPSC Farense vs Silves FC5-1W
16/11/2025LP2Felgueiras vs SC Farense1-1D

Farense’s haul includes vital home wins like the Vizela shutout, where Merghem and Tomané combined for efficiency in sparse chances. The 5-1 cup demolition of Silves showcased attacking flair, netting five from varied sources to fuel progression. Heavy defeats at Viseu and Sporting B highlighted away vulnerabilities, conceding six via transitions. Draws at Felgueiras salvaged points through grit. This patchwork positions Farense as cup spoilers, reliant on São Luís energy.

Benfica Results

Benfica surges through a demanding schedule with authority, blending league pushes and European nights under Roger Schmidt’s possession-heavy approach. Their squad depth shines in multi-front battles, delivering clean sheets and clinical finishes against varied opposition. Lately, results affirm title credentials and cup ambition.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultBenfica
14/12/2025LPMoreirense vs Benfica0-4W
10/12/2025CLBenfica vs Napoli2-0W
05/12/2025LPBenfica vs Sporting CP1-1D
29/11/2025LPNacional vs Benfica1-2W
25/11/2025CLAjax vs Benfica0-2W

Benfica’s unbeaten streak nets 13 points from five, averaging 2.2 goals scored while conceding 0.4, a mark of defensive mastery. The 4-0 thrashing at Moreirense featured Pavlidis’ brace in ruthless transitions. Napoli and Ajax shutouts underscored continental resolve, limiting xG to under 0.8. Sporting draw tested resilience, holding firm despite pressure. Nacional win via late strikes showed character. This run cements Benfica’s dominance, primed for cup progression.

Who will win Wednesday’s Taça de Portugal clash between SC Farense and Benfica?
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SC Farense
7%
Draw
15%
Benfica
78%
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SC Farense vs Benfica Head-to-Head 

Clashes between SC Farense and Benfica consistently favor the Lisbon giants, with multi-goal margins defining recent league and cup skirmishes. Farense’s rare threats come on counters, yet Benfica’s quality overwhelms in possession and finishing. Broader trends reveal one-sided affairs, amplifying the visitors’ edge.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
02/04/2025LPBenfica vs SC Farense3-2
14/01/2025TPSC Farense vs Benfica1-3
02/11/2024LPSC Farense vs Benfica1-2
12/07/2024CFBenfica vs SC Farense5-0
22/04/2024LPSC Farense vs Benfica1-3

Benfica’s flawless five wins average 3.2 goals scored against Farense’s 1.0, often decided by superior bench impact. Last season’s cup tie here mirrored patterns, Benfica overturning an early deficit for comfort. League meetings saw narrow scores yet consistent control, with Di María and Aktürkoglu pivotal. Friendly blowout highlighted depth gaps. Overall, 80% over 2.5 goals persists, suiting attacking visitors.

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Predicted Lineups for the SC Farense vs Benfica Football Match

Projected starting lineups for this Taça de Portugal round of 16 fixture reflect the coaches’ current preferences, with SC Farense deploying a defensive 3-4-3 to contain Benfica’s attack while seeking counters, and Benfica opting for their familiar 4-2-3-1 even with some rotation due to the congested December schedule. These selections incorporate recent performances and account for confirmed absences, prioritizing players in form and available depth for the clash at Estádio de São Luís.

SC Farense Predicted Lineup

Araujo (GK), Herrero (DF), Ruben (DF), Romero (DF), D’Agrella (MF), Semedo (MF), Falcao (MF), Delgado (MF), Candeias (FW), Sangare (FW), Almeida (FW).

Benfica Predicted Lineup

Trubin (GK), Dedic (DF), Araujo (DF), Otamendi (DF), Silva (DF), Barrenechea (MF), Aursnes (MF), Rego (AM), Sudakov (AM), Rego (AM), Pavlidis (FW).

Injured and Questionable Players

Several key players will miss this Taça de Portugal tie due to injuries, impacting squad depth particularly for Benfica ahead of a busy festive period, while SC Farense enters with a clean bill of health beyond the starting group. The table below lists confirmed absences with reasons.

TeamPlayerInjury
BenficaAlexander BahKnee Injury
BenficaBrumaAchilles Tendon Injury
BenficaNélson FelixKnee Injury
BenficaDodi LukebakioBroken Ankle
BenficaHenrique AraújoMuscle Injury
BenficaLeandro BarreiroInjury

Key Factors to Watch

This round of 16 pulses with contrasts, from league disparities to tactical tweaks that could narrow the gap at intimate São Luís. Farense’s cup motivation meets Benfica’s rotation strategy, heightening upset potential in holiday scheduling. No major scandals disrupt focus, allowing emphasis on fitness and execution in mild Faro climes. Standout elements include:

  • Benfica’s 10-game unbeaten run across competitions features eight clean sheets, averaging 2.1 xG created;
  • Farense’s three-match home winning streak in cup play nets 12 goals, boosting confidence against elites;
  • Minor doubts linger for Benfica’s Bah and Silva with knocks, prompting rotations like Rollheiser starts;
  • Farense reports full availability, enabling Costa to field Tomané’s finishing centrally;
  • Benfica average 2.4 goals away, exploiting Farense’s 1.6 xGA at home via wide overloads;
  • Farense’s counters yield 45% goals, targeting Benfica’s high line with Merghem’s pace;
  • Eagles’ Napoli win showcased depth, with substitutes contributing decisively;
  • Farense’s Silves rout via set pieces signals threat in dead-ball situations.

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Free Tips on SC Farense vs Benfica

These free tips are built on statistical patterns from past encounters, goal trends, and performance splits to offer clear betting perspectives for the Taça de Portugal round of 16 at Estádio de São Luís. Historical data and league metrics reveal pronounced disparities in scoring and defensive outputs, guiding selections beyond surface form. Focused on this David-versus-Goliath clash, they draw directly from matchup specifics for informed, data-backed plays.

  • Benfica’s away games this season average 2.6 goals scored with just 0.8 conceded, while Farense’s home defenses in cup ties allow 1.4 against lower opposition;
  • The last five head-to-head meetings produced over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases, with Benfica responsible for 16 of the 21 total strikes;
  • Ángel Di María contributes goals or assists in 70% of Benfica’s away wins, positioning anytime goalscorer or shot-on-target bets at attractive mid-range odds;
  • Estádio de São Luís features a well-maintained natural grass surface, and mild Faro weather around 14-16°C with no rain forecast preserves quick transitions favoring Benfica’s possession game;
  • League position highlights Benfica’s top-tier 2.4 PPG against Farense’s second-division 1.6 PPG, underscoring a structural gap that often translates to multi-goal margins in cup ties.
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SC Farense vs Benfica Match Prediction 2025

SC Farense vs Benfica odds slate the visitors at 1.25 to advance, echoing their unbeaten H2H streak and 2.8 PPG dominance over Farense’s second-tier status. We foresee a 1-3 Benfica win, leveraging 2.2 away xG to dismantle Farense’s low block, as Schmidt’s likely rotated 4-2-3-1 with Aktürkoglu and Pavlidis overwhelms. Farense fights at home, yet Benfica’s depth neutralizes, mirroring last cup tie’s pattern. Minor absences force tweaks, but talents like Kökcü dictate tempo. Models project 68% Benfica probability, over 2.5 at 1.70 value given 80% H2H hits. Farense scores consolation, but Eagles soar to quarters.

Our Prediction: SC Farense 1-3 Benfica

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultBenfica Win1.21
Both Teams to ScoreYes2.6
Total GoalsOver 2.51.65

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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