SC Bastia host EA Guingamp at Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia on 30/08/2025 at 12:00 GMT in Ligue 2 Round 4. The match will be officiated by A. Perreau Niel (FRA) in front of an anticipated loud Corsican crowd at a football venue with a capacity of 16,048.
Bastia seek a rebound after a late 0-1 defeat at Le Mans, while Guingamp arrive on the back of consecutive league losses, including a heavy 0-4 reverse to Red Star. With early-season points at a premium, both sides will look to tighten defensive lines that have shown vulnerabilities.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
Expect a tense, physical meeting with set-piece value and narrow margins. Bastia’s home edge and Guingamp’s recent concessions tilt the probability towards the hosts, but Guingamp’s open games keep BTTS in play. Recent H2H favors Bastia’s unbeaten sequence, tempering the away side’s prospects. Scheduling and confidence trends point to Bastia protecting a lead rather than chasing. With that in mind, the SC Bastia vs EA Guingamp prediction today leans Bastia by a single goal in a medium-total corridor.
SC Bastia Results
Bastia have mixed recent form: stubborn at home, but undone late at Le Mans. Friendlies showed goal volume, though defensive slips persist. The task now is converting territorial control into clean chances.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/D/L |
| 22.08.25 | L2 | Le Mans vs Bastia | 1-0 | L |
| 15.08.25 | L2 | Bastia vs Pau FC | 1-1 | D |
| 02.08.25 | CF | Bastia vs Amiens | 4-2 | W |
| 26.07.25 | CF | Bastia vs Montpellier | 0-1 | L |
| 19.07.25 | CF | Bastia vs Aubagne | 3-1 | W |
Bastia score freely in friendlies and can create at home when the tempo suits them. League output has been thinner, highlighting chance conversion as a lever for improvement. The recent away loss came from a late strike, suggesting focus in added time is crucial. A 1-1 draw with Pau underscored midfield balance but limited penetration. Set pieces remain a viable route given Corsican physicality and delivery quality.
EA Guingamp Results
Guingamp’s start includes defensive turbulence but enough attacking sequences to threaten. Friendly results hinted at stability; league action has exposed transitions and marking issues. They will need improved compactness on the road.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/D/L |
| 23.08.25 | L2 | Guingamp vs Red Star | 0-4 | L |
| 16.08.25 | L2 | Reims vs Guingamp | 1-0 | L |
| 09.08.25 | L2 | Guingamp vs Le Mans | 3-3 | D |
| 01.08.25 | CF | Guingamp vs Stade Briochin | 3-1 | W |
| 26.07.25 | CF | Guingamp vs Lorient | 1-1 | D |
The 0-4 at home to Red Star signals structural concerns and momentum loss. An away blank at Reims adds to finishing doubts on the road. Still, the 3-3 vs Le Mans shows they can manufacture chances. Fitness and focus after halftime have been swing factors. A response here hinges on compressing lines and reducing unforced errors in Zone 14.
SC Bastia vs EA Guingamp Head-to-Head (last 5)
Recent meetings skew toward Bastia’s resilience, with Guingamp struggling to force wins. Scorelines often sit low-to-mid, reflecting cautious spells and set-piece battles. Bastia are unbeaten in this run.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 02.05.25 | L2 | Guingamp vs Bastia | 2-2 |
| 13.12.24 | L2 | Bastia vs Guingamp | 3-1 |
| 20.04.24 | L2 | Guingamp vs Bastia | 0-1 |
| 28.10.23 | L2 | Bastia vs Guingamp | 0-0 |
| 18.02.23 | L2 | Bastia vs Guingamp | 1-1 |
Bastia have taken the clearer victories, and Guingamp’s last trips to Corsica produced few goals. The sequence supports a modest-total home-lean template.
Probable Lineups football starting XIs
Below are projected elevens based on the latest team news and shapes.
SC Bastia (4-3-3): Placide (GK), Bohnert (DF), Guidi (DF), Roncaglia (DF), Ariss (DF), Etoga (MF), Janneh (MF), Boutrah (MF), Tomi (FW), Ble (FW), Sebas (FW)
EA Guingamp (4-4-2): Ortolà (GK), Sissoko (DF), Gomis (DF), Demouchy (DF), Abdallah (DF), Hatchi (MF), Louiserre (MF), Sidibé (MF), Ott (MF), Hemia (FW), Mafouta (FW)
Unavailable & Doubtful Players
Below is the latest availability picture; monitor late updates on matchday.
| Team | Player | Reason | Status |
| SC Bastia | Dylan Basset | Injury | Out |
| SC Bastia | Tom Ducrocq | Red card (suspension) | Suspended |
| SC Bastia | J. Guevara | Knee injury | Out |
| EA Guingamp | Sohaib Naïr | Ankle ligament tear | Out |
| EA Guingamp | I. Planeix | Inactive | Out |
| EA Guingamp | A. Sagna | Injury | Out |
Key factors to watch before placing a bet
Three context notes first: both sides need defensive resets, Bastia enjoy home comfort, and Guingamp’s recent results magnify pressure on structures and discipline:
- Bastia unbeaten in their last two home league fixtures;
- Guingamp lost back-to-back league games, including a 0-4 at home.Bastia’s last five include two multi-goal wins (friendlies), pointing to higher ceiling when front three click;
- Guingamp’s games trend high-event (3.33 avg goals across last six);
- Late goals against have hurt Bastia; time-on-clock management matters;
- Guingamp’s away scoring dipped (0 at Reims), raising reliance on set plays and Mafouta;
- H2H: Bastia unbeaten across the last five meetings;
- Referee Perreau Niel: physical contests likely, card markets worth tracking post line-ups.
Free Tips on SC Bastia vs EA Guingamp
Below are match-specific guidelines you can apply when selecting markets. They focus on exploitable angles tied to style, scheduling, and venue, complementingnot repeatingthe factors above:
- Home vs Away Performance Nuance: Bastia’s recent home base provides stability for chance creation, especially via wide-to-box patterns; consider host-favoring outcomes coupled with conservative totals (e.g., Home Win + Over 1.5) rather than big handicaps.
- Tactical Matchup & Set-Pieces: Guingamp’s defensive spacing has been exposed by crosses and second balls. Corner and set-piece involvement for Bastia can drive shots-on-target props for their central forwards and attacking mids.
- Recent Schedule & Energy Management: Guingamp’s heavy defeat often triggers pragmatic setups next time out; expect a lower block early and possible late stretch. Late-goal or 2nd-half goal markets can hold value if Bastia probe patiently.
- Player Form Filters: If Mafouta starts, his movement between center-backs sustains Guingamp’s scoring probability even in a losing effortBTTS can coexist with a Bastia-lean result.
- Referee Profile in Market Terms: A firmer whistle increases card risk for transitional fouls. Consider team-card or over-cards markets if line-ups reveal combative midfields.
- Price Discipline: Track SC Bastia vs EA Guingamp odds around team news; small drift on BTTS/Over ranges is common when attacking starters are confirmed.
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
Match Prediction 2025 SC Bastia vs EA Guingamp
Bastia’s home platform and recent H2H control contrast with Guingamp’s defensive volatility and two-game league skid. While Bastia’s own defensive record is imperfect, their front line typically manufactures enough pressure at Armand-Cesari to force errors, especially against back lines that struggle on crosses and rest-defense. Guingamp remain live for a goalMafouta’s presence, plus transitions, can produce isolated chancesbut sustaining pressure away has been a problem. Expect Bastia to manage territory, cash in on a set piece or cut-back, and ride the crowd through late phases. From a pricing standpoint, compare SC Bastia vs EA Guingamp odds across Home Win, BTTS, and Over 2.5; the combination of a home lean with both teams creating 1-1.5 xG profiles suits a 2-1 home scoreline. Variance comes from game state: an early Bastia goal can open lanes and nudge totals higher, while a goalless first half favors lower scoring but still bends to a narrow Bastia edge.
Our Prediction: SC Bastia 2-1 EA Guingamp
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Result | SC Bastia to Win | 2.12 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.96 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.8 |
Place your bet with a trusted bookmaker and compare prices just before kick-off for optimal value. You can place your bet on the match SC Bastia vs EA Guingamp at bc.game, where you’ll find competitive markets, live options, and flexible lines to tailor your staking strategy.
