Sao Paulo would play Vasco da Gama in the 30th round of the Brazil Serie A at Estadio do Morumbi on October 17, 2024. Under referee Lacerda D., the game is scheduled to start at 00:45 (local time). As they near the end of the season, both teams are going for vital points; Sao Paulo is trying to land a Copa Libertadores spot while Vasco is vying for a Copa Sudamericana spot.
Sao Paulo comes into this game after a dismal 2-0 loss to Cuiaba; Vasco da Gama draws 1-1 against Juventude on their last trip. Sao Paulo, the home team, will be eager to keep their great record at Morumbi; Vasco aims to stop their run of losses away from home in this crucial Serie A game.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
It’s important to take head-to-head statistics and current form of both sides into account as we eagerly await this exciting Sao Paulo against Vasco prediction today. Managing only one victory in their past five competitive games, Sao Paulo has suffered recently. Vasco, on the other hand, has also struggled to score points; they have not had any successes on their past five excursions. But both sides have a history of fiercely contested games, hence this encounter might turn out differently.
The main concerns will be if Vasco can break their poor away form and whether Sao Paulo can take use of their home advantage. This Sao Paulo vs Vasco betting tips section will help you through the important elements for the game.
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Sao Paulo Results
Sao Paulo has had a mix of results in recent matches, struggling to maintain consistency. Here’s a look at their last five matches:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 05/10/24 | Serie A | Cuiaba vs Sao Paulo | 2-0 | L |
| 29/09/24 | Serie A | Sao Paulo vs Corinthians | 3-1 | W |
| 26/09/24 | Copa do Brasil | Sao Paulo vs Botafogo RJ | 1-1 (1-2 agg.) | L |
| 22/09/24 | Serie A | Sao Paulo vs Internacional | 1-3 | L |
| 19/09/24 | Copa do Brasil | Botafogo RJ vs Sao Paulo | 0-0 | D |
Sao Paulo has demonstrated strength at home, mostly defeating Corinthians, but they have battled with consistency especially in away games. Their most recent run of form has seen them lose important matchups in both league and cup events, therefore exposing defensive weaknesses and uneven attack performance.
Vasco da Gama Results
Vasco da Gama has also endured a difficult spell, with several draws and losses impacting their standings in the league. Below are their last five results:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 06/10/24 | Serie A | Vasco vs Juventude | 1-1 | D |
| 02/10/24 | Copa do Brasil | Atletico-MG vs Vasco | 2-1 | L |
| 29/09/24 | Serie A | Cruzeiro vs Vasco | 1-1 | D |
| 22/09/24 | Serie A | Vasco vs Palmeiras | 0-1 | L |
| 15/09/24 | Serie A | Flamengo RJ vs Vasco | 1-1 | D |
Vasco has struggled to find victories, especially on the road. With only one win in their last six league games, their offensive struggles are apparent, and they have failed to score more than a single goal in any of their recent matches. Their defense has been inconsistent, allowing them to drop crucial points.
Sao Paulo vs Vasco Head-to-Head Results
Sao Paulo and Vasco da Gama have faced each other several times in recent seasons, with Sao Paulo generally having the upper hand in their head-to-head encounters. Here are their last five meetings:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 23/06/24 | Serie A | Vasco vs Sao Paulo | 4-1 |
| 07/10/23 | Serie A | Vasco vs Sao Paulo | 0-0 |
| 20/05/23 | Serie A | Sao Paulo vs Vasco | 4-2 |
| 05/08/21 | Copa do Brasil | Vasco vs Sao Paulo | 1-2 |
| 29/07/21 | Copa do Brasil | Sao Paulo vs Vasco | 2-0 |
In recent years, Sao Paulo has dominated the head-to-head matchups, particularly at home, where they have claimed important victories. Vasco’s only recent success came in a surprising 4-1 victory in June 2024, a rare result in their encounters.
Sao Paulo Probable Lineup
Sao Paulo is preparing for a crucial fixture as they aim to secure a Copa Libertadores spot with a victory. Despite some injuries, the team will rely on their home advantage and attacking prowess to take all three points.
Rafael (GK), Rafinha (DF), Arboleda (DF), Sabino (DF), Lewis (DF), Liziero (MF), Gustavo (MF), Gomes (MF), Luciano (FW), L. Moura (FW), Calleri (FW)
Vasco da Gama Probable Lineup
Vasco da Gama will look to end their recent poor form with a strong performance away from home. The team will need a balanced approach to withstand Sao Paulo’s home dominance and aim for a positive result.
Jardim (GK), P. Rodriguez (DF), Victor (DF), Maicon (DF), Piton (DF), H. Moura (MF), Sforza (MF), Coutinho (MF), Payet (FW), E. Rodriguez (FW), Vegetti (FW)
INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS
In this section, we list the players unavailable for both Sao Paulo and Vasco da Gama due to injuries or suspensions. These absences could significantly affect each team’s lineup and performance, making it essential to consider who will be missing when analyzing the game.
| Sao Paulo Player | Reason | Vasco da Gama Player | Reason |
| Alisson | Injury | Adson | Injury |
| Joao Moreira | Injury | Guilherme Estrella | Injury |
| Pablo Maia | Injury | Jair | Injury |
| Patryck | Injury | Paulinho | Injury |
Key Factors to Watch
Both teams come into this game with their own set of challenges and opportunities. Here are the key points to consider:
- Sao Paulo has key players suspended, including Andre Silva and Robert Arboleda;
- Vasco has been dealing with injuries to important players like Paulinho, Guilherme Estrella, and David;
- Sao Paulo has dropped 10 points this season after scoring first, indicating vulnerability even when in the lead;
- Vasco has failed to score in eight league matches this season, highlighting offensive struggles;
- Sao Paulo remains unbeaten in their last nine home games against Vasco;
- Vasco’s last victory away from home against Sao Paulo came in 2012;
- Sao Paulo is two points above Bahia for the last Copa Libertadores qualifying spot, making this match crucial;
- Vasco is just three points above Bragantino, sitting outside the Copa Sudamericana zone.
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Free Tips on Sao Paulo vs Vasco
When getting ready to gamble on the forthcoming Sao Paulo vs Vasco match, one should carefully consider several elements that could affect the result of the game. Beyond just reviewing historical performance, one should also take into account the teams’ present form, head-to-head statistics, and other situational factors such injuries and tactical orientation. We have included some important information below to assist in your betting decisions for this thrilling Serie A game.
- Recent Form: Always consider the recent form of both teams. Sao Paulo has struggled in recent games, with only one win in their last five matches, while Vasco is winless in their last five as well. A team on a poor streak may lack the confidence needed to turn things around, which could impact their performance.
- Head-to-Head History: Historically, Sao Paulo has performed well against Vasco, especially at home, where they are unbeaten in their last nine encounters. This head-to-head advantage suggests Sao Paulo might hold the upper hand in this match.
- Injuries and Suspensions: Both teams are missing key players, with Sao Paulo’s Andre Silva and Robert Arboleda suspended, and Vasco dealing with injuries to key figures like Paulinho and David. These absences could significantly affect each team’s approach and overall performance.
- Home vs. Away Performance: Sao Paulo has a strong home record this season, with 10 wins in 15 home matches, while Vasco has struggled on the road, claiming just one victory in their last six away games. This factor might favor Sao Paulo to secure a positive result in this encounter.
- Managerial Impact: Coaching decisions play a crucial role, especially in tightly contested matches. With both teams under pressure to secure points for Copa Libertadores and Copa Sudamericana qualification, tactical changes from either coach could influence the game’s outcome dramatically.
By focusing on these critical elements, you can gain a better understanding of the Sao Paulo vs Vasco prediction and make more informed betting decisions.
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Sao Paulo vs Vasco Match Prediction 2024
Considering the present form of both teams and Vasco’s road challenges as well as Sao Paulo’s home advantage, the odds favor a home victory. Sao Paulo is driven to land a Copa Libertadores slot; their better head-to-fit record particularly at home allows them an advantage. Vasco’s latest form displays tenacity, but their lack of attack punch could limit their prospects.
Our Prediction: Sao Paulo 2-1 Vasco da Gama
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Full-time Result | Sao Paulo to win | 1.68 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 goals | 2.29 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 2.2 |
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