São Paulo vs Botafogo RJ (1:2 – after penalties): Copa Libertadores 26/09/2024

September 26, 2024
Status: Finished
1-2
Copa Libertadores
São Paulo
Botafogo RJ
match decor

On September 26, 2024 at the Estadio do Morumbi in São Paulo, the much awaited second leg of the Copa Libertadores quarter-final between São Paulo and Botafogo RJ will take place. Starting at 00:30, the game will be watched by Argentinean referee Herrera D. Both sides will be trying to break the tie and guarantee a spot in the semi-finals for the esteemed Copa Libertadores after the first leg finished in a 0-0 draw.

Having kept seven clean sheets in nine Libertadores games this season, especially dominating at home, São Paulo arrives to this game with an outstanding defensive record. Their past two home games were lost, though, and their latest domestic form reveals fragility. Conversely, Botafogo is dominating the Brasileirão Serie A and right now boasts an eight-game perfect run across all divisions. Both sides have defensive strength, hence this looks to be a closely fought game.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

Both sides will be very careful in this crucial second-leg game, hence defensive stability becomes first importance. Today’s São Paulo v Botafogo RJ forecast mostly relies on whether either club can discover the breakthrough they missed in the first leg. While Botafogo may take a more pragmatic approach, concentrating on counter-attacks, São Paulo with home advantage will seek to assert themselves early on. Although both sides have demonstrated they can defend, scoring has lately proved more difficult, particularly for Botafogo, who has just scored once in their last three Libertadores games.

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São Paulo Results

São Paulo has been inconsistent recently, especially in domestic competition, which might raise concerns for their fans. Below is a summary of their last five matches:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
22.09.24Série ASão Paulo vs Internacional1-3L
19.09.24LibertadoresBotafogo RJ vs São Paulo0-0D
15.09.24Série ACruzeiro vs São Paulo0-1W
13.09.24Copa do BrasilAtletico-MG vs São Paulo0-0D
01.09.24Série AFluminense vs São Paulo2-0L

Despite their strong performance in the Libertadores, São Paulo’s recent domestic form has been shaky, with two losses in their last three matches. However, their defense remains a significant strength, particularly in knockout competitions, where they’ve managed several clean sheets. Their ability to bounce back from recent home defeats will be a key factor.

Botafogo RJ Results

Botafogo RJ has been in better form, both domestically and in international competitions. Here’s a look at their last five matches:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
21.09.24Série AFluminense vs Botafogo RJ0-1W
19.09.24LibertadoresBotafogo RJ vs São Paulo0-0D
15.09.24Série ABotafogo RJ vs Corinthians2-1W
01.09.24Série ABotafogo RJ vs Fortaleza2-0W
25.08.24Série ABahia vs Botafogo RJ0-0D

Botafogo is currently on an impressive run, winning three of their last five matches and staying undefeated. Their defense has been rock-solid, and they have shown an ability to grind out results, both at home and away. This consistency will give them confidence heading into a tough fixture at Morumbi.

São Paulo vs Botafogo RJ Head-to-Head

The last five encounters between these two teams have been tightly contested, with Botafogo having the upper hand recently.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
19.09.24LibertadoresBotafogo RJ vs São Paulo0-0
24.07.24Série ASão Paulo vs Botafogo RJ2-2
19.08.23Série ASão Paulo vs Botafogo RJ0-0
15.04.23Série ABotafogo RJ vs São Paulo2-1
09.10.22Série ASão Paulo vs Botafogo RJ0-1

Botafogo has the upper hand in recent matchups, going unbeaten against São Paulo in their last five encounters, including a notable victory at Morumbi in 2022. This history suggests Botafogo has the mental edge, especially when playing against São Paulo.

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São Paulo vs Botafogo RJ: Predicted Starting Lineups

Below is the predicted starting lineup for the Copa Libertadores quarter-final match between São Paulo and Botafogo RJ. These potential lineups are based on the latest team news and form, giving a clear idea of who could be on the field for this decisive clash. Accurate lineups are essential to predict a team’s style and approach to the match.

São Paulo PlayerPositionBotafogo RJ PlayerPosition
RafaelGKJohnGK
FrancoDFVitinhoDF
ArboledaDFBastosDF
SabinoDFBarbozaDF
AraujoMFTellesDF
BobadillaMFGregoreMF
GustavoMFFreitasMF
WelingtonMFSoaresMF
LucianoFWSavarinoFW
GomesFWAlmadaFW
CalleriFWSantosFW

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

Several players from both teams are expected to miss this crucial match due to injuries and other absences. Below is a list of unavailable players for each side, which could have a significant impact on the teams’ overall performance.

São Paulo PlayerReasonBotafogo RJ PlayerReason
Pablo MaiaThigh injuryMatheus NascimentoThigh injury
FerreiraThigh injuryCuiabanoThigh injury
MoreiraThigh injuryRafael da SilvaKnee injury
AlissonBroken ankleJeffinhoKnee injury
PatryckShoulder injury

These absences will force both managers to adjust their strategies, making this a crucial element to consider when analyzing the potential outcomes of the match.

Key Points to Consider

Both teams have been dealing with injuries and fluctuating form, making it essential to consider the following factors when assessing the match:

  • Injuries: São Paulo will miss several key players, including Pablo Maia, Ferreira, and Moreira due to thigh injuries. Alisson is also out with a broken ankle;
  • Form: São Paulo has lost their last two home matches, while Botafogo is unbeaten in eight consecutive games across all competitions;
  • Defensive Strength: Both teams have shown excellent defensive discipline, particularly in the Copa Libertadores, with each side keeping multiple clean sheets;
  • Attack: Botafogo has struggled offensively in this competition, scoring just one goal in their last three Libertadores games;
  • Head-to-Head: Botafogo is unbeaten in their last seven encounters with São Paulo, suggesting a psychological advantage;
  • Recent Success: Botafogo is top of the Brasileirão and comes into this match with strong momentum;
  • São Paulo’s Home Record: Despite recent losses, São Paulo has not conceded at home in the Libertadores this year;
  • Botafogo’s Away Form: Botafogo has only won one away game in the Libertadores this season.
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Free Tips on São Paulo vs Botafogo RJ

Making a prediction or bet on the forthcoming São Paulo vs Botafogo RJ match in the Copa Libertadores requires one to take into account several elements depending on past performance and present form. Examining team statistics, past head-to–head interactions, and the particular circumstances of this game will help you to decide more wisely. These important observations should help one examine this quarter-final collision with consideration.

  • Recent Team Form: Botafogo RJ comes into this game on an eight-match unbeaten streak across all competitions, which gives them an edge in confidence. Meanwhile, São Paulo has struggled in their last two home matches, which may impact their morale going into this decisive fixture.
  • Head-to-Head Statistics: Botafogo has a solid record against São Paulo in recent years, remaining unbeaten in their last seven meetings. This psychological advantage may play a crucial role, especially since they have won at Morumbi before.
  • Home vs. Away Performance: São Paulo has been defensively resilient at home in the Copa Libertadores this season, not conceding a single goal. However, their recent struggles in domestic competition at home could signal vulnerability. Botafogo, while strong overall, has only won one away game in this competition, so their away form could be a factor.
  • Injuries & Suspensions: Both teams are dealing with several injuries to key players, with São Paulo missing Alisson and Pablo Maia, while Botafogo may be without Matheus Nascimento and Jeffinho. The absence of these players could significantly affect the dynamics and flow of the game.
  • Weather and Pitch Conditions: The weather in São Paulo could influence the pace of the game, particularly if it rains. Wet conditions might slow down the ball on the natural grass pitch, favoring a more defensive, low-scoring game, which aligns with both teams’ current form in the Libertadores.

These tips are designed to help you gain a deeper understanding of what to expect in the match and how to adjust your betting strategy accordingly.

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São Paulo vs Botafogo RJ Match Prediction 2024

In a game where both sides have shown excellent defensive performance all through the competition, we probably will witness another low-scoring event. Botafogo has a little advantage because of their good form and perfect record versus São Paulo, but playing away at Morumbi is never easy. São Paulo’s defensive record at home suggests either another stalemate resulting in extra time or penalties or a meager triumph for the home club.

Given their Libertadores home form, which somewhat favors the home side, a bet on a low-scoring match or a draw could provide good value. São Paulo v. Botafogo RJ odds somewhat favor the home side.

Our Prediction: São Paulo 1-0 Botafogo RJ

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultSão Paulo to Win2.7
Total GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals1.43

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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