The upcoming clash between Santos and São Paulo is scheduled for Wednesday, February 4, 2026, at Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Vila Belmiro) in Santos, with a capacity of 16,068 spectators. Kick-off time is expected around 23:00 GMT+0. The match serves as matchweek 2 of the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A (Brazil Serie A), the top tier of Brazilian football. Refereeing the game will be Anderson Daronco, a highly experienced Brazilian official known for maintaining control in high-intensity derbies.
This early-season encounter carries significant weight as both historic rivals aim to build momentum right after the opening round. Santos enters the fixture on home soil desperate to erase the memory of a heavy defeat, while São Paulo arrives with confidence from a positive start and a recent win over their rivals in another competition.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
This Santos vs São Paulo prediction today dives into the current realities shaping the contest. Recent performances, head-to-head patterns, and squad availability will heavily influence the outcome. Both teams showed contrasting results in their most recent outings, setting the stage for a tactical battle at Vila Belmiro. Key statistical trends and player absences make this matchup intriguing for bettors. Understanding these elements is essential before examining deeper form and historical data. The Santos vs São Paulo match prediction today focuses on facts rather than hype.
Santos Results
Santos heads into this fixture after a difficult start to the 2026 Serie A campaign and mixed results in prior competitions. The team has struggled to find consistency, especially defensively. Home advantage at Vila Belmiro remains one of their biggest assets.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 01.02.26 | PAU | Sao Paulo vs Santos | 2-0 | L |
| 29.01.26 | SA | Chapecoense-SC vs Santos | 4-2 | L |
| 25.01.26 | PAU | Santos vs Bragantino | 0-0 | D |
| 23.01.26 | PAU | Santos vs Corinthians | 1-1 | D |
| 19.01.26 | PAU | Guarani vs Santos | 1-1 | D |
Santos has failed to win any of their last five matches across all competitions. The side has conceded heavily in losses while showing resilience in draws. Home form offers some hope, but defensive fragility has been exposed repeatedly. The team desperately needs a strong response in front of their fans. Early-season points are vital to avoid falling behind quickly.
Sao Paulo Results
São Paulo arrives with momentum after a positive start to the new Serie A season. The Tricolor has demonstrated balance in recent outings. Their ability to secure results against strong opposition stands out.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 01.02.26 | PAU | Sao Paulo vs Santos | 2-0 | W |
| 29.01.26 | SA | Sao Paulo vs Flamengo RJ | 2-1 | W |
| 24.01.26 | PAU | Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo | 3-1 | L |
| 22.01.26 | PAU | Sao Paulo vs Portuguesa | 2-3 | L |
| 18.01.26 | PAU | Corinthians vs Sao Paulo | 1-1 | D |
São Paulo has collected two wins in their last five matches, including a strong victory over defending champions Flamengo. The team shows attacking intent and defensive organization in key moments. Away form remains a question mark, but confidence is high after beating Santos recently. Luciano and Calleri form a dangerous forward partnership.
Santos vs São Paulo Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)
The rivalry between these two São Paulo state giants always produces tension. Recent meetings have been competitive with mixed results.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 01.02.26 | PAU | Sao Paulo vs Santos | 2-0 |
| 22.09.25 | SA | Santos vs Sao Paulo | 1-0 |
| 20.04.25 | SA | Sao Paulo vs Santos | 2-1 |
| 02.02.25 | PAU | Santos vs Sao Paulo | 3-1 |
| 15.02.24 | PAU | Sao Paulo vs Santos | 0-1 |
São Paulo won the most recent encounter convincingly. However, Santos has shown they can strike at home in past meetings. Goals have been limited in several clashes. The head-to-head record remains closely balanced over time.
Predicted Lineups for Santos vs São Paulo – Brasileirão Série A 04/02/2026
Ниже представлены прогнозируемые стартовые составы обеих команд на матч Santos vs São Paulo. Эти варианты основаны на последних матчах, текущей форме игроков, травмах и тактических предпочтениях тренеров. Окончательные составы будут объявлены примерно за час до начала игры, но на данный момент именно эти комбинации выглядят наиболее вероятными.
Santos possible starting lineup:
Gabriel Brazão (GK), Igor Vinícius (DF), Adonis Frías (DF), Luan Peres (DF), Vinicius Lira (DF), Joao Schmidt (MF), Zé Rafael (MF), Benjamín Rollheiser (MF), Gabriel Bontempo (FW), Alvaro Barreal (FW), Gabriel Barbosa (FW)
Sao Paulo possible starting lineup:
Rafael (GK), Sabino (DF), Robert Arboleda (DF), Alan Franco (DF), Maik (MF), Damián Bobadilla (MF), Danielzinho (MF), Marcos Antônio (MF), Enzo Díaz (MF), Jonathan Calleri (FW), Luciano (FW)
Key Match Factors and Team News
Several elements will shape the outcome of this early-season clash. Injuries and current form dominate discussions ahead of kick-off. Both sides face challenges in key areas.
- Neymar remains sidelined for Santos after knee surgery and is not expected to feature.
- Tiquinho Soares, Thaciano, and Willian Arao are also out injured for the home team.
- São Paulo will miss Ryan Francisco, Luan Santos, and Andre due to injuries.
- Santos has not won in their last five matches, showing clear vulnerability.
- São Paulo comes off a morale-boosting win over Flamengo and a recent victory against Santos.
- Luciano is in good scoring form and poses a constant threat for the visitors.
- Home advantage at Vila Belmiro gives Santos extra motivation to respond.
- Defensive issues have plagued Santos in recent heavy defeats.
- São Paulo demonstrates better balance and confidence in big matches so far.
- Early points in Serie A are crucial for both teams’ season ambitions.
Free Tips on Santos vs São Paulo
This section offers several practical and match-specific free betting tips for the upcoming Santos vs São Paulo clash in Brasileirão Série A. The suggestions below are derived directly from the teams’ recent performances, head-to-head history, and current situational context. These points aim to help you identify value without repeating the broader team news and key factors already covered.
- Consider São Paulo’s early momentum edge — the Tricolor has already secured a convincing win over Santos in their most recent meeting and followed it with a strong result against a top opponent, which usually translates into higher confidence when facing the same side again shortly after.
- Look at home/away scoring patterns in this fixture — in four of the last five head-to-head matches one team failed to score, suggesting a tendency toward clean sheets or low-scoring affairs, especially when São Paulo travels to Vila Belmiro.
- Pay attention to first-half dynamics — Santos has looked particularly vulnerable in opening periods recently (heavy concessions and low creation), while São Paulo has shown intent to press and score early in important games — early goal markets or first-half Asian handicap can offer interesting angles.
- Weigh the psychological factor after a very recent defeat — Santos suffered a clear loss to São Paulo just days ago in another competition; teams in this position at home sometimes respond with extra intensity, but they also risk overcommitting and leaving spaces — both “Santos +0.5” and “Santos to score” can be evaluated depending on line movement.
- Monitor total goals trend in quick rematches — consecutive meetings between these sides in a short period have frequently produced under 2.5 goals (three of the last four), as both coaches tend to prepare more carefully and reduce risk after seeing each other recently.
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Santos vs São Paulo Match Prediction
Santos vs São Paulo odds reflect a tight contest, but current momentum slightly favors the visitors. São Paulo enters with better recent results, including a convincing win over Santos just days ago and a strong performance against Flamengo. Santos has struggled defensively and failed to win in their last five outings, compounded by multiple key absences including Neymar. While home support at Vila Belmiro can lift the Peixe, their lack of clean sheets and attacking fluency make it difficult to back them confidently. São Paulo’s forward line, led by Luciano and Calleri, should exploit spaces. A narrow away win appears the most realistic outcome, though a draw cannot be ruled out given the rivalry’s history of tense, low-scoring affairs. The Tricolor looks better equipped to collect maximum points in this early Serie A test.
Our Prediction: Santos 2-1 São Paulo
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Santos Win | 2.22 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.89 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.78 |
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