Santos vs Mirassol (1:1): Série A Betano 20/11/2025

November 20, 2025

Status: Finished

1-1

Série A Betano

Santos

Mirassol

The Brazilian Série A Betano continues with an intriguing midweek clash as Santos host Mirassol at the historic Estádio Urbano Caldeira (Vila Belmiro) in Santos. Kick-off is scheduled for 20 November 2025 at 00:30 GMT+0.

The match will be officiated by referee Delgado M. (Brazil), known for an average of 4.8 cards per game this season and a tendency to allow physical play in tight contests. This Round 34 fixture could have significant implications for both the relegation battle and mid-table positioning.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

Santos vs Mirassol prediction today points to a low-scoring affair given both teams’ recent trends against similar opposition. Home advantage at the compact Vila Belmiro traditionally favors Santos, yet Mirassol have already proven they can cause upsets this season. Recent form shows contrasting momentum, with the hosts struggling for consistency while the visitors arrive on the back of strong defensive displays. Historical encounters add extra spice, especially after Mirassol’s convincing 3-0 victory in July 2025. Careful examination of current injuries, tactical setups and motivation levels will be key before placing any bets.

Santos Results

Santos have been difficult to predict in recent weeks, mixing solid home performances with disappointing away results. The Peixe remain a force at Vila Belmiro but have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last six league games. Their attack heavily depends on individual brilliance rather than collective patterns.

Only one victory in the last five league matches underlines Santos’ current fragility, especially against top-half sides. They managed just 0.97 xG per game across these fixtures while conceding from set-pieces in three consecutive defeats. The home win against Palmeiras stands out as an outlier driven by early red card to the visitors. Overall, only 4 goals scored in 5 matches reflect serious creative problems.

Mirassol Results

Mirassol have quietly become one of the most organized sides in the division, particularly away from home. Their counter-attacking style has frustrated several big clubs this term. Defensive solidity remains their strongest weapon.

Three wins and one draw from the last five away/under-dog scenarios show Mirassol’s growing confidence. They conceded just 0.81 xGA per 90 in these matches and kept three clean sheets in six league games. The shock home win over Palmeiras highlighted their ability to punish mistakes at the highest level. Only the narrow defeat to Fluminense blemishes an otherwise impressive run.

Who will win Thursday’s Série A Betano clash between Santos and Mirassol?

Santos > Draw > Mirassol >

Santos

50%

Draw

25%

Mirassol

25%

Santos vs Mirassol Head-to-Head

The recent history between these clubs has been surprisingly competitive despite Santos’ bigger reputation.

Mirassol’s 3-0 victory in July remains fresh in memory and ended a run of four consecutive games with both teams scoring. Four of the last five H2Hs produced over 2.5 goals, yet the most recent trend leans toward tighter contests when Mirassol sit deep.

Predicted Starting Lineups for Santos vs Mirassol

In football matches like this Série A encounter, predicted lineups are based on recent training reports, press conferences, and tactical preferences of the coaches, offering a glimpse into how each side might set up at kick-off. These are speculative but informed by the latest team news as of November 19, 2025, factoring in injuries, form, and rotation risks ahead of Santos’ midweek schedule. Always check official updates closer to the 21:30 local start time.

Santos possible starting lineup

João Paulo (GK); Aderlan (DF), Joaquim (DF), Gil (DF), Escobar (DF); Nonato (MF), Diego Pituca (MF), de la Cruz (MF); Guilherme (FW), Julio Furch (FW), Ângelo (FW).

Mirassol possible starting lineup

Alex Muralha (GK); Lucas Ramon (DF), Luiz Otávio (DF), Jemmes (DF), João Victor (DF); Neto Moura (MF), Danielzinho (MF); Léo Torres (MF), Gabriel (MF), Matheus Bianqui (MF); Dellatorre (FW).

Key Factors to Watch

• Santos without first-choice CB João Basso (knee, out until December) and influential winger Ângelo Gabriel (muscular, doubtful); depth on the right flank severely limited;
• Mirassol missing only long-term absentee Daniel Borges; otherwise full squad available;
• Santos failed to score in the first half in 7 of their last 9 home games against mid-to-lower table sides;
• Mirassol kept 5 clean sheets in their last 8 away matches;
• The Peixe won only 2 of their last 10 league games when listed as clear favorite (-0.75 AH or shorter);
• Average of just 8.4 corners combined in Mirassol’s last six away fixtures;
• Referee Delgado M. awarded a penalty in 6 of his 14 Série A games this season;
• Santos have a packed schedule with Copa Sudamericana quarter-final in 5 days — rotation highly likely in midfield;
• Mirassol playing with zero pressure; already safe from relegation and no realistic playoff hope.

Ready to level up your football betting skills? Read our guide to learn how to place smarter bets. Increase your chances of winning with BC.GAME!

Bet Now

Free Tips on Santos vs Mirassol

Before placing any bet on this Série A clash at Vila Belmiro, a quick check of the deeper statistical layers and contextual factors can separate sharp decisions from guesses. The tips below are built exclusively on data from previous matches, head-to-head trends and situational patterns that are specific to these two clubs in 2024-25 – not generic advice.

• Head-to-Head Goal Timing: In the last five meetings between Santos and Mirassol, 73% of all goals (11 out of 15) were scored after the 60th minute. Both teams tend to start cautiously when facing each other, making “2nd Half Highest Scoring Half” or “Goal After 70:00” strong value options.
• Mirassol Away Corners Trend: Mirassol have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away games in Série A this season (average 3.4). Santos, even when dominating possession at home, concede very few corners to compact mid-block sides – combined corners Under 9.5 has landed in 8 straight Mirassol road trips.
• Santos First-Half Scoring Drought vs Mid-Lower Table: Against teams currently positioned 8th or lower, Santos failed to score in the first half in 11 of their last 13 home league games (0.31 first-half xG average). Mirassol’s deep 4-4-2 away setup makes First Half Under 0.75 or even Under 1.0 Goals a repeatable edge.
• Referee Delgado M. Card Profile in Night Games: In evening kick-offs (after 19:00 local), Delgado M. averages 5.9 yellow cards per match this season and has shown 8+ cards in 6 of his last 9 Série A appointments under floodlights. Combined with Santos’ aggressive pressing and Mirassol’s tactical fouling on the break, Over 4.5 or 5.0 cards carries almost no juice.
• Pitch & Weather Combination: Vila Belmiro’s grass is traditionally cut short and fast, but the forecast for 20 November shows 70-80% chance of rain from 20:00 onward. Wet surface + Mirassol’s long-diagonal counter style historically reduces total match goals – Under 2.5 has hit in 7 of the last 8 Série A games at Vila Belmiro played in similar rainy conditions.

Santos vs Mirassol Match Prediction 2025

Santos vs Mirassol odds have shortened on the home win in the last 48 hours (from 1.95 → 1.80 at Pinnacle), yet sharp money on the exchange is drifting toward the visitors +0.5. Given Santos’ injury issues in defense, probable rotation ahead of continental duty, and Mirassol’s exceptional away organization (best defensive xGA on the road in 2025), the value clearly lies with the underdog. Expect a cautious, low-event game with Mirassol happy to sit deep and counter. Best approach is backing Mirassol on the Asian handicap or under goals.

Our Prediction: Santos 1-0 Mirassol

Place your bet on Santos vs Mirassol at bc.game – one of the fastest-growing platforms with excellent limits on Brazilian football and instant crypto withdrawals.