Santos vs Fortaleza (1:1): Brazil Serie A Betano 01/11/2025

November 01, 2025

Status: Finished

1-1

Brazil Serie A Betano

Santos

Fortaleza

Santos welcomes Fortaleza to Vila Belmiro in a crucial Brazil Serie A Betano relegation six-pointer, where the Peixe sit 16th on 32 points and the Leão do Pici languish 18th with 27. Home advantage fuels Santos’ bid to escape the drop zone, having won two of their last five at this iconic venue, while Fortaleza’s dismal road record (four losses in five) heightens the stakes. Expect a charged atmosphere with both sides desperate for points, blending tactical caution and bursts of flair in a match that could shape survival trajectories.

Kickoff is at 19:00 GMT+0 on November 1, 2025, at Estadio Urbano Caldeira in Santos, capacity 16,068, where the hosts average 1.4 goals scored per home league game. Referee details remain unconfirmed, but Serie A officials card at 4.8 per match on average, promoting physicality without chaos. This round 30 fixture in the Brazil Serie A Betano regular season carries relegation weight, as Santos chase a cushion above the bottom four and Fortaleza fight to climb out of the red zone. Clear skies forecast at 23°C suit the fast grass surface.

Betting Tips and Match Insights for Santos vs Fortaleza

Building a sharp Santos vs Fortaleza prediction today involves dissecting home dominance against away frailty to uncover market mismatches. Recent outings reveal Santos’ resilience in draws and Fortaleza’s counter threats, guiding value hunts. Head-to-head data layers in goals and winners for context. These elements craft Santos vs Fortaleza betting tips grounded in metrics. Dive into the breakdowns to spot edges before lines shift.

Santos Results

Santos scrapes points amid a turbulent campaign, blending home wins with road draws, averaging 1.0 goals scored from 5.2 shots on target in their last 10 league games. Possession hovers at 53.6%, with Alvaro Barreal leading threats via three goals and one assist. Defensive lapses concede 1.3 per outing.

Santos claims two wins in 10, both at home, netting multiple goals via transitions and set pieces. The Botafogo draw showcased fight, with 51% possession and seven shots on target. Away collapses like the Ceara thrashing expose travel woes, conceding 2.1 xGA on average. Barreal’s form injects width, but 5.1 corners won limit dead-ball edges. This mix favors home outrights, with 60% of points earned at Vila.

Fortaleza Results

Fortaleza endures a winless streak in four of five, scraping a home shutout last time, averaging 0.8 goals from 4.7 shots on target across 10 league matches. Possession dips to 46.2%, yielding 1.3 conceded despite 6.0 corners forced. Breno Lopes paces scoring with two.

Fortaleza snags four wins in 10, including road upsets, but home fragility shows in conceding first in 70% of losses. The Flamengo scalp relied on 20% possession and two shots, highlighting efficiency. Away xG sits at 0.9, with counters via Lopes and Mancuso (two assists). Six defeats underline vulnerability, especially post-interval. Patterns point to unders, hitting in 60% of games.

Who will win Saturday’s Brazil Serie A Betano clash between Santos and Fortaleza?

Santos > Draw > Fortaleza >

Santos

53%

Draw

26%

Fortaleza

21%

Head-to-Head Between Santos and Fortaleza

Clashes between Santos and Fortaleza favor the visitors historically, claiming three of five, though Santos’ last visit yielded a 3-2 thriller. Home games split evenly, with goals flowing at 2.8 average. Draws feature once, suiting cautious starts.

Santos’ June upset broke a Fortaleza streak, scoring thrice on counters. Vila meetings average 1.5 goals for hosts, but clean sheets evade. Fortaleza nets in 80%, often late. Tight scores suggest handicaps or BTTS no.

Predicted Starting Lineups for Santos vs Fortaleza

Team selections hinge on final training reports and strategic choices, but these projected elevens mirror recent Serie A starts, account for confirmed absences, and fit each manager’s preferred shape for this high-stakes relegation battle.

Santos

Brazao (GK), Vinicius (DF), Duarte (DF), Peres (DF), Escobar (DF), Schmidt (MF), Rafael (MF), Arao (MF), Rollheiser (MF), Guilherme (FW), Diaz (FW)

Fortaleza

Brenno (GK), Mancuso (DF), Britez (DF), Avila (DF), Pacheco (DF), Sasha (MF), Rodrigo (MF), Pochettino (MF), Herrera (FW), Lucero (FW), Lopes (FW)

Injured and Questionable Players

Key absences shape tactics and depth, with Santos missing creative sparks and Fortaleza depleted in defense and attack.

Key Factors to Watch in Santos vs Fortaleza

Diverse inputs influence this Serie A scrap, from personnel to motivational surges in a packed relegation battle. Santos’ home crowd contrasts Fortaleza’s travel slump, with form streaks adding tension. Player outputs and venue specifics round out the picture.

• Santos unbeaten in three home league games, winning two with 1.8 xG created;
• Fortaleza winless in four of five road trips, conceding 1.8 per away match;
• Alvaro Barreal’s three goals in 10, plus one assist, target Fortaleza’s 1.4 xGA on flanks;
• Breno Lopes’ early strikes, netting in 20% possession games, threaten transitions;
• No major Santos injuries, full squad after midweek draw;
• Fortaleza misses suspended midfielder, disrupting 46% possession hold;
• Vila Belmiro’s 16,068 fans boost Santos duels to 54% won domestically;
• Fortaleza’s 60% unders in 10 games align with Santos’ 1.3 conceded at home;
• Dry conditions favor Santos’ 82% passing accuracy in build-up;
• Relegation pressure heightens Santos intensity, averaging 11.2 attempts home.

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Free Tips on Santos vs Fortaleza

These focused nuggets stem from deep dives into scoring rhythms, venue biases, and head-to-head flows for the Santos vs Fortaleza showdown, spotlighting edges beyond raw form. With Santos netting 1.4 goals per home league outing and Fortaleza blanked in 60% of road second halves, the emphasis lands on timing and set-play markets. Each pointer anchors to xG splits and corner trends at Vila Belmiro for precision.

• Santos generates 5.1 corners per home match while Fortaleza concedes 5.5 away, pushing over 9.5 total corners as a lock given 70% hit rate in similar splits;
• Fortaleza scores just 0.8 goals from 4.7 shots on target in 10 games, yet 50% arrive pre-30 minutes on breaks, so first-half under 1.0 goals offers value against Santos’ 0.9 xGA early;
• Head-to-head sees Santos win 40% at Vila with 2.0 average goals, and 60% unders, aligning under 2.5 at evens with both sides’ 1.3 conceded average;
• Alvaro Barreal creates 1.8 key passes per 90 at home, exploiting Fortaleza’s 1.4 xGA on left channels, making him anytime assist at plus money;
• Vila’s intimate 16,068 capacity lifts Santos shots to 11.2 per game, while Fortaleza manages 9.9 attempts road, favoring over 19.5 total shots in open play.

Santos vs Fortaleza Match Prediction 2025

We project a 2-0 Santos victory in this Santos vs Fortaleza prediction 2025, leveraging Vila impregnability and Fortaleza’s road woes where they lose 70% of away fixtures. The Peixe’s 53.6% possession and 5.2 shots on target overwhelm a Leão side averaging 0.9 xG traveling, with Barreal exploiting Pacheco’s 48% aerial success. Santos concedes 0.9 at home, shutting out counters that fuel Lopes, while set pieces (5.1 corners) yield 30% of goals. Santos vs Fortaleza odds list hosts at 1.68, implying 59.5% chance, but models push 65% given Fortaleza’s four straight road blanks in second halves; Asian handicap -0.75 at 1.88 splits stake profitably. Expect 55% ball control for Santos, under 4.5 cards in flowing play, and BTTS no at 1.79 as Fortaleza fires two shots max. Motivation peaks for Santos eyeing 35 points, tiring Fortaleza post-Flamengo high. This echoes June’s 3-2 but with tighter defense securing a clean sheet and vital three points in a low-scoring affair. 

Our Prediction: Santos 2-0 Fortaleza

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