The highly anticipated Santos vs Corinthians clash takes place on January 22, 2026, at Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Vila Belmiro) in Santos, Brazil, with a capacity of 16,068. Kick-off is scheduled for 22:30 GMT+0. Referee Bellote L. (Brazil) will officiate this Paulista A1 match in the early group stage (Matchweek 4 of the 1st Stage). This classic Alvinegro derby pits two historic rivals in a tournament where Corinthians defend their title status, while Santos aim to build momentum at home in the Campeonato Paulista.
BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS
This matchup carries significant weight early in the Paulista campaign, with both teams sitting on mixed starts and seeking points to secure top positions in their groups. Santos vs Corinthians prediction today draws attention due to recent form inconsistencies and the intense rivalry that often produces tight, high-stakes contests. Expect a battle influenced by home support at Vila Belmiro and the need for both sides to recover from recent draws and losses.
Santos Results
Santos enter this derby after a series of results showing resilience mixed with setbacks. The Peixe have alternated between solid home performances and struggles away, building toward this key fixture.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 19.01.26 | PAU | Guarani vs Santos | 1-1 | D |
| 15.01.26 | PAU | Palmeiras vs Santos | 1-0 | L |
| 10.01.26 | PAU | Santos vs Novorizontino | 2-1 | W |
| 07.12.25 | SA | Santos vs Cruzeiro | 3-0 | W |
| 04.12.25 | SA | Juventude vs Santos | 0-3 | W |
Santos show strength in recent home games with victories and clean sheets against stronger opponents in Serie A. The draw against Guarani highlights defensive solidity away, but the loss to Palmeiras exposes vulnerabilities on the road. Three wins in the last five reflect growing confidence, particularly in attack during the end-of-year run. Home form remains a key asset ahead of the derby.
Corinthians Results
Corinthians approach the fixture with an uneven record, blending dominant wins with heavy defeats. The Timão seek consistency in the Paulista after a mixed opening phase.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 18.01.26 | PAU | Corinthians vs Sao Paulo | 1-1 | D |
| 16.01.26 | PAU | Bragantino vs Corinthians | 3-0 | L |
| 11.01.26 | PAU | Corinthians vs Ponte Preta | 3-0 | W |
| 21.12.25 | COP | Vasco vs Corinthians | 1-2 | W |
| 18.12.25 | COP | Corinthians vs Vasco | 0-0 | D |
Corinthians demonstrate firepower at home with convincing win but struggle significantly away, as seen in the heavy defeat to Bragantino. The draw with Sao Paulo indicates resilience in big matches, while Copa results show ability to grind out points. Recent inconsistencies suggest vulnerability on the road against motivated hosts.
Santos vs Corinthians Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)
The rivalry remains competitive, with tight margins in recent encounters favoring either side depending on venue.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 16.10.25 | SA | Santos vs Corinthians | 3-1 |
| 18.05.25 | SA | Corinthians vs Santos | 1-0 |
| 09.03.25 | PAU | Corinthians vs Santos | 2-1 |
| 13.02.25 | PAU | Corinthians vs Santos | 2-1 |
| 08.02.24 | PAU | Santos vs Corinthians | 1-0 |
Corinthians hold a slight edge in the most recent meetings, particularly at home, but Santos claimed a convincing win in their last home clash. Three of the last five went under high drama, with one-sided results rare. Home advantage has proven decisive in Paulista fixtures.
Santos vs Corinthians – Predicted Starting Lineups
These are the forecasted starting lineups for the Santos vs Corinthians derby in the Campeonato Paulista on January 22, 2026. The predicted XIs are based on the most recent team selections, available squad news, injury updates and typical tactical setups used by both coaches in early 2026 Paulista matches. Actual lineups may vary depending on final decisions, late fitness tests and tactical adjustments close to kick-off.
Santos possible starting lineup:
Brazao (GK), Lira (DF), Ivaldo (DF), Frias (DF), Vinicius (DF), Rafael (MF), Arao (MF), Schmidt (MF), Barreal (FW), Thaciano (FW), Rollheiser (FW)
Corinthians possible starting lineup:
Souza (GK), Matheuzinho (DF), Ramalho (DF), Henrique (DF), Bidu (LB), Carrillo (MF), Raniele (MF), Andre (MF), Bidon (MF), Alberto (FW), Vitinho (FW)
Key Match Insights: Injuries, Form, and Critical Factors
Both teams head into the derby with squad concerns and momentum questions. Key elements include player availability, recent trends, and tactical edges.
- Santos missing Neymar due to ongoing knee surgery recovery, a massive blow to creativity and goal threat.
- Tiquinho Soares sidelined with calf injury, weakening the forward line further.
- Gabriel Bontempo out with hamstring issue, impacting midfield depth.
- Corinthians dealing with scattered absences, though fewer major reports recently.
- Santos strong in last home outings, scoring freely against quality opposition.
- Corinthians poor away form exposed in recent Paulista loss to Bragantino.
- Derby motivation high for both, but Santos benefit from Vila Belmiro crowd.
- Historical H2H shows low-scoring tendencies in Paulista clashes lately.
Free Tips on Santos vs Corinthians
This section delivers practical, match-specific free tips drawn from statistics of previous matches, head-to-head data, team forms, and other key influences. These insights highlight patterns in productivity, advantages, and potential edges for the upcoming Paulista derby. Use them to inform decisions without repeating broader factors already covered.
- Santos demonstrate stronger home productivity in recent outings, scoring in most Vila Belmiro games while Corinthians struggle to convert chances away, often limited to under 1 goal per road match in early Paulista fixtures.
- Head-to-head encounters frequently produce decisive results rather than draws, with the last five meetings yielding no stalemates and a trend toward one side dominating possession and shots in home settings.
- Recent form shows Santos building confidence from home wins and high-scoring Serie A finishes, contrasting Corinthians’ vulnerability on the road after heavy defeats and mixed starts.
- Weather conditions in Santos on match day point to mild temperatures around 22-25°C with low rain risk, favoring a faster-paced game on the natural grass pitch without major disruptions to ball movement or player grip.
- Referee Bellote L. oversees matches with moderate card averages in Paulista, but derbies often see heightened discipline issues, making over on total cards a viable angle if tensions rise early.
These tips stem directly from the statistical trends in the provided data and recent team behaviors, offering grounded perspectives for this rivalry clash.
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Santos vs Corinthians Match Prediction
Santos vs Corinthians odds favor a tight contest, but home advantage tips the scale toward the Peixe in this early Paulista derby. Santos’ solid home record contrasts Corinthians’ road struggles, while the absence of key attackers like Neymar is offset by recent attacking output from others. Corinthians remain dangerous on counters, but defensive lapses away suggest vulnerability. A narrow Santos win or draw feels most likely, with under 2.5 goals probable given derby caution. Santos edge it 2-1 or 1-0, capitalizing on Vila Belmiro energy and Corinthians’ inconsistent travel form.
Our Prediction: Santos 1-0 Corinthians
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Santos Win | 2.14 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.65 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.8 |
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