With a capacity of 62,345, the much awaited Real Madrid vs Mallorca Spanish Super Cup semi-final will take place on Thursday, January 9, 2025, at the venerable King Abdullah Sports City in Jeddah. Starting at 19:00, De Burgos R. is the referee for this pivotal collision. For both teams, this competition signifies a turning point in the season as they fight for a spot in the final and want to add esteemed medals to their campaigns.
While Mallorca, last season’s Copa del Rey runner-up, aims to surprise as underdogs, Real Madrid, the current La Liga winners, will want to continue their supremacy in this event. Promising an interesting and erratic game, both sides bring different recent prediction and histories into this clash.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Both sides in my Real Madrid versus Mallorca forecast today have interesting stories. Riding a seven-match undefeated run, Real Madrid comes into the game with enthusiasm; Mallorca struggles off a poor Copa del Rey loss. Real Madrid has a major edge, so the two teams have collided in Spanish football history many times. But Mallorca’s ability to get a draw earlier this season adds tension.
The semi-final structure allows minimal opportunity for mistakes, and Madrid’s team is strong favorite because of their talent. Still, Mallorca’s will to stand out in this market shouldn’t be underestimated.
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Real Madrid Results
Real Madrid has displayed a strong run of form leading up to this semi-final, combining resilience and dominance across competitions.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 06/01/25 | Copa del Rey | Deportiva Minera vs Real Madrid | 0-5 | W |
| 03/01/25 | La Liga | Valencia vs Real Madrid | 1-2 | W |
| 22/12/24 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Sevilla | 4-2 | W |
| 18/12/24 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup | Real Madrid vs Pachuca | 3-0 | W |
| 14/12/24 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 3-3 | D |
Real Madrid’s recent matches underline their offensive strength, with notable contributions from stars like Luka Modrić and Jude Bellingham. The squad has shown resilience in tight games, particularly their comeback against Valencia.
Mallorca Results
Mallorca has experienced mixed fortunes in recent weeks, with consistency being a concern as they approach this crucial match.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 03/01/25 | Copa del Rey | Pontevedra vs Mallorca | 3-0 | L |
| 21/12/24 | La Liga | Getafe vs Mallorca | 0-1 | W |
| 14/12/24 | La Liga | Mallorca vs Girona | 2-1 | W |
| 06/12/24 | La Liga | Celta Vigo vs Mallorca | 2-0 | L |
| 03/12/24 | La Liga | Mallorca vs Barcelona | 1-5 | L |
Mallorca’s results highlight their struggles against top-tier opposition, but victories over Girona and Getafe show their potential to compete under pressure.
Real Madrid vs Mallorca Head-to-Head
These teams share a storied rivalry, but Real Madrid has been the dominant force in recent encounters.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 18/08/24 | La Liga | Mallorca vs Real Madrid | 1-1 |
| 13/04/24 | La Liga | Mallorca vs Real Madrid | 0-1 |
| 03/01/24 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Mallorca | 1-0 |
| 05/02/23 | La Liga | Mallorca vs Real Madrid | 1-0 |
| 11/09/22 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Mallorca | 4-1 |
Despite Mallorca’s rare victory in 2023, Real Madrid has dominated the majority of these encounters, often prevailing in tight matches.
Real Madrid Probable Lineup
Real Madrid is expected to field a strong starting XI for this Spanish Super Cup semi-final, balancing experience and attacking prowess to secure their spot in the final. Here’s the predicted lineup:
Courtois (GK), Vazquez (DF), Tchouameni (DF), Rudiger (DF), Mendy (DF), Valverde (MF), Camavinga (MF), Rodrygo (MF), Bellingham (FW), Vinicius (FW), Mbappe (FW).
Mallorca Probable Lineup
Mallorca will likely rely on a structured and disciplined setup to counter Real Madrid’s attacking strength, with their focus on defensive solidity and efficient counter-attacks. Here’s their expected starting XI:
Greif (GK), Mafeo (DF), Valjent (DF), Copete (DF), Mojica (MF), Asano (MF), Morlanes (MF), Mascarell (MF), Darder (MF), Larin (FW), Muriqi (FW).
INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS
Certain players will miss this match due to injuries, suspensions, or other reasons. Below is a list of unavailable players for each team:
| Real Madrid Player | Reason | Mallorca Player | Reason |
| Dani Carvajal | ACL Injury | Antonio Raillo | Fitness Concerns |
| Éder Militão | ACL Injury | Antonio Sanchez | Fitness Concerns |
| David Alaba | Recovering from ACL Injury | Samu Costa | Muscle Injury |
| Jesús Vallejo | Discomfort |
These absences will force both teams to adjust their tactics and rely on squad depth, particularly Real Madrid, whose defensive options are notably limited.
Key Factors to Watch
Both teams approach this match with unique challenges and opportunities. Here are the key points to consider:
- Real Madrid’s defensive concerns, with Carvajal, Militão, and Alaba unavailable;
- Jude Bellingham’s impact, having recovered confidence after his missed penalty against Valencia;
- Mallorca’s reliance on Cyle Larin, who scored their last three goals;
- The fitness status of key Mallorca players like Samu Costa and Antonio Sanchez;
- Mallorca’s poor away form against elite opposition this season;
- Real Madrid’s attacking depth, featuring Vinícius Jr., Mbappé, and Modrić;
- The psychological boost for Real Madrid from their 7-match unbeaten streak;
- Mallorca’s potential fatigue after being outclassed by fourth-tier Pontevedra;
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Free Tips on Real Madrid vs Mallorca
Analyzing important elements of both teams’ recent performances, head-to-head history, and outside variables that can affect the result will help one be ready for the Real Madrid vs. Mallorca Spanish Super Cup semi-final. This game features one of Europe’s top teams against a tenacious underdog, hence accurate predictions depend on careful attention to detail. Here are some wise ideas to give thought before laying bets.
- Historical Head-to-Head Trends: Real Madrid has won four of their last five meetings against Mallorca, showcasing their dominance in this matchup. However, Mallorca managed a draw in their most recent encounter earlier this season, indicating they can disrupt Madrid’s rhythm when defensively organized. Historical results suggest Real Madrid holds the edge, but an upset is not entirely out of the question.
- Managerial Strategies and Tactical Matchups: Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid thrives on a balanced approach between midfield creativity and attacking flair, while Jagoba Arrasate’s Mallorca relies on disciplined defending and counter-attacks. Understanding how these styles clash is key; Madrid’s ability to break down a compact defense will be a decisive factor in this game.
- Impact of Recent Fixture Congestion: Real Madrid will be playing their third game in seven days, potentially leading to fatigue and squad rotation. Meanwhile, Mallorca has had more rest, allowing them to prepare strategically and possibly take advantage of tired legs in the Madrid squad.
- Player Momentum and Individual Form: Jude Bellingham and Luka Modrić are in excellent form, with recent impactful performances that could tilt the game in Madrid’s favor. Conversely, Mallorca’s reliance on Cyle Larin for goals makes their attack predictable, but if he continues his scoring streak, he could be a game-changer.
By considering these insights, you can make better predictions and enhance your understanding of the factors influencing this thrilling clash.
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Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction 2025
The obvious favorites in this Real Madrid at Mallorca match prediction are the current La Liga champions. Mallorca has battled tougher clubs, hence Real Madrid’s depth and form should be rather important. Expect Los Blancos to control possession and generate plenty of opportunities by capitalizing on defensive weaknesses of Mallorca.
Given their previous record and critical absences for Mallorca, Real Madrid’s 3-1 triumph is almost certain. But because cup games are erratic, Mallorca could have chances to challenge Real Madrid’s defense.
Our Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Mallorca
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Real Madrid to Win | 1.39 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.57 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.8 |
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