Real Madrid vs AC Milan (1:3): Champions League 05/11/2024

November 5, 2024
Status: Finished
1-3
Champions League
Real Madrid
AC Milan
match decor

The Champions League clash between Real Madrid and AC Milan is set to kick off on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, at 20:00 local time. This pivotal Round 4 match will be hosted at the iconic Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, which has a capacity of 83,186. The fixture presents both teams with an opportunity to solidify their standing in the tournament, as Real Madrid seeks redemption after a recent heavy loss in El Clasico, while AC Milan aims to upset their formidable opponents. Both teams are prepared to battle it out in this much-anticipated European showdown.

This matchup in the league phase of the Champions League is critical for both sides. Real Madrid currently sits in 12th place after three matches, while AC Milan lags in 25th with only three points from their opening games. Both teams will be keenly aware of the high stakes here, as they look to climb the tournament table and bolster their campaign for the Champions League title.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

In anticipation of the Real Madrid vs AC Milan prediction today, it’s crucial to consider the latest form, historical context, and playing conditions. Real Madrid, coming off a break due to a postponed league match, will have a fitness edge, while AC Milan brings a recent victory in Serie A. Historically, both sides have seen balanced success against each other, with six wins apiece in previous encounters. Notably, Milan has only won once at the Bernabéu, but the team hopes to defy the odds this Tuesday. Both teams will bring their strongest squads, albeit with some key players out due to injuries.

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Real Madrid Results

Real Madrid has shown mixed performances in their last five matches, demonstrating both resilience and vulnerability in various competitions. The following table presents their recent form:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
26.10.24La LigaReal Madrid vs Barcelona0-4L
22.10.24Champions LeagueReal Madrid vs Dortmund5-2W
19.10.24La LigaCelta Vigo vs Real Madrid1-2W
05.10.24La LigaReal Madrid vs Villarreal2-0W
02.10.24Champions LeagueLille vs Real Madrid1-0L

Real Madrid’s recent results indicate a mix of strong European outings and domestic setbacks. Despite the crushing defeat against Barcelona, they’ve shown impressive goal-scoring abilities, notably with a 5-2 win over Dortmund in the Champions League. Their inconsistency, however, could be a challenge, especially against a defensive-minded team like Milan.

AC Milan Results

AC Milan, too, has experienced fluctuating fortunes in recent matches, displaying both offensive prowess and defensive gaps. Here’s a look at their recent form:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
02.11.24Serie AMonza vs AC Milan0-1W
29.10.24Serie AAC Milan vs Napoli0-2L
22.10.24Champions LeagueAC Milan vs Club Brugge3-1W
19.10.24Serie AAC Milan vs Udinese1-0W
06.10.24Serie AFiorentina vs AC Milan2-1L

Milan’s recent performances highlight their ability to secure narrow wins and maintain defensive solidity, although losses to teams like Napoli reveal potential vulnerabilities. Their victory over Club Brugge indicates that they’re capable of scoring, but consistency remains key.

Real Madrid vs AC Milan Head-to-Head

The historical context of Real Madrid vs AC Milan adds intrigue to this Champions League matchup, with both teams holding prestigious European legacies. Here are the last five head-to-head encounters:

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
01.08.24FriendlyAC Milan vs Real Madrid1-0
24.07.23FriendlyReal Madrid vs AC Milan3-2
08.08.21FriendlyReal Madrid vs AC Milan0-0
11.08.18FriendlyReal Madrid vs AC Milan3-1
30.07.15ICCReal Madrid vs AC Milan1-0

In recent friendlies, Real Madrid has held an upper hand with three wins, yet Milan surprised with a 1-0 victory in August. These results suggest competitive dynamics that may influence Tuesday’s game.

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Predicted Starting Lineups

Below are the projected starting lineups for both Real Madrid and AC Milan for their Champions League clash. These lineups reflect the anticipated formations and player roles, based on recent performances and available players. The lineups may still change based on last-minute tactical decisions or injury updates.

Real Madrid Possible Starting Lineup

Lunin (GK); Vazquez (DF), Militao (DF), Rudiger (DF), Mendy (DF); Valverde (MF), Camavinga (MF), Modric (MF); Bellingham (MF); Vinicius (FW), Mbappe (FW)

Predicted starting lineup for Real Madrid .

AC Milan Possible Starting Lineup

Maignan (GK); Royal (DF), Thiaw (DF), Tomori (DF), Hernandez (DF); Loftus-Cheek (MF), Fofana (MF), Reijnders (MF); Pulisic (FW), Morata (FW), Leao (FW)

Predicted starting lineup for AC Milan .

Injured and Questionable Players

Injuries and questionable fitness can significantly impact the lineups and performance of both teams. Below is a list of players who are either confirmed to be out due to injury or are doubtful for the match.

TeamPlayerInjury Type
Real MadridAlaba D.Knee Injury
Carvajal D.Knee Injury
RodrygoMuscle Injury
AC MilanBennacer I.Calf Injury
Florenzi A.Knee Injury
Gabbia M.Muscle Injury
Jovic L.Injury

Questionable

TeamPlayerInjury Type
Real MadridRudiger A.Muscle Injury
AC MilanAbraham T.Shoulder Injury
Calabria D.Calf Injury

These fitness issues may lead to tactical adjustments and alternative player selections, adding an element of unpredictability to the final lineups on match day.

Key Factors to Watch

This Real Madrid vs AC Milan encounter involves various key elements that could shape the match outcome. Factors include recent form, injuries, and historical trends, and these need close attention for an accurate Real Madrid vs AC Milan prediction:

  • Real Madrid’s key absences: Carvajal, Courtois, Rodrygo, and Alaba remain unavailable;
  • AC Milan’s lineup changes: Expected returns for Abraham, Royal, and Loftus-Cheek;
  • Stadium advantage: Real Madrid will play on home turf, where Milan has traditionally struggled;
  • Last performance factors: Both teams come from contrasting results; Real Madrid from a loss, Milan from a win;
  • Milan’s away struggles in Europe: They have faced difficulties securing wins away in European matches;
  • Madrid’s defensive concerns: A clean sheet may be a challenge given recent defensive lapses;
  • Form of key players: Mbappe and Vinicius for Madrid, Leao and Morata for Milan;
  • Motivational impact: Real Madrid will seek to rebound from the El Clasico loss and aim to reach nine points in the group.
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Free Tips on Real Madrid vs AC Milan

Analyzing Real Madrid vs AC Milan in the Champions League, it’s essential to consider certain factors that may influence the match outcome. By studying statistics from past encounters, recent team form, and other influencing elements, you can make a more informed prediction. Here are a few crucial aspects to keep in mind for this encounter:

  • Head-to-Head Performance: Historically, Real Madrid has had a strong record against AC Milan at the Santiago Bernabéu. Milan has only secured one win at this venue, suggesting that the home advantage could play a significant role in Real Madrid’s favor.
  • Recent Team Form: Real Madrid comes into this game on mixed form, with some strong Champions League performances but a recent loss to Barcelona. AC Milan, meanwhile, has shown resilience in Serie A, and their recent victory against Monza might give them a morale boost heading into this challenging away game.
  • Key Players and Injuries: Real Madrid will be without Carvajal, Courtois, Rodrygo, and Alaba, which could impact their defensive stability. Milan’s potential return of Tammy Abraham, Emerson Royal, and Loftus-Cheek could bring an edge to their lineup, especially with Rafael Leao’s anticipated inclusion in the starting XI.
  • Home vs. Away Record: Real Madrid has shown strong performances at home, which could make a difference in this match. Milan’s recent European away record has been inconsistent, making it essential to weigh the impact of Madrid’s home crowd at the Bernabéu.
  • Upcoming Fixtures: With both teams eyeing important domestic and European games ahead, squad rotations or player management may come into play. Real Madrid will aim to conserve energy for the upcoming La Liga matches, while Milan might adjust their lineup to prepare for a tighter Serie A schedule.

Careful consideration of these elements will provide deeper insights into the Real Madrid vs AC Milan match and help form a well-rounded betting strategy.

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Real Madrid vs AC Milan Match Prediction 2024

For this crucial Champions League fixture, Real Madrid vs AC Milan odds favor the hosts slightly, given their home advantage and overall squad strength. Madrid’s attack, led by Mbappe and Vinicius, is expected to be aggressive and tactically astute, challenging Milan’s defense. Milan, with Leao and Morata at the front, will look to counter but might struggle to maintain possession and tempo against Madrid’s mid-block. Given Real Madrid’s rested lineup and Milan’s mixed form, a narrow victory for Real Madrid appears likely, with both teams having potential to score. This prediction aligns with Madrid’s stronger European campaign thus far.

Our Prediction: Real Madrid 2-1 AC Milan

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match WinnerReal Madrid1.45
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.65
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals1.48

You can place a bet on the Real Madrid vs AC Milan matchup at bc.game for a thrilling Champions League experience.

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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