Get ready for a blockbuster clash as Paris Saint-Germain take on Real Madrid in the FIFA Club World Cup semifinal. This high-stakes showdown promises fireworks, with a spot in the final against either Chelsea or Fluminense up for grabs.
The match kicks off at 19:00 GMT+0 on Wednesday, July 9, 2025, at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, with a capacity of 82,566. Polish referee Szymon Marciniak will officiate, bringing his experience to this pivotal FIFA Club World Cup semifinal stage.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This section sets the stage for what’s coming, diving into recent form and head-to-head clashes to sharpen your PSG vs Real Madrid prediction today. Both teams have been electric in the tournament, but their paths to the semifinal reveal distinct strengths and vulnerabilities. PSG’s attacking flair has been relentless, while Real Madrid’s resilience under new boss Xabi Alonso has kept them unbeaten. Past encounters between these giants often swing on fine margins, making every stat and lineup detail critical. Let’s break down their latest results and history to uncover where the edge lies.
PSG Results
PSG have been a juggernaut in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, showcasing their depth and firepower. Their treble-winning season, capped by a Champions League title, has carried over into this tournament. Despite a rare stumble, they’ve been clinical, especially against European opposition.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 05/07/2025 | CWC | PSG vs Bayern Munich | 2:0 | W |
| 29/06/2025 | CWC | PSG vs Inter Miami | 4:0 | W |
| 23/06/2025 | CWC | Seattle Sounders vs PSG | 0:2 | W |
| 20/06/2025 | CWC | PSG vs Botafogo RJ | 0:1 | L |
| 15/06/2025 | CWC | PSG vs Atl. Madrid | 4:0 | W |
PSG’s form is intimidating, with four wins in their last five games and a single loss to Botafogo. Their 12 goals scored and just one conceded highlight a lethal attack and a rock-solid defense. Clean sheets against Bayern, Inter Miami, and Atletico Madrid show their ability to shut down elite sides. The nine-man win over Bayern underlines their grit, even under pressure. This run makes PSG vs Real Madrid betting tips lean heavily toward their attacking prowess.
Real Madrid Results
Real Madrid, under Xabi Alonso, have navigated a tougher route to the semifinal, staying unbeaten but not without drama. Their quarter-final scare against Dortmund exposed defensive cracks, yet their attack remains potent. The 15-time European champions are still a force, blending youth and experience.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 05/07/2025 | CWC | Real Madrid vs Dortmund | 3:2 | W |
| 01/07/2025 | CWC | Real Madrid vs Juventus | 1:0 | W |
| 27/06/2025 | CWC | Salzburg vs Real Madrid | 0:3 | W |
| 22/06/2025 | CWC | Real Madrid vs Pachuca | 3:1 | W |
| 18/06/2025 | CWC | Real Madrid vs Al Hilal | 1:1 | D |
Real Madrid’s unbeaten streak is impressive, with four wins and a draw in their last five. They’ve scored 11 goals, but conceding in three games suggests defensive frailty. The Dortmund thriller showed they can be pushed to the brink, yet their ability to grind out results is undeniable. Gonzalo Garcia’s four goals make him a focal point for PSG vs Real Madrid match prediction. Their resilience keeps them dangerous, but consistency is a question mark.
PSG vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)
Clashes between PSG and Real Madrid are always charged with history and drama. Their Champions League battles over the years have been tight, often decided by moments of brilliance or costly errors. Let’s revisit their last five competitive meetings to gauge what’s at stake.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 09/03/2022 | CL | Real Madrid vs PSG | 3:1 |
| 15/02/2022 | CL | PSG vs Real Madrid | 1:0 |
| 26/11/2019 | CL | Real Madrid vs PSG | 2:2 |
| 18/09/2019 | CL | PSG vs Real Madrid | 3:0 |
| 06/03/2018 | CL | PSG vs Real Madrid | 1:2 |
Real Madrid hold a slight edge, winning three of the last five, with PSG claiming one and one draw. The 2022 turnaround, where Madrid overturned a 2:0 aggregate deficit, stings for PSG fans. However, PSG’s 3:0 thrashing in 2019 shows they can dominate on their day. Goals have flowed in most meetings, hinting at a lively PSG vs Real Madrid prediction 2025.
Predicted Lineups for PSG vs Real Madrid Football Match
As PSG and Real Madrid gear up for their FIFA Club World Cup semifinal on July 9, 2025, at MetLife Stadium, the starting lineups will be crucial in shaping this blockbuster clash. Both teams face challenges with suspensions and injuries, forcing managers Luis Enrique and Xabi Alonso to adapt. Below, we outline the expected starting XIs for each side, reflecting the latest team news and tactical approaches.
PSG Predicted Lineup
PSG’s lineup blends attacking flair with defensive resilience, even without key defenders.
Donnarumma (GK), Hakimi (DF), Marquinhos (DF), Beraldo (DF), Mendes (DF), Vitinha (MF), Neves (MF), Ruiz (MF), Barcola (FW), Doue (FW), Kvaratskhelia (FW)
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup
Real Madrid’s XI leans on young stars and veterans to counter PSG’s firepower.
Courtois (GK), Alexander-Arnold (DF), Rudiger (DF), Asencio (DF), Garcia (DF), Tchouameni (MF), Bellingham (MF), Valverde (MF), Guler (FW), Garcia G. (FW), Vinicius Jr (FW)
Injured and Questionable Players
Both PSG and Real Madrid are missing key players due to injuries and other issues, which could impact their performance in this high-stakes semifinal. The table below details the players unavailable for the match, excluding those already accounted for in the predicted lineups due to suspensions (Hernandez, Pacho, Huijsen).
| Team | Player | Reason |
| PSG | Nordi Mukiele | Muscle Injury |
| Real Madrid | David Alaba | Knee Injury |
| Real Madrid | Endrick Felipe | Hamstring Injury |
| Real Madrid | Ferland Mendy | Hamstring Injury |
| Real Madrid | Reinier Jesus | Inactive |
Key Factors to Watch
This semifinal isn’t just about star power; it’s about who seizes the moment. Both teams bring strengths, but injuries, form, and intangibles could tip the scales. Here are the critical elements shaping PSG vs Real Madrid betting tips.
- PSG’s Defensive Absences: Willian Pacho and Lucas Hernandez are suspended, forcing Lucas Beraldo into the spotlight;
- Real Madrid’s Missing Center-Back: Dean Huijsen’s red card means Raul Asencio or Eder Militao must step up;
- PSG’s Attacking Form: Scoring 164 goals this season, with Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Achraf Hakimi in scintillating form;
- Gonzalo Garcia’s Breakout: Real’s 21-year-old striker has four goals, including three openers, in the tournament;
- Real’s Defensive Wobbles: Conceding late against Dortmund exposed vulnerabilities PSG could exploit;
- Mbappe’s Motivation: Facing his former club, Kylian Mbappe is hungry to prove a point;
- PSG’s Clean Sheet Streak: Three consecutive shutouts show their backline, even depleted, is formidable;
- Alonso’s Tactical Tweaks: Real’s new boss has kept them unbeaten, but this is his biggest test yet.
Free Tips on PSG vs Real Madrid
The PSG vs Real Madrid semifinal in the FIFA Club World Cup on July 9, 2025, is a clash where every detail counts. To craft sharp betting decisions, you need to lean on data-driven insights from past performances and team dynamics. Here are five key tips, rooted in statistics and trends, to guide your PSG vs Real Madrid prediction today.
- Study Historical Clashes for Patterns: Dive into the head-to-head record to spot trends, like PSG’s 3:0 rout in 2019 or Real’s comeback in 2022, which suggest both teams can dominate but rarely keep it low-scoring;
- Check Home and Away Dynamics: PSG’s neutral-ground dominance, like their 4:0 thrashing of Atletico Madrid, contrasts with Real’s occasional struggles away from home, as seen in their Al Hilal draw;
- Assess Referee Impact: Szymon Marciniak’s strict style, averaging 4.5 cards per game, could lead to a heated match, especially with both teams missing key defenders due to suspensions;
- Evaluate Fixture Congestion: Real Madrid’s tougher route, facing Juventus and Dortmund in quick succession, might leave them fatigued compared to PSG’s smoother path;
- Factor in Pitch and Weather: MetLife Stadium’s artificial turf, combined with potential humid July conditions in New Jersey, could favor PSG’s quick, technical play over Real’s transitional style.
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PSG vs Real Madrid Match Prediction 2025
This PSG vs Real Madrid prediction 2025 hinges on form, firepower, and fragility. PSG enter as slight favorites, riding a wave of confidence after their treble and a 2:0 win over Bayern, even with nine men. Their attack, led by Kvaratskhelia and Hakimi, is relentless, and their three clean sheets in a row scream discipline. Real Madrid, unbeaten but shaky, rely on Gonzalo Garcia’s spark and Mbappe’s magic, but their defense has cracks—Dortmund nearly punished them. PSG’s depleted backline is a concern, yet their depth and cohesion give them an edge. Real’s new-look squad under Alonso is still gelling, and while they’ve got the talent to strike, PSG’s momentum feels unstoppable. The PSG vs Real Madrid odds reflect this, with PSG at 2.38 to win and Real at 3.01. Expect goals, as both teams leak chances, but PSG’s unity should see them through. We predict a narrow 2:1 victory for PSG, with both sides scoring in a thrilling contest at MetLife Stadium.
Our Prediction: PSG 2-1 Real Madrid
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | PSG Win | 2.34 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.5 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.54 |
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