PSG vs Marseille Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – France Super Cup 08/01/2026

France Super Cup
PSG vs Marseille
Thu, 08 Jan 2026 – 18:00
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1.58
Home
4.1
Draw
5.6
Away

PSG meet Marseille in the France Super Cup final, renewing one of football’s fiercest rivalries on neutral soil for early silverware. The Parisians chase a record-extending title against unpredictable challengers.

The game kicks off at 18:00 GMT+0 on Thursday, January 8, 2026, at Jaber Al Ahmad International Stadium in Kuwait City, Kuwait, with 60,000 capacity. Thomas Léonard referees this France Super Cup final single match. High temperatures and neutral setting add unique elements.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

PSG dominate recent Classiques, and this PSG vs Marseille prediction today backs their superior squad depth prevailing despite absences. Marseille show flashes but inconsistency away from home. Historical finals favor PSG heavily. Neutral venue tempers advantages slightly. Expect quality deciding a competitive tie.

PSG Results

PSG maintain strong momentum, winning most recent games convincingly while conceding little. They defend the trophy successfully last year. Luis Enrique fields attacking talent.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
04.01.2026L1PSG vs Paris FC2-1W
20.12.2025CDFFontenay vs PSG0-4W
17.12.2025FICPSG vs Flamengo RJ2-1W
13.12.2025L1Metz vs PSG2-3W
10.12.2025CLAth Bilbao vs PSG0-0D

Wins feature multi-goal displays. Draws rare in run. Concessions minimal overall. Cup experience shines. Form peaks entering final.

Marseille Results

Marseille fluctuate, winning big in cups but dropping league points recently. They reach final as runners-up. Roberto De Zerbi seeks first trophy.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
04.01.2026L1Marseille vs Nantes0-2L
21.12.2025CDFBourg en Bresse vs Marseille0-6W
14.12.2025L1Marseille vs Monaco1-0W
09.12.2025CLRoyale Union SG vs Marseille2-3W
05.12.2025L1Lille vs Marseille1-0L

Heavy cup wins contrast league losses. Away form varies greatly. Scoring potent in positives. Defensive lapses cost points. Upset potential exists.

Who will win Thursday’s France Super Cup clash between PSG and Marseille?
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PSG
59%
Draw
24%
Marseille
17%
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Head-to-Head: PSG vs Marseille 

PSG claim most recent victories, often decisively. Marseille grab occasional upset. Rivalry produces drama.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
22.09.2025L1Marseille vs PSG1-0
16.03.2025L1PSG vs Marseille3-1
27.10.2024L1Marseille vs PSG0-3
31.03.2024L1Marseille vs PSG0-2
24.09.2023L1PSG vs Marseille4-0

PSG secure comfortable margins lately. Marseille’s win stands out. Goals frequent.

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Predicted Starting Lineups

Coaches often keep cards close until kick-off, but these expected lineups reflect recent selections, injury reports, and tactical patterns for this high-stakes France Super Cup final on neutral ground. Both managers adjust for absences while sticking to familiar systems.

PSG 

Chevalier (GK), Zaire-Emery (DF), Marquinhos (DF), Pacho (DF), Mendes (DF), Neves (MF), Vitinha (MF), Ruiz (MF), Doue (FW), Dembele (FW), Barcola (FW)

Marseille 

Rulli (GK), Pavard (DF), Aguerd (DF), Egan-Riley (DF), Weah (MF), Kondogbia (MF), Hojbjerg (MF), Emerson (MF), Greenwood (MF), Paixao (MF), Aubameyang (FW)

Injured and Questionable Players

Key absences affect both squads, forcing rotations in midfield and attack for PSG, while Marseille contend with suspensions impacting depth. Overall health remains solid otherwise.

TeamPlayerReason
PSGLee Kang-inThigh Injury
PSGQuentin NdjantouMuscle Injury
PSGMatvey SafonovBroken Hand
MarseilleBilal NadirRed Card
MarseilleArthur VermeerenRed Card

Key Factors to Watch

Rivalry elevates stakes, with trophy and pride motivating intensely. Absences test squads. Neutral Kuwait shifts dynamics.

  • PSG miss Achraf Hakimi (AFCON), Matvey Safonov (hand injury), Lee Kang-in (thigh doubtful);
  • Marseille without Nayef Aguerd (AFCON), Ruben Blanco (knee doubtful);
  • PSG won 11 of 12 previous Super Cup finals;
  • Marseille seek first win here since 2011;
  • Recent league clash saw Marseille upset 1-0;
  • Ousmane Dembele and Luis Suarez threaten for PSG;
  • Mason Greenwood key for Marseille attack;
  • Jaber Al Ahmad conditions favor technical play;
  • No major scandals affect preparations.

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Free Tips on PSG vs Marseille

Statistical trends from recent Classiques and individual performances highlight PSG’s clear edge in this neutral France Super Cup final in Kuwait. The Parisians consistently outperform Marseille in decisive games, often with multiple goals and clean sheets. These tips focus purely on data-driven patterns to reveal the sharpest opportunities.

  • PSG won 11 of their last 12 France Super Cup finals, keeping clean sheets in the previous three by a combined 7-0 scoreline, strongly supporting PSG to nil or low Marseille output;
  • The last five head-to-heads saw PSG win four, scoring 12 goals while conceding just 2, pointing toward PSG multi-goal victories or over team totals;
  • Marseille scored in only one of the last five meetings against PSG, with the Parisians shutting them out in four, backing bets on Marseille under 0.5 goals or no BTTS;
  • PSG scored at least twice in four of the last five Classiques, averaging over three goals in wins, favoring over 2.5 totals or PSG over 1.5 team goals;
  • Neutral venue finals involving PSG historically produce decisive results, with the favorites winning by two or more goals in recent editions.
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PSG vs Marseille Prediction 2026

PSG’s trophy experience, dominant head-to-head record, and attacking options make them favorites to lift the France Super Cup, overcoming Marseille’s occasional threats through superior depth. Despite key absences, Enrique fields quality to control midfield and exploit counters, while Marseille’s inconsistency limits sustained pressure. Neutral venue aids flow, yet PSG’s finals pedigree shines. PSG vs Marseille odds back the Parisians, reflecting historical edges in decisive games. This exotic Classique opens 2026 dramatically, with PSG’s consistency tipping scales against Marseille’s unpredictability. Stats support goals from favorites.

Our Prediction: PSG 2-1 Marseille

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultPSG Win1.58
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.73
Total GoalsOver 2.51.64

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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