Portugal vs Croatia Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – UEFA Nations League

Match prediction for the Portugal vs Croatia game at UEFA Nations League 2024.

September 5, 2024, at 18:45, at the famous Estádio da Luz in Lisbon, is the much awaited collision between Portugal and Croatia. The League A UEFA Nations League competition opens with this game. Under the direction of Turkish referee H. U. Meler, the two teams will fight it out in front of a 64,642 audience keen to see the action in one of Europe’s top football events.

Both teams want to recover from unsatisfactory summer European Championship performance. Under head coach Roberto Martínez, Portugal seeks to recover its glory from the first 2018/19 UEFA Nations League triumph; Croatia, under veteran coach Zlatko Dalić, aims to build on their most recent UNL runner-up finish.

Key Insights and Betting Tips

When weighing the Portugal against Croatia prediction for today, a number of elements come into influence. While Croatia has shown resilience away from home, winning their last four away games in the Nations League (W2, L2), Portugal has had a mixed record at home. With both sides having seasoned players who could have a big influence, the forthcoming game looks to be a closely fought one. While Croatia depends on the midfield mastery of Luka Modrić, who is about to reach a historic mark, Cristiano Ronaldo keeps leading the line for Portugal.

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Portugal Recent Results

Portugal’s recent form has been a mix of highs and lows, with significant performances in their last five matches.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
05.07.24EURPortugal vs France0-1L
01.07.24EURPortugal vs Slovenia1-0W
26.06.24EURGeorgia vs Portugal2-0L
22.06.24EURTurkey vs Portugal0-3W
18.06.24EURPortugal vs Czech Republic2-1W

Portugal’s recent matches show a team capable of both strong performances and surprising defeats. The loss against France was a narrow defeat in a closely fought contest, while victories against Slovenia and Turkey demonstrate their capability to dominate games. However, the unexpected loss to Georgia reveals inconsistencies that they will need to address ahead of the Croatia clash.

Croatia Recent Results

Croatia has also experienced a mixed set of results in their last five games, showing both resilience and areas needing improvement.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
24.06.24EURCroatia vs Italy1-1D
19.06.24EURCroatia vs Albania2-2D
15.06.24EURSpain vs Croatia3-0L
08.06.24FIPortugal vs Croatia1-2W
03.06.24FICroatia vs North Macedonia3-0W

Croatia’s results show a team with a fighting spirit but also vulnerable to lapses in concentration, particularly in defense. The draws against Italy and Albania highlight their struggle to maintain leads, while the loss to Spain reflects defensive frailties. However, their wins against Portugal and North Macedonia indicate their potential to challenge strong teams.

Portugal vs Croatia: Head-to-Head Results

The historical encounters between Portugal and Croatia have often been thrilling and closely contested.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
08.06.24FIPortugal vs Croatia1-2
17.11.20UNLCroatia vs Portugal2-3
05.09.20UNLPortugal vs Croatia4-1
06.09.18FIPortugal vs Croatia1-1
25.06.16EURCroatia vs Portugal0-1

The head-to-head record between Portugal and Croatia is relatively even, with both teams securing notable victories. Portugal’s dominant win in the Nations League in 2020 stands out, but Croatia’s recent friendly victory in 2024 suggests they have the capability to challenge Portugal on their home turf.

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Portugal Probable Lineup

As Portugal prepares to face Croatia in this UEFA Nations League clash, head coach Roberto Martínez is likely to rely on a blend of experienced stars and promising young talents. Here is the predicted starting lineup for Portugal:

Diogo Costa (GK), Diogo Dalot (DF), Rúben Dias (DF), António Silva (DF), Nuno Mendes (DF), João Palhinha (MF), Vitinha (MF), Bernardo Silva (MF), Bruno Fernandes (MF), Rafael Leão (FW), Cristiano Ronaldo (FW).

Predicted starting lineup for the Portugal national football team in the UEFA Nations League match against Croatia.

Croatia Probable Lineup

Croatia, under the leadership of Zlatko Dalić, is expected to field a solid lineup combining experienced players and emerging talents to challenge Portugal. Here’s the anticipated starting eleven for Croatia:

Dominik Livakovic (GK), Marin Pongracic (DF), Josip Sutalo (DF), Joško Gvardiol (DF), Borna Sosa (DF), Luka Modric (MF), Luka Sučić (MF), Mateo Kovacic (MF), Mario Pašalić (MF), Andrej Kramaric (FW), Luka Ivanusec (FW).

Predicted starting lineup for the Croatia national football team in the UEFA Nations League match against Portugal.

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

When one considers possible results for the game, it is imperative to know which players are absent for injuries, suspensions, or other causes. The performance, tactical approach, and general strategy of a team can be much affected by the absence of important players. The players from both teams listed below will not be attending the forthcoming Portugal-Croatian game.

TeamPlayerReason
PortugalPepeRetired
PortugalJoão CanceloDropped
PortugalDanilo PereiraDropped
PortugalFrancisco ConceiçãoDropped
CroatiaDomagoj VidaInjury
CroatiaMarcelo BrozovicRetired
CroatiaLovro MajerInjury
CroatiaJosip StanisicInjury
CroatiaMartin ErlicInjury
CroatiaDuje Caleta-CarDoubt (Knock)

These absences will force both Portugal and Croatia to adjust their tactics and possibly experiment with new formations or players, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this already exciting encounter.

Key Factors to Watch

As Portugal and Croatia prepare to face off, several key factors could influence the match’s outcome:

  • Injuries: Both teams are missing key players due to injuries, with Croatia’s defense notably weakened;
  • Team Form: Portugal’s recent home form in the UNL is inconsistent, while Croatia has been strong away from home;
  • Star Players: Cristiano Ronaldo and Luka Modrić will be pivotal for their respective teams, given their experience and influence;
  • Tactical Adjustments: Both coaches may opt for different tactical setups to exploit the opposition’s weaknesses;
  • Defensive Stability: Croatia’s potential makeshift defense could be a vulnerability against Portugal’s attacking prowess;
  • Young Talent: Portugal’s squad includes several young players who could provide a fresh dynamic to their play;
  • Historical Rivalry: Previous encounters suggest a competitive edge between the two teams;
  • Psychological Factors: Both teams are motivated by previous disappointments and are eager to start strong in this competition.
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Free Tips on Portugal vs Croatia

When betting on a match like Portugal vs Croatia, it’s crucial to consider various factors that could influence the game’s outcome. Studying statistics, recent team form, and other external conditions can provide valuable insights. Below are some essential tips to help you make more informed betting decisions for this UEFA Nations League encounter.

  • Head-to-Head Statistics: Analyze the past encounters between Portugal and Croatia. Historically, Portugal has had the upper hand in competitive matches, which might suggest they have a psychological advantage going into this game. Reviewing the outcomes of their previous clashes can help predict potential scenarios for this match.
  • Home vs. Away Performance: Consider how both teams perform in home and away settings. Portugal’s form at Estádio da Luz has been mixed in recent UNL campaigns, while Croatia has shown marked improvement in their away performances, winning their last four away matches in this tournament. This dynamic could play a critical role in determining the match’s flow and result.
  • Impact of Injuries and Suspensions: Always check for the latest updates on player availability. Croatia will be without key players such as Domagoj Vida and Marcelo Brozovic, which might weaken their defense. On the other hand, Portugal is also adjusting to life without Pepe, but they have strong replacements who can step up. The absence of crucial players often shifts the balance of power in tight matches.
  • Team Motivation and Stakes: The motivation levels of both teams can significantly impact the outcome. Portugal, playing at home, will be eager to start their campaign with a win to regain their past Nations League glory. Meanwhile, Croatia is driven by the desire to go one step further than their previous runner-up finish. Understanding what’s at stake can help gauge the intensity and focus each team will bring to the match.
  • Tactical Approaches and Style of Play: Knowing how each team is likely to set up can offer a strategic edge. Portugal’s tactical versatility under Roberto Martínez and Croatia’s reliance on counter-attacks and experienced midfield play with Luka Modrić suggest that this match could be a tactical battle. The styles of play could determine the pace of the game and the number of goals scored.
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Portugal vs Croatia Match Prediction 2024

For the upcoming match, considering the Portugal vs Croatia odds, Portugal seems to have a slight edge due to their home advantage and a more balanced squad. However, Croatia’s recent away form in the Nations League and their resilience suggest that they will not be easily defeated. We predict a tightly contested match with both teams likely to score, but Portugal could edge out with a narrow win given their attacking options and experience.

Our Prediction: Portugal 2-1 Croatia

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Full-Time ResultPortugal Win1.54
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.94
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals1.85

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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