Port Vale vs Wrexham Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – EFL Trophy 04/02/2025

EFL Trophy
Port Vale vs Wrexham
Tue, 04 February 2025 – 19:00
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3.6
Home
3.5
Draw
2.0
Away

Port Vale will be facing Wrexham in the EFL Trophy at Vale Park in Stoke-on-Trent, England, on February 4, 2025 This game is under the Round of 16, hence Drysdale D. (England) will referee it.

Both sides have done well in their respective divisions; Wrexham is third in League One while Port Vale is now in sixth in League Two. Given both teams want a spot in the quarter-finals, the game looks to be fierce. In the previous round Port Vale recently defeated Doncaster Rovers 1-0; Wrexham passed Crewe Alexandra 1-0.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

Examining the forthcoming Port Vale vs Wrexham forecast today requires us to consider both teams’ previous prediction and important figures. Port Vale has been strong at home, guaranteeing two straight victories at Vale Park; Wrexham has suffered in away games, losing five of their past nine on the road.

Both clubs arrive to this game after league triumphs; Port Vale beats Accrington Stanley 2-1 and Wrexham beats Crawley Town 2-1. Port Vale triumphed on penalties after a 1-1 draw in the EFL Trophy last time they played.

Given Wrexham’s defensive woes, eight goals given in their previous four games, and Port Vale’s great home record, this game could be closer than the league suggests. The result will be much influenced by the tactical struggle Darren Moore and Phil Parkinson engage in.

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Port Vale Results

Port Vale has been in terrific form, remaining undefeated in their previous five games across all competitions with three victories and two draws. Their home performances have been strong; they recently defeated Accrington Stanley and Newport.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
01/02/25League TwoPort Vale vs Accrington2-1W
25/01/25League TwoChesterfield vs Port Vale1-1D
18/01/25League TwoPort Vale vs Newport3-2W
04/01/25League TwoDoncaster vs Port Vale1-2W
01/01/25League TwoPort Vale vs Cheltenham0-0D

Port Vale has displayed resilience, particularly in tight matches. They have managed to win three of their last five games, with their only loss coming over a month ago. Their ability to score late goals and hold on to leads has been a key factor in their recent success.

Wrexham Results

Wrexham, competing in a higher division, has shown some inconsistency in recent matches, winning only two of their last five games, losing twice, and drawing once. Their defensive record has been a concern, with just one clean sheet in their last 10 matches.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
01/02/25League OneCrawley vs Wrexham1-2W
28/01/25League OneWrexham vs Stevenage2-3L
23/01/25League OneWrexham vs Birmingham1-1D
16/01/25League OneShrewsbury vs Wrexham2-1L
04/01/25League OneWrexham vs Peterborough1-0W

Wrexham has struggled with consistency, particularly in away fixtures, losing two of their last three matches on the road. While their attack remains strong, their defensive vulnerability has led to multiple dropped points in recent weeks.

Who will win Tuesday’s EFL Trophy clash between Port Vale and Wrexham?
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Port Vale
10%
Draw
10%
Wrexham
80%
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Port Vale vs Wrexham Head-to-Head

The last five encounters between these two teams have been competitive, with each side winning twice and one draw. Port Vale won the most recent meeting in November 2024 on penalties.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
12/11/24EFL TrophyPort Vale vs Wrexham1-1 (Penalties)
07/11/23EFL TrophyWrexham vs Port Vale2-1
14/08/07EFL CupPort Vale vs Wrexham1-2
04/11/05FA CupPort Vale vs Wrexham2-1
26/04/05League OnePort Vale vs Wrexham0-2

Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested. While Wrexham won their last home meeting in 2023, Port Vale eliminated them on penalties in their most recent cup match.

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Port Vale Predicted Starting XI:

Amos (GK); Smith (DF), Heneghan (DF), Grant (DF); Hart (DF), Harper (MF), Lowe (MF), Shorrock (MF); Richards (MF), Tolaj (FW), Hackford (FW).

Projected starting lineup for Port Vale in their EFL Trophy 2025 match against Wrexham.

Wrexham Predicted Starting XI:

Foster (GK); James (DF), Scarr (DF), O’Connor (DF); Forde (DF), Jones (MF), Dobson (MF), Adam (MF), Mendy (MF); Faal (FW), Bodvarsson (FW).

Predicted starting XI for Wrexham in their EFL Trophy 2025 clash with Port Vale.

Key Factors to Consider

Both teams come into this game with contrasting strengths and weaknesses. Here are eight key factors that could impact the match:

  • Port Vale’s strong home form, winning their last two matches at Vale Park;
  • Wrexham’s inconsistent away record, losing five of their last nine road games;
  • Port Vale’s recent unbeaten streak, with three wins and two draws in five matches;
  • Wrexham’s defensive struggles, conceding eight goals in their last four matches;
  • Port Vale’s ability to win tight games, as seen in their 2-1 win over Accrington Stanley;
  • Wrexham’s late-game heroics, winning against Crawley Town with a 95th-minute goal;
  • Head-to-head history, with both teams winning twice in their last five meetings;
  • Squad rotation concerns, as Wrexham’s promotion chase may lead to lineup changes.
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Free Tips on Port Vale vs Wrexham

Betting on football requires more than just checking team standings it’s about understanding the deeper factors that influence a match’s outcome. In this Port Vale vs Wrexham clash, several elements could sway the result, from recent team form to player availability and tactical setups. Below are five key insights to help you make an informed bet on this EFL Trophy showdown.

  • Team Motivation & Lineups Matter: Cup matches often bring rotations, as teams prioritize league campaigns. Wrexham, pushing for League One promotion, may rest key players, while Port Vale, with a chance to progress deeper in the EFL Trophy, could field a stronger side. Always check for confirmed starting lineups before placing a bet.
  • Port Vale’s Home Edge & Fan Support: Playing at Vale Park gives Port Vale an advantage. They have won their last two home games, while Wrexham has lost five of their last nine away fixtures. The home crowd and familiarity with the pitch could be crucial, especially in a knockout match.
  • Defensive Weaknesses & Expected Goals (xG): Wrexham has kept just one clean sheet in their last ten games, conceding eight goals in their last four matches. Meanwhile, Port Vale has created multiple big chances in recent games, including five against Doncaster. A “Both Teams to Score” bet or Over 2.5 Goals could be worth considering.
  • Importance of Recent Schedule & Fatigue: Wrexham has played several high-intensity games in League One over the last few weeks, while Port Vale has had a more balanced schedule. This could lead to fatigue for Wrexham, especially if their manager rotates key players. A fresher Port Vale squad could have the energy edge.
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Port Vale vs Wrexham Match Prediction 2025

This Port Vale vs Wrexham prediction 2025 is challenging, as both teams have strengths in different areas. Port Vale has been more consistent in recent weeks, particularly at home, while Wrexham’s away form is a concern. The visitors’ defensive issues could make them vulnerable against a well-organized Port Vale side.

Given Port Vale’s home advantage and Wrexham’s priority on League One promotion, we predict a tight match with Port Vale edging out a narrow win or a draw. The Port Vale vs Wrexham odds suggest a close contest, but Port Vale’s defensive solidity gives them the edge.

Our Prediction: Port Vale 1-2 Wrexham

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultWrexham to Win2.0
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.74
Tptal GoalsOver 2.5 Goals1.84

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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