Poland vs Portugal (1:3): UEFA Nations League 12/10/2024

October 12, 2024
Status: Finished
1-3
UEFA Nations League
Poland
Portugal
match decor

On October 12th, 2024, at 18:45 GMT+0, Poland will host Portugal at the PGE Narodowy Stadium in Warsaw, which can accommodate 58,580 spectators. This match is part of the UEFA Nations League, League A, Round 3. The referee for this football encounter will be S. Gozubuyuk from the Netherlands. Poland aims to improve its position in the group with the home advantage, while Portugal looks to maintain its dominance after securing two wins in their previous matches. With stakes high for both teams, this promises to be a thrilling football clash in Warsaw.

This Nations League fixture sees Portugal three points ahead of Poland in Group A, and a win could edge them closer to securing a spot in the quarter-finals. Poland, however, needs to capitalize on this home game if they hope to stay competitive in their group and reach the next stage. The stage is set for an intense and tactical football battle, with both teams needing crucial points in this phase of the tournament.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

In this section, we will break down key insights ahead of the match and provide betting tips. Portugal, sitting at the top of the group, comes into this game with confidence after two consecutive wins, while Poland is looking to bounce back after a loss to Croatia. The Poland vs Portugal prediction today highlights the importance of recent form, head-to-head matchups, and injuries that could play a significant role in the outcome. Poland will need to overcome their inconsistent results to challenge a Portugal side that has a good record against them. Both teams will bring their best, but Portugal’s strong position in the group makes them the favorites.

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Poland Results

Poland has had a mixed run of form in recent games, combining both victories and defeats across different competitions. Their most recent encounters illustrate the challenge they face ahead of the match against Portugal.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
08.09.24UNLCroatia vs Poland1-0L
05.09.24UNLScotland vs Poland2-3W
25.06.24EURFrance vs Poland1-1D
21.06.24EURPoland vs Austria1-3L
16.06.24EURPoland vs Netherlands1-2L

Poland has only won one of their last five matches, which was an away game against Scotland. The team has struggled defensively, conceding goals in each of their recent games, including a 1-3 home loss to Austria. With only one victory, they face an uphill battle, especially against a well-performing Portuguese side.

Portugal Results

Portugal, in contrast, comes into this match with solid performances in recent games, especially in the Nations League. Below is a summary of their latest results.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
08.09.24UNLPortugal vs Scotland2-1W
05.09.24UNLPortugal vs Croatia2-1W
05.07.24EURPortugal vs France0-1 (0-0)D/L (after penalties)
01.07.24EURPortugal vs Slovenia1-0 (0-0)D/W (after penalties)
26.06.24EURGeorgia vs Portugal2-0L

Portugal has won three of their last five matches, demonstrating their resilience and ability to secure victories even in closely contested games. Their two wins in the Nations League have come against tough opponents, and they’ve shown that they can score decisive goals late in the match, a quality that could be crucial against Poland.

Poland vs Portugal Head-to-Head Results

Historically, Portugal has enjoyed a better record in head-to-head meetings against Poland, and this could play a psychological role in the upcoming fixture.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
20.11.18UNLPortugal vs Poland1-1
11.10.18UNLPoland vs Portugal2-3
30.06.16EURPoland vs Portugal1-2 (1-1), after penalties
29.02.12FIPoland vs Portugal0-0
08.09.07EURPortugal vs Poland2-2

Portugal has remained unbeaten in their last five meetings against Poland, winning two and drawing three. Poland’s last victory over Portugal dates back more than a decade, indicating that the visitors have historically had the upper hand in this matchup.

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Poland vs Portugal Predicted Lineups

In this section, we’ll take a look at the likely starting lineups for both Poland and Portugal in their upcoming Nations League clash. Based on recent performances, injuries, and tactical setups, here is the predicted lineup for both teams. These lineups are not guaranteed but reflect the most probable formations each team could use.

Poland Predicted Lineup

Poland is expected to line up in a 5-3-2 formation with Robert Lewandowski leading the attack. With a solid defense marshaled by Jan Bednarek and key contributions from Piotr Zielinski in midfield, Poland will look to make the most of their home advantage: Łukasz Skorupski (GK), J. Kamiński (DF), S. Walukiewicz (DF), J. Bednarek (DF), P. Dawidowicz (DF), N. Zalewski (DF), Sebastian Szymański (MF), Piotr Zieliński (MF), Kacper Urbański (MF), Robert Lewandowski (FW), Krzysztof Piątek (FW)

Predicted Poland starting lineup for the UEFA Nations League match against Portugal, featuring key players like Robert Lewandowski and Piotr Zielinski.

Portugal Predicted Lineup

Portugal, under Roberto Martinez, is likely to stick with a 4-3-3 formation, with Cristiano Ronaldo flanked by Rafael Leão and Diogo Jota. Bruno Fernandes will pull the strings in midfield, while Rúben Dias anchors the defense: Diogo Costa (GK), Diogo Dalot (DF), Rúben Dias (DF), António Silva (DF), Nuno Mendes (DF), Bernardo Silva (MF), João Palhinha (MF), Bruno Fernandes (MF), Diogo Jota (FW), Cristiano Ronaldo (FW), Rafael Leão (FW)

Predicted Portugal starting lineup for the UEFA Nations League match against Poland, with Cristiano Ronaldo and Bruno Fernandes leading the team.

Injured and Suspended Players

Key players from both teams will miss the match due to injuries or suspensions. These absences could have a significant impact on the outcome of the game.

Poland PlayerReasonPortugal PlayerReason
Arkadiusz MilikInjuryPedro GoncalvesInjury
Geovany QuendaInjury

Poland will miss their star forward Arkadiusz Milik, which puts more pressure on Robert Lewandowski to lead the attack. Portugal, on the other hand, will be without Pedro Goncalves and Geovany Quenda, but they have enough squad depth to cope with these losses.

Key Points to Consider

Several factors could heavily influence the outcome of this match, including team form, player availability, and recent performance trends. Below is a list of key points that bettors should be aware of before making any decisions:

  • Poland has only one win in their last five matches;
  • Portugal is unbeaten in their last two Nations League matches;
  • Cristiano Ronaldo is expected to lead the Portuguese attack, having scored the winning goals in both of their previous group games;
  • Poland’s defense has been porous, conceding at least one goal in all of their recent matches;
  • Poland’s star striker Robert Lewandowski will play a key role, but he will need strong support from the midfield to break down Portugal’s defense;
  • Portugal has called up several promising new players, including Francisco Conceicao, who is returning from injury;
  • Poland has lost two of their last three home games in the Nations League;
  • Key injuries on both sides could affect the lineups, with Portugal missing Pedro Goncalves and Geovany Quenda.
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Free Tips on Poland vs Portugal

When it comes to placing bets on the Poland vs Portugal Nations League match, there are several key factors to consider that could heavily influence the outcome. By analyzing recent performances, player availability, and other important aspects, you can make more informed decisions. Below, we offer a selection of crucial tips based on both teams’ current form, tactics, and external influences.

  • Team Form and Momentum: Portugal enters this match on a winning streak, which gives them a significant confidence boost. Poland, on the other hand, has struggled in recent games, which could affect their morale.
  • Home vs. Away Performance: Poland will have the home advantage at PGE Narodowy, but Portugal has shown resilience on the road. Take into account Poland’s past struggles at home in this tournament when weighing their chances.
  • Injuries and Player Absences: Poland’s reliance on Robert Lewandowski could become a liability if he’s isolated, especially with Arkadiusz Milik out. Portugal, meanwhile, will miss some key players like Pedro Goncalves but still boast a strong squad led by Cristiano Ronaldo.
  • Tactics and Playing Styles: Portugal is known for its organized attacking play, while Poland has been less effective defensively. Expect Portugal to exploit Poland’s defensive weaknesses, especially through quick counter-attacks.
  • Weather and Pitch Conditions: Weather in Warsaw on match day could play a role, particularly if rain is expected. A wet surface might slow down Portugal’s passing game, while Poland could try to capitalize on set-pieces or long balls.

These factors should be taken into account when placing bets on the Poland vs Portugal game, as they can significantly influence the match outcome.

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Poland vs Portugal Prediction 2024

As we approach the highly anticipated Nations League clash between Poland and Portugal, it’s clear that Portugal enters this match as the favorite. With strong momentum from two consecutive wins and a good head-to-head record, they are in a solid position to extend their lead in the group. Poland, meanwhile, has struggled for consistency and will need a flawless performance to pull off an upset. Given Poland’s defensive vulnerabilities and Portugal’s ability to score late, the Poland vs Portugal odds lean heavily toward a Portuguese victory. We expect a competitive match, but Portugal’s form and depth of talent should see them through with another win.

Our Prediction: Poland 1-2 Portugal

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Full-Time ResultPortugal to Win1.62
Total GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals1.4

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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