Peru vs Chile Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – World Cup Qualifiers 16/11/2024

Match prediction for the Peru vs Chile World Cup Qualifier game on 16/11/2024.

November 16, 2024 at the Estadio Nacional in Lima, Peru marks the forthcoming World Cup Qualifier match between Peru and Chile. Given 43,086 spectator capacity, this game looks to be fierce as both sides are at the bottom of the qualifying list. Wilton Sampaio from Brazil will be the referee for this game, therefore bringing some impartiality to this pivotal collision. Every point matters in this much awaited Clasico del Pacifico as both sides compete for a berth in the inter-confederation play-off, Chile lying just one point behind Peru.

Both teams depend on this game as they are now battling in the qualifying run. Peru enters the game after a 4-0 loss to Brazil but had a remarkable 1-0 triumph against Uruguay earlier. Chile, on the other hand, has been under terrible performance losing six of their past seven qualifiers. Both sides have great stakes; Peru must take advantage of their home advantage while Chile needs a victory to preserve chances for the World Cup.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

Examining the form and recent prediction of both sides helps us to better understand the Peru versus Chile forecast today. Despite their general dismal performance, Peru has shown some progress at home; their previous three home qualifiers (W1, D2) had an undefeated record. Chile, meanwhile, has suffered successive losses including four losses without scoring, away from home. Given Peru’s home advantage, these trends make the matchup even more fascinating. Although Peru’s chances of winning are clearly more favorable, Chile’s offensive might surprise us. Both sides will be trying to win a much-needed triumph, hence this game will probably be close.

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Peru Results

Peru’s recent form has been mixed, with a combination of losses and rare victories. Despite a strong home record, their struggles in attack have been a significant issue. In their last five matches, they’ve had a mixture of draws, wins, and heavy defeats, which shows their inconsistency in the competition. Here’s a look at their recent results:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
16.10.24WCBrazil vs Peru4-0L
12.10.24WCPeru vs Uruguay1-0W
10.09.24WCEcuador vs Peru1-0L
07.09.24WCPeru vs Colombia1-1D
30.06.24CAPeru vs Argentina2-0L

Peru’s form at home gives them a slight edge in this match, but their offensive struggles remain a major concern. The win over Uruguay was a high point, but they have struggled in their most recent encounters. Their attack has been ineffective, scoring only 3 goals in 10 qualifiers, which highlights the challenge they face in turning things around.

Chile Results

Chile has been in a complete crisis, with no wins in their last five competitive matches. Their form, particularly away from home, has been disastrous, and they’ve failed to score in their last four road games. Despite some experienced players like Eduardo Vargas and Arturo Vidal, they have struggled to find a rhythm. Here’s a look at their recent results:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
15.10.24WCColombia vs Chile4-0L
11.10.24WCChile vs Brazil1-2L
10.09.24WCChile vs Bolivia1-2L
06.09.24WCArgentina vs Chile3-0L
30.06.24CAChile vs Canada0-0D

Chile’s away record is alarming; five consecutive losses. Though their roster is great on paper, their lack of defensive consistency and inability to score goals have helped them to fall apart. Their only chance for this game is to depend on their offensive players, such as Eduardo Vargas, who has a strong qualifying record versus Peru.

Peru vs Chile Head-to-Head

The head-to-head encounters between Peru and Chile in recent years have been competitive, with both teams having their moments. Here’s a look at their most recent matchups:

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
22.06.24CAPeru vs Chile0-0
13.10.23WCChile vs Peru2-0
08.10.21WCPeru vs Chile2-0
13.11.20WCChile vs Peru2-0
04.07.19CAChile vs Peru3-0

Chile has dominated recent confrontations, having won three of the last five interactions. Peru’s home advantage and better record at home, however, might balance out this time around. The most recent 0-0 tie in June 2024 indicates that both sides may be equally matched, hence this game will most certainly be a close one.

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Peru Probable Lineup

For the upcoming World Cup qualifier, Peru will rely on a blend of experienced players and promising talent. Here’s the expected starting lineup based on the recent squad selections and tactics:


Gallese (GK), Araujo (DF), Zambrano (DF), Abram (DF), Advincula (DF), Sonne (MF), Castillo (MF), Pena (MF), Callens (FW), Lapadula (FW), Flores (FW)

Peru football team probable starting lineup for the World Cup Qualifier against Chile on 16/11/2024.

Chile Probable Lineup

Chile will look to turn around their poor form and secure crucial points in their World Cup qualifying campaign. The following lineup reflects the players likely to start for La Roja:


Cortes (GK), Loyola (DF), Kuscevic (DF), Maripan (DF), Hormazabal (DF), Valdes (MF), Vidal (MF), Echeverria (MF), Mora (FW), Vargas (FW), Tapia (FW)

Chile football team probable starting lineup for the World Cup Qualifier against Peru on 16/11/2024.

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

In this section, we will list the players who are expected to miss the upcoming Peru vs Chile World Cup Qualifier due to injury or suspension. These players are unlikely to feature in the starting lineup, and their absence could significantly impact the team’s performance.

Peru PlayerReasonChile PlayerReason
Renato TapiaInjuryAlexis SanchezInjury
Yoshimar YotunInjuryBen Brereton DiazNot selected
Marcos LopezLack of game timeErick PulgarInjury
Paolo GuerreroAge, Tactical choice

Key Factors to Watch

As we head into the Peru vs Chile betting tips, here are some key factors to consider:

  • Home Advantage: Peru has been strong at home, with an unbeaten record in their last three World Cup qualifiers;
  • Chile’s Poor Away Form: Chile has lost their last six away qualifiers, including four defeats without scoring a goal;
  • Lack of Goals: Both teams struggle to score, with Peru having scored only 3 goals in 10 qualifiers;
  • Key Players: Paolo Guerrero for Peru and Eduardo Vargas for Chile are crucial players for their respective teams;
  • Injuries: Peru is missing Renato Tapia and Yoshimar Yotun, while Chile has injury concerns with Alexis Sanchez;
  • Defensive Issues: Both teams have conceded several goals in recent matches, with Chile in particular struggling defensively;
  • Desperation for Points: Both teams are near the bottom of the qualification table and need a win to keep their World Cup hopes alive;
  • Team Dynamics: Chile has a new coach, but the team has shown no signs of improvement under his leadership;
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Free Tips on Peru vs Chile

When analyzing the Peru vs Chile match, there are several key elements that can influence the outcome, beyond just recent form and head-to-head statistics. By taking a deeper look into the teams’ strategies, player conditions, and external factors like weather and the influence of the home crowd, you can gain valuable insights into how this match might unfold. Here are a few free tips to consider before placing your bets on this exciting encounter:

  • Home Advantage: Peru’s strong home record has often been a decisive factor in their World Cup qualifiers. They have proven resilient in Lima, and their passionate fans provide a significant boost, especially in high-stakes games like this one. Chile’s poor away form could play into Peru’s hands, making them the favorites for this encounter.
  • Player Form: Key players such as Paolo Guerrero for Peru and Eduardo Vargas for Chile could make a big difference. Guerrero, despite his age, has always been a reliable figure for Peru, especially in crucial matches, while Vargas, when in form, is capable of scoring goals and providing offensive spark for Chile. The form of these players will likely be a decisive factor.
  • Injuries & Suspensions: Both teams are dealing with injuries to some important players. Peru will be missing Renato Tapia and Yoshimar Yotun, both regular starters, while Chile faces concerns over the fitness of Alexis Sanchez. The absence of these key players could have a big impact on the dynamics of the match, particularly in terms of offensive play.
  • Tactics & Style of Play: Peru typically plays a more defensive, counter-attacking style at home, relying on quick breaks and set pieces. Chile, despite their recent struggles, have a more attacking mindset, looking to dominate possession and press high up the pitch. This tactical contrast could make for an exciting and dynamic match, with both teams looking to exploit weaknesses in the other’s defense.
  • Weather Conditions: The weather in Lima on match day could influence the pace and style of play. If there’s heavy rain, it could make the pitch slippery, favoring quicker players and those with better ball control. Peru’s strong, compact defense could adapt to these conditions better, while Chile’s open attacking style might struggle if the ball movement becomes slower.

These insights, when combined with your understanding of team statistics and match history, will provide a more informed perspective as you prepare for the Peru vs Chile betting tips. Remember, analyzing these factors can often make the difference between a successful and unsuccessful bet.

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Peru vs Chile Prediction 2024

Peru vs Chile is likely to be a fiercely fought game. Although Peru has home advantage and a stronger recent record, their offensive problems could keep them from dominating the game. Chile possesses players who might turn the game around despite their bad form; their away record points to their maybe difficulty obtaining a win here. We forecast a Peru victory based on present form and the stakes involved, although Chile most certainly will score at least once.

Our Prediction: Peru 2-0 Chile

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match OutcomePeru to Win2.6
Total GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals1.37
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.54

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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