The upcoming football clash between Paris FC and SM Caen is set to take place on Monday, 31 March 2025, at 18:45 GMT+0. The match will unfold at Stade Charléty in Paris, a venue with a capacity of 20,000, as part of the 28th round of France Ligue 2, with referee Rosier E. overseeing the action.
Paris FC are chasing a historic promotion to Ligue 1, sitting third in the standings, just three points off the leaders, while SM Caen are battling to avoid relegation, anchored at the bottom of the table. This matchup in the French second tier pits two teams with contrasting ambitions against each other, making it a critical fixture for both sides.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Get ready for a deep dive into the Paris FC vs SM Caen prediction today, where we’ll break down the key factors influencing this Ligue 2 encounter. This section will set the stage for understanding the teams’ recent performances and their historical clashes. We’ll explore how Paris FC have been dominant at home lately, while SM Caen struggle to find form on the road. By examining their last few matches and head-to-head record, you’ll gain valuable insights for making informed betting decisions. Let’s unpack the numbers and trends that could shape this game.
Paris FC Results
Paris FC have been a force at home this season, boasting an impressive run of five consecutive victories at Stade Charléty. However, their recent away form took a hit with a 3-0 loss to Stade Lavallois, exposing some defensive frailties. Manager Stéphane Gilli will look to rally his squad as they aim to close the gap to the top two.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 15/03/25 | L2 | Laval vs Paris FC | 3-0 | L |
| 08/03/25 | L2 | Paris FC vs Lorient | 3-2 | W |
| 28/02/25 | L2 | Annecy vs Paris FC | 2-3 | W |
| 21/02/25 | L2 | Paris FC vs Troyes | 1-0 | W |
| 15/02/25 | L2 | Dunkerque vs Paris FC | 1-0 | L |
Paris FC’s home strength is undeniable, with three wins in their last four home games, scoring consistently. The 3-0 defeat to Laval stands out as an anomaly, as they’ve otherwise been solid defensively at home, conceding just twice in those wins. Their ability to bounce back after losses is evident with two straight victories following the Dunkerque defeat. Offensively, they average 2.4 goals per home game, a stat that bodes well against a shaky Caen side. This mix of resilience and firepower makes them favorites here.
SM Caen Results
SM Caen are in a dire situation, with their latest loss to Amiens SC highlighting ongoing struggles. Manager Michel Der Zakarian faces a tough task with a squad depleted by injuries and suspensions, and their away form has been particularly woeful. The team’s fight for survival hinges on turning around a dismal run of results.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 14/03/25 | L2 | Amiens vs Caen | 2-1 | L |
| 07/03/25 | L2 | Caen vs Laval | 0-1 | L |
| 28/02/25 | L2 | Clermont vs Caen | 0-1 | W |
| 22/02/25 | L2 | Caen vs Pau FC | 2-2 | D |
| 17/02/25 | L2 | Annecy vs Caen | 1-0 | L |
Caen’s form is alarming, with just one win in their last five games a narrow victory over Clermont. Their away record is bleak, losing three of four recent road matches and scoring a mere 0.6 goals per game on average. The 2-2 draw against Pau FC offered a glimmer of hope, but defensive lapses persist, conceding in five of their last six outings. That sole win feels like an outlier against a backdrop of consistent defeats. They’ll need a miracle to upset Paris FC on their turf.
Head-to-Head Between Paris FC and SM Caen
The rivalry between Paris FC and SM Caen has produced competitive encounters in recent years. Paris FC have gained the upper hand lately, winning the last two meetings, though they’ve struggled to beat Caen at home in the past. These clashes often hinge on fine margins, with goals aplenty in their history.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 17/08/24 | L2 | Caen vs Paris FC | 0-2 |
| 09/03/24 | L2 | Caen vs Paris FC | 0-1 |
| 05/08/23 | L2 | Paris FC vs Caen | 0-2 |
| 15/04/23 | L2 | Caen vs Paris FC | 3-1 |
| 27/08/22 | L2 | Paris FC vs Caen | 1-1 |
Paris FC’s recent dominance is clear, securing clean-sheet wins in their last two trips to Caen. However, at home, they’ve not beaten Caen since 2022, with a loss and a draw in the last two Stade Charléty meetings. This suggests Caen might pose a stubborn challenge despite their poor form.
Predicted Football Lineups for Paris FC vs SM Caen
Here’s a look at the probable starting XI for both teams in this Ligue 2 football clash. Injuries and suspensions have impacted both sides, but these lineups reflect the most likely selections based on current squad availability and tactical preferences.
Paris FC Probable Lineup: N’Kambadio (GK), De Smet (DF), Amel (DF), Mbou (DF), Kolodziejczak (DF), Marchetti (MF), Lopez (MF), Camara (MF), Lopez (MF), Diko (FW), Krasso (FW).
SM Caen Probable Lineup: Mandrea (GK), Goden (DF), Traore (DF), Si (DF), Muketu (DF), LeBreton (MF), M’Vila (MF), Grandsir (MF), Benrahou (MF), Kyeremeh (MF), Mendy (FW).
Unavailable Players
Injuries and suspensions will play a role in this match, with both teams missing key personnel. Below is a breakdown of players ruled out.
| Team | Player | Reason |
| Paris FC | Alakouch S. | Injury |
| Paris FC | Gueye L. | Knee Injury |
| SM Caen | Bolumbu D. | Injury |
| SM Caen | Gaudin J. | Yellow Cards |
| SM Caen | Lecoeuche Q. | Knee Injury |
| SM Caen | M’Vila Y. | Yellow Cards |
| SM Caen | Tome G. | Suspended |
| SM Caen | Ntim E. | Dead Leg |
| SM Caen | Thomas R. | Achilles Contusion |
Key Factors to Watch in Paris FC vs SM Caen
This match offers plenty of angles for bettors and fans to consider. With Paris FC pushing for promotion and SM Caen desperate to avoid the drop, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Here are the critical elements that could decide the outcome.
- Home Dominance: Paris FC have won five straight home matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game;
- Caen’s Away Woes: Caen average just 0.6 goals away and have lost 12 of their last 14 road games;
- Injuries: Paris FC miss Gueye, but Caen’s lengthy absentee list (Ntim, Thomas, etc.) weakens them further;
- Form Slump: Caen have lost four of their last five, lacking confidence and cohesion;
- Defensive Struggles: Both teams have conceded in five of their last six games, hinting at goals;
- Motivation: Paris FC are three points from the top, while Caen are seven from safety both have everything to play for;
- Historical Edge: Paris FC have won the last two H2H meetings, though not at home recently;
- Star Players: Krasso’s form for Paris FC could exploit Caen’s fragile backline.
Free Tips on Paris FC vs SM Caen
Looking for an edge in this Ligue 2 showdown? This section offers tailored betting advice for Paris FC vs SM Caen based on stats and trends. Here are five key tips to guide your wagers.
- Lean on Paris FC’s Home Record: Their five-game home winning streak suggests they thrive at Stade Charléty, where they’ve been relentless, scoring freely and shutting down opponents with authority;
- Expect Goals Despite Caen’s Struggles: Both teams have leaky defenses lately, and Paris FC’s attack could capitalize, potentially pushing the total over 2.5 goals even if Caen contribute little;
- Consider Krasso’s Impact: Paris FC’s forward is in fine form, and against a Caen defense missing key players, he’s a strong candidate to find the net, boosting individual goalscorer bets;
- Watch the First Half: Paris FC often start strong at home, so betting on them leading at halftime could pay off given Caen’s slow starts away;
- Card Potential with Referee Rosier: If Rosier’s known for strict officiating, the desperation of this match could lead to bookings, especially for a frustrated Caen side.
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Paris FC vs SM Caen Match Prediction 2025
Paris FC enter this clash as clear favorites, and the data backs that up. Their home form is stellar five wins on the bounce at Stade Charléty, averaging 2.4 goals per game while SM Caen are crumbling, with 12 losses in their last 14 away matches and a measly 0.6 goals per outing. The head-to-head record tilts in Paris FC’s favor too, with victories in the last two meetings, even if they’ve not cracked Caen at home recently. Add in Caen’s injury crisis Ntim, Thomas, and others out against Paris FC’s near-full squad, and the gap in quality widens. The Paris FC vs SM Caen odds reflect this, with Paris FC at 1.6, a fair price for their dominance. Caen’s lone hope is a gritty defensive stand, but their recent form (four losses in five) and lack of firepower suggest otherwise. A high-stakes game for both promotion for Paris, survival for Caen but the hosts’ momentum and resources should prevail. We’re predicting a comfortable Paris FC win, likely by two goals, as they exploit Caen’s frail backline and low morale.
Our Prediction: Paris FC 2-0 SM Caen
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Paris FC Win | 1.56 |
| Total Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.84 |
Ready to place your wager? The Paris FC vs SM Caen odds make this an enticing bet, especially with Paris FC’s home prowess. Head over to bc.game to get in on the action betting on Paris FC vs SM Caen can be done seamlessly at bc.game, where you’ll find competitive lines and a smooth experience. Don’t miss out on this Ligue 2 showdown!
