A major event in the South American World Championship Qualification for the 2026 World Cup, the forthcoming meeting between Paraguay and Chile seems to be one of Set for 20 March 2025 at 23:00 GMT+0, the game will take place at the Estadio Defensores del Chaco in Asunción, with a capacity of 44,164 and Brazilian referee Claus R will officiate it. A crucial test for both teams in their search for a World Cup berth, this Round 13 game in the football qualification cycle sees Paraguay riding a wave of rebirth under new management as Chile battles to establish consistency.
With three home wins against elite teams like Argentina and Brazil in late 2024, Paraguay’s recent form has rejuvenated their campaign by highlighting their developing strength on home ground. Chile, on the other hand, is under increasing pressure following a run of underwhelming performance; their away form is especially poor, casting questions on their capacity to challenge the hosts. The outcome of this football clash at one of Paraguay’s legendary locations will depend on tactical discipline and outstanding individual performance, therefore creating the conditions for a fascinating struggle.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
This section primes you for a deep dive into the Paraguay vs Chile prediction today, offering a clear lens on what to expect. We will review the most recent data of both teams, focus on trends that can influence the result, and review their head-to–head past to evaluate historical margins. These observations will help you to focus your betting view on Paraguay’s home strength and Chile’s road problems. Anticipate a summary of key events from recent games and how they might affect this game. Let’s break out the figures and stories behind this conflict of qualifications.
Paraguay Results
Since Gustavo Alfaro came to power, Paraguay’s fortunes have changed drastically and their home ground has become a fortification. Their second half of 2024 perfect run shows a team building momentum at the ideal moment. They are demonstrating their mettle in this qualifying campaign with major successes over continental giants.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 19.11.24 | WC | Bolivia vs Paraguay | 2-2 | D |
| 15.11.24 | WC | Paraguay vs Argentina | 2-1 | W |
| 16.10.24 | WC | Paraguay vs Venezuela | 2-1 | W |
| 11.10.24 | WC | Ecuador vs Paraguay | 0-0 | D |
| 11.09.24 | WC | Paraguay vs Brazil | 1-0 | W |
Paraguay’s home form stands out, with three wins from their last five, including upsets against Argentina and Brazil. Their ability to score late, like Enciso’s stoppage-time equalizer against Bolivia, shows resilience. Away draws against Ecuador and Bolivia suggest solidity, though not dominance. The aggregate 7-4 goal tally in these games hints at a balanced attack and defense. This consistency at home could be decisive against a faltering Chile.
Chile Results
Chile’s campaign has been a rollercoaster, with fleeting highs drowned out by consistent struggles, especially away from home. Manager Ricardo Gareca clings to hope, bolstered by a friendly thrashing of Panama, but their qualification form paints a bleaker picture. The experience in their squad offers a lifeline, yet results remain elusive.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 09.02.25 | FI | Chile vs Panama | 6-1 | W |
| 20.11.24 | WC | Chile vs Venezuela | 4-2 | W |
| 16.11.24 | WC | Peru vs Chile | 0-0 | D |
| 15.10.24 | WC | Colombia vs Chile | 4-0 | L |
| 11.10.24 | WC | Chile vs Brazil | 1-2 | L |
Chile’s 6-1 friendly win over Panama is an outlier, as their qualification results reveal fragility. A 4-2 home win over Venezuela shows attacking potential, but two losses and a draw in their last four competitive games signal trouble. Their away record five losses in six WCQ matches, conceding 14 goals exposes a glaring weakness. The experience of Sanchez and Vidal hasn’t translated into points on the road. This inconsistency could haunt them in Asunción.
Paraguay vs Chile Head-to-Head
Past encounters between Paraguay and Chile often lean toward tight, low-scoring affairs, with Chile historically holding a slight edge. However, Paraguay’s recent home form might tilt the scales in this qualification round. These matchups provide a window into how styles clash and who seizes the day.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 12.06.24 | FI | Chile vs Paraguay | 3-0 |
| 17.11.23 | WC | Chile vs Paraguay | 0-0 |
| 28.03.23 | FI | Chile vs Paraguay | 3-2 |
| 12.11.21 | WC | Paraguay vs Chile | 0-1 |
| 11.10.21 | WC | Chile vs Paraguay | 2-0 |
Chile’s dominance in recent friendlies contrasts with a stalemate in their last WCQ meeting. Paraguay’s failure to score in four of these five games suggests Chile’s defense has their number. Yet, the home factor in Asunción could disrupt this trend.
Predicted Lineups for Paraguay vs Chile Football Match
Knowing the possible starting elevens for this football match helps one to understand how every team can approach the game. These are the expected lineups determined by tactical tendencies and present squad availability.
Paraguay Predicted Lineup: Fernandez (GK), Velazquez (DF), Balbuena (DF), Alderete (DF), Alonso (DF), D Gomez (MF), Cubas (MF), Bobadilla (MF), Almiron (MF), Enciso (FW), Sanabria (FW)
Chile Predicted Lineup: Cortes (GK), Loyola (DF), Maripan (DF), Diaz (DF), Suazo (DF), Vidal (MF), Echeverria (MF), Sanchez (MF), Pizarro (MF), Cepeda (FW), Vargas (FW)
Unavailable Players
Injuries and absences can sway a match’s outcome, so here’s a rundown of key players missing for both sides.
| Team | Player | Reason |
| Paraguay | Gustavo Gómez | Injury (precaution) |
| Paraguay | Santiago Arzamendia | Omitted |
| Chile | Marcelino Nunez | Injury |
| Chile | Williams Alarcon | Injury |
| Chile | Erick Pulgar | Injury |
| Chile | Fabian Hormazabal | Injury |
| Chile | Marcelo Morales | Injury |
Key Factors to Watch in Paraguay vs Chile
Breaking down this qualification match requires focusing on the elements that could tip the scales. Both teams bring distinct strengths and vulnerabilities to Asunción. Here are the critical points to monitor:
- Paraguay’s Home Streak: Three straight WCQ home wins underline their fortress-like status at Estadio Defensores del Chaco;
- Chile’s Away Woes: A 14-1 aggregate loss in five of six away WCQ games signals a collapse on hostile turf;
- Sanabria’s Fitness: Paraguay’s top scorer (4 goals in WCQ) returning from a knee injury could ignite their attack;
- Chile’s Veteran Core: Sanchez, Vidal, and Vargas bring 529 caps of experience, potentially steadying a shaky squad;
- Alderete’s Dual Role: Paraguay’s goal-scoring defender has a knack for bookings (8 in 20 games), risking discipline issues;
- Cepeda’s Form: Chile’s 22-year-old striker has scored in his last two international games and a club double recently;
- Tactical Clash: Paraguay’s resilience meets Chile’s counter-attacking hope, possibly leading to a cagey affair;
- Motivation Gap: Paraguay chase a first World Cup since 2010; Chile fight to avoid a third straight miss.
Free Tips on Paraguay vs Chile
These tips distill deeper insights for betting on this Paraguay vs Chile matchup. They’re crafted to spotlight overlooked angles based on stats and context. Use them to refine your approach to this qualification showdown.
- Check Recent Schedules: Paraguay’s lighter recent fixture list contrasts with Chile’s congested calendar, potentially leaving the latter fatigued for this away test;
- Pitch and Weather Impact: Asunción’s March weather could bring heat and humidity, favoring Paraguay’s acclimatized squad over Chile’s travel-weary players on natural grass;
- Player Fatigue Factor: Chile’s reliance on aging stars like Vidal and Sanchez might show cracks after recent club demands, unlike Paraguay’s fresher legs;
- Historical Low Scoring: Four of the last five head-to-heads saw one team blanked, hinting at a tight, defensive battle in Asunción;
- Late-Game Drama: Paraguay’s knack for late goals (e.g., Enciso vs Bolivia) could punish Chile’s fading resolve on the road;
- Referee Tendencies: Claus R.’s oversight might lean toward cards, given Paraguay’s physicality and Chile’s desperation.
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Paraguay vs Chile Match Prediction 2025
Paraguay enter this clash as favorites, buoyed by a rock-solid home record and Chile’s persistent struggles away from home. Their 2-1 and 1-0 victories over Argentina and Brazil showcase a team peaking at the right moment, while Chile’s 14-1 aggregate away thrashing in WCQ paints a grim picture. Sanabria’s potential return bolsters Paraguay’s attack, and Alfaro’s tactical nous has turned Asunción into a graveyard for giants. Chile’s veteran-laden squad, despite flashes of quality (e.g., 4-2 vs Venezuela), lacks the cohesion to overturn their road curse 13 games without a win on opposition soil. Paraguay vs Chile odds likely reflect this disparity, with the hosts’ defensive spine (Balbuena, Alderete) poised to neutralize Chile’s aging stars. A low-scoring affair feels probable given Chile’s scoring drought away (1 goal in 6 WCQ road games) and Paraguay’s knack for grinding out results. The absence of Gómez is a blow, but Paraguay’s depth compensates, while Chile’s injury list (Nunez, Pulgar) weakens their midfield pivot. Weather could play a role humid conditions might sap Chile further. Expect Paraguay to edge it through patience and home energy, with a 1-0 scoreline fitting their recent pattern of tight wins.
Our Prediction: Paraguay 1-0 Chile
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Paraguay to Win | 1.91 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.47 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.59 |
Paraguay’s home dominance and Chile’s away frailty make this a compelling bet. Place your wager confidently on BC Game for a seamless experience. Betting on the match Paraguay vs Chile you can do it at bc.game, where competitive odds and live updates enhance your staking strategy. Don’t miss out on this qualification thriller!
