Paraguay vs Argentina (2:1): World Cup Qualifiers 14/11/2024

November 14, 2024
Status: Finished
2-1
World Cup Qualifiers
Paraguay
Argentina
match decor

November 14, 2024 sees Paraguay take on Argentina at the Estadio Defensores del Chaco in Asunción, an exciting World Cup Qualifier. With a capacity of 44,164, the atmosphere will be strong as the home crowd supports Paraguay in their demanding match against Argentina, under direction by Brazilian referee Anderson Daronco. While Argentina seeks to keep their top status and approach defending their championship in the 2026 World Cup, Paraguay wants to guarantee their place as we reach this late round of qualifying.

With Paraguay perfect in their past four games and Argentina leading the rankings despite recent ties, both sides have showed tenacity in the competition so far. Argentina’s excellent away form will be tested by Paraguay’s defensive posture, which has kept opponent to modest goal-scoring possibilities all through the qualifications.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

We evaluate both teams’ recent performance and past to drive our betting analysis in our Paraguay vs Argentina prediction today. Under new manager Gustavo Alfaro, Paraguay has shown consistent form and their defensive style is working. Meanwhile Argentina will want to keep their offensive ability strong, with Lionel Messi leading the way. This game is vital for qualifying rankings as both teams have had conflicting outcomes recently. Fans can anticipate a tactical struggle wherein Argentina’s offence meets diligent defence from Paraguay.

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Paraguay Results

Paraguay has been consistent in their qualifying campaign, showing strong defensive skills at home. Here’s a look at their last five matches:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
16.10.24WCParaguay vs Venezuela2-1W
10.10.24WCEcuador vs Paraguay0-0D
11.09.24WCParaguay vs Brazil1-0W
07.09.24WCUruguay vs Paraguay0-0D
03.07.24CACosta Rica vs Paraguay1-2L

Paraguay has proven tough to beat, especially at home, with a crucial win against Brazil and a recent victory over Venezuela. Their defense has been resolute, allowing just one goal in their last four qualifiers, showing they can secure points even against stronger teams. With a strong backline and effective tactical setup, Paraguay has climbed into an automatic qualification spot.

Argentina Results

Argentina remains at the top of the CONMEBOL standings, with Lionel Scaloni’s team continuing to perform at an elite level. Below are their recent results:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
16.10.24WCArgentina vs Bolivia6-0W
10.10.24WCVenezuela vs Argentina1-1D
10.09.24WCColombia vs Argentina2-1L
06.09.24WCArgentina vs Chile3-0W
15.07.24CAArgentina vs Colombia1-0W

Argentina’s recent matches highlight their attacking power, with a standout 6-0 victory over Bolivia. Despite this, they’ve shown some vulnerability on the road, with dropped points against Colombia and Venezuela. Their ability to score remains consistent, and they’ve managed 10 points from five away games, showing resilience and adaptability.

Paraguay vs Argentina Head-to-Head

Historically, encounters between Paraguay and Argentina have been closely contested with few goals. Here’s a summary of their last five meetings:

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
13.10.23WCArgentina vs Paraguay1-0
08.10.21WCParaguay vs Argentina0-0
22.06.21CAArgentina vs Paraguay1-0
13.11.20WCArgentina vs Paraguay1-1
20.06.19CAArgentina vs Paraguay1-1

These head-to-head matches indicate a defensive pattern, with Paraguay often able to hold Argentina to low-scoring games. Argentina managed narrow victories, but Paraguay has proven challenging, particularly at home where they’ve secured two recent draws.

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Paraguay Probable Lineup

In this crucial World Cup qualifier, Paraguay is expected to field a solid defensive lineup with a balanced mix of midfield and attacking players aiming to counter Argentina’s offensive power. Below is the probable lineup for Paraguay, focusing on defensive resilience and strategic playmaking.

R Fernandez (GK), Caceres (DF), G Gomez (DF), Alderete (DF), Balbuena (DF), Alonso (DF), Cubas (MF), D Gomez (MF), Almiron (FW), Sanabria (FW), Enciso (FW)

Projected lineup for Paraguay in the World Cup Qualifier match against Argentina

Argentina Probable Lineup

Argentina will likely feature a lineup that combines strong defensive players and a dynamic midfield, with Messi and Alvarez leading the attack. This lineup reflects Argentina’s attacking mindset, aiming to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities.

E Martinez (GK), Molina (DF), Otamendi (DF), Romero (DF), Tagliafico (DF), De Paul (MF), Enzo (MF), Lo Celso (MF), Mac Allister (MF), Messi (FW), Alvarez (FW)

Projected lineup for Argentina in the World Cup Qualifier match against Paraguay

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

In this section, we highlight players who are unavailable for the match due to injuries, suspensions, or other reasons. Their absence could have a significant impact on their team’s performance and strategy.

PlayerTeamReason
Gustavo GómezParaguayInjury
Ángel RomeroParaguaySuspension
Lautaro MartínezArgentinaInjury
Nicolás GonzálezArgentinaInjury
Paulo DybalaArgentinaInjury

This table provides crucial information on which key players will not be available for the upcoming match. Keep in mind that these absences may influence the tactical decisions of the coaches and affect the overall outcome of the game.

Key Factors to Watch

Both teams are entering the match with factors that could heavily impact the outcome. Here are key points to consider:

  • Paraguay’s defensive strength, with only four goals conceded in their last ten qualifiers;
  • Argentina’s current top scorer, Lionel Messi, who is in excellent form;
  • Recent draws for Argentina in away matches, reflecting possible vulnerabilities;
  • Paraguay’s eight-point gain in their last four games under manager Gustavo Alfaro;
  • Argentina’s boost from the return of goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez after suspension;
  • Limited playtime for some of Paraguay’s forwards, including Miguel Almiron and Julio Enciso;
  • Paraguay’s last home win against Brazil, signaling their potential against stronger teams;
  • Weather conditions and crowd support at Estadio Defensores del Chaco, favoring Paraguay’s defensive setup;
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Free Tips on Paraguay vs Argentina

Analyzing key match elements can provide valuable insights when predicting outcomes, especially in a high-stakes World Cup qualifier like Paraguay vs Argentina. In this section, we’ll focus on specific strategies and statistics that could influence the match results. These tips highlight critical aspects beyond standard stats, helping you make a more informed bet for this clash between two South American giants.

  • Head-to-Head Performance: Paraguay and Argentina have a history of low-scoring, closely contested matches. Considering that recent encounters have often ended in draws or with minimal goals, this pattern could indicate another tight defensive game.
  • Home vs. Away Advantage: Paraguay has been particularly strong at home, recently winning against Brazil and keeping clean sheets. Argentina has struggled slightly on the road this cycle, so Paraguay’s home advantage could play a pivotal role.
  • Weather and Pitch Conditions: The weather in Asunción can be challenging, especially with potential rain affecting the grass pitch. This could slow down Argentina’s fast-paced attack and potentially favor Paraguay’s defensive tactics.
  • Player Form: Lionel Messi remains in top form, as seen in Argentina’s last 6-0 victory over Bolivia, while Paraguay’s Antonio Sanabria has been efficient in qualifiers. Keeping an eye on these players’ current performance levels may give insights into scoring opportunities.
  • Upcoming Fixtures and Rotation Potential: Both teams have congested schedules. Argentina may rotate some key players to preserve energy, while Paraguay might maximize their lineup given their lower ranking position, seeking to secure every possible point.

These insights highlight areas of strategic importance, helping you prepare for different match scenarios in the Paraguay vs Argentina clash.

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Paraguay vs Argentina Match Prediction 2024

For this Paraguay vs Argentina prediction, the odds favor Argentina, but Paraguay’s recent defensive record and effective tactics make this a challenging match for the visitors. Argentina’s impressive scoring run, led by Messi, positions them as favorites; however, Paraguay’s solid form at home suggests a closely contested game. Given Paraguay’s recent results and Argentina’s away record, a low-scoring draw or narrow win for Argentina appears likely. This Paraguay vs Argentina odds outlook points to a cautious prediction, leaning slightly towards Argentina but with an expectation for a defensive battle.

Our Prediction: Paraguay 0-1 Argentina

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultArgentina Win1.71
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.56
Total GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals1.52

You can place your bet on the Paraguay vs Argentina match at bc.game, where you’ll find competitive odds and a variety of betting options for this World Cup Qualifier.

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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