Palmeiras vs Santos Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Paulista 14/01/2026

Paulista
Palmeiras vs Santos
Wed, 14 Jan 2026 – 22:30
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1.74
Home
3.4
Draw
4.3
Away

The Palmeiras vs Santos match is set for Wednesday, January 14, 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 GMT+0. The game takes place at Allianz Parque, São Paulo, with a capacity of 43,713. Referee Vitor Gobi J. (Brazil) will officiate this early-round clash in the Campeonato Paulista (Paulista A1), the prestigious state championship of São Paulo. Both teams enter the 2026 season following strong finishes in the previous Série A campaign, where Palmeiras maintained their status as a top contender and Santos secured their position with late-season momentum.

This fixture promises intensity from the opening whistle, as Paulista derbies often deliver high stakes even in the group phase. Palmeiras benefit from home advantage at Allianz Parque, while Santos arrive with confidence after a solid winning run. Palmeiras vs Santos prediction today draws attention due to recent head-to-head results and contrasting forms heading into the new year.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

As the Campeonato Paulista gets underway, this derby offers valuable early indicators for both squads. Recent performances, home/away dynamics, and historical context provide key angles for bettors. Palmeiras vs Santos prediction today focuses on current momentum, defensive records, and attacking efficiency. With Palmeiras strong at home and Santos showing scoring threat on the road, the matchup features multiple viable markets. Expect tactical discipline, as both coaches prioritize clean sheets in state competitions.

Palmeiras Results

Palmeiras head into the Paulista with solid momentum from the end of 2025, mixing dominant wins with occasional setbacks. The team shows resilience, particularly in home fixtures. Recent matches highlight their ability to control games and convert chances efficiently.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
11.01.26PAUPortuguesa vs Palmeiras0-1W
07.12.25SACeara vs Palmeiras1-3W
04.12.25SAAtletico-MG vs Palmeiras0-3W
29.11.25COPPalmeiras vs Flamengo RJ0-1L
26.11.25SAGremio vs Palmeiras3-2L

Palmeiras demonstrate strong away scoring form in late 2025, netting multiple goals in several road wins. Home strength at Allianz Parque remains a major asset. The two recent losses came against quality opposition but exposed occasional defensive lapses late in games. Overall, the squad carries positive momentum into the Paulista opener.

Santos Results

Santos enter the new year on a remarkable hot streak, winning four of their last five matches across competitions. The team displays clinical finishing and defensive solidity. This run builds confidence ahead of the challenging Paulista schedule.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
10.01.26PAUSantos vs Novorizontino2-1W
07.12.25SASantos vs Cruzeiro3-0W
04.12.25SAJuventude vs Santos0-3W
29.11.25SASantos vs Sport Recife3-0W
25.11.25SAInternacional vs Santos1-1D

Santos show exceptional form, keeping clean sheets in three consecutive victories. The attack operates efficiently, while the defense limits opportunities. The sole draw indicates resilience under pressure. This winning sequence positions Santos as a dangerous underdog in early 2026 fixtures.

Who will win Wednesday’s Paulista clash between Palmeiras and Santos?
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poll
Palmeiras
58%
Draw
30%
Santos
23%
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Head-to-Head: Palmeiras vs Santos (Last 5 Matches)

The rivalry remains competitive, with tight results in recent encounters. Palmeiras hold a slight edge historically at home, but Santos have claimed important victories.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
16.11.25SASantos vs Palmeiras1-0
07.11.25SAPalmeiras vs Santos2-0
23.01.25PAUSantos vs Palmeiras1-2
08.04.24PAUPalmeiras vs Santos2-0
01.04.24PAUSantos vs Palmeiras1-0

Recent clashes feature low-scoring affairs, with three of the last five under 2.5 goals. Palmeiras dominate home ties against Santos, winning the majority. Santos prove capable of upsets, especially on the road.

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Predicted Starting Lineups for Palmeiras vs Santos

These are the predicted starting lineups for the upcoming Campeonato Paulista clash between Palmeiras and Santos on January 14, 2026. As the match is an early-season derby at Allianz Parque, coaches often field strong but slightly rotated sides to balance freshness and performance.

Palmeiras possible starting lineup:

Weverton Pereira da Silva (GK), Agustin Giay (DF), Luis Gustavo Roncholeta Benedetti (DF), Bruno de Lara Fuchs (DF), Murilo Cerqueira Paim (DF), Maurício Magalhães Prado (MF), Andreas Pereira (MF), Marlon Rodrigues de Freitas (MF), Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (FW), Ramon Sosa (FW), Bruno Rafael Rodrigues do Nascimento (FW).

Palmeiras predicted starting lineup - Campeonato Paulista match vs Santos, January 2026

Santos possible starting lineup:

Gabriel Brazão (GK), Igor Vinicius (DF), Zé Ivaldo (DF), Adonis Frías (DF), Gonzalo Escobar (DF), Willian Arão (MF), João Schmidt (MF), Thaciano (MF), Benjamín Rollheiser (FW), Lautaro Diaz (FW), Gabriel Barbosa Almeida (FW).

Santos predicted starting lineup - Campeonato Paulista match vs Palmeiras, January 2026

Key Match Insights and Team News

Both teams approach this Paulista opener with mostly fit squads, though minor concerns exist. Palmeiras benefit from home crowd support, while Santos rely on counter-attacking threat. Key factors include early-season sharpness and injury management.

  • Palmeiras remain unbeaten in their last three outings across competitions.
  • Santos boast a four-game winning run, scoring 11 goals in that span.
  • No major suspensions reported for either side ahead of kick-off.
  • Palmeiras show strong home defensive record in Paulista fixtures.
  • Santos miss Neymar due to ongoing knee recovery post-surgery.
  • Key creators like Raphael Veiga (Palmeiras) in excellent late-2025 form.
  • Potential for rotation as squads build match fitness in January.
  • Historical derby intensity often leads to cautious first halves.
  • Palmeiras average higher possession at Allianz Parque.
  • Santos demonstrate efficiency in transition attacks recently.

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Free Tips on Palmeiras vs Santos

This section offers practical, data-driven free betting tips tailored specifically to the Palmeiras vs Santos derby in the Campeonato Paulista on January 14, 2026. Drawing from recent form, head-to-head patterns, home/away dynamics, and other contextual factors, these insights help identify potential value without repeating core team news elements. Focus on objective statistics to guide smarter decisions for this early-season clash at Allianz Parque.

  • Leverage Palmeiras’ strong home dominance in derbies — The hosts have won the majority of recent home meetings against Santos (e.g., 2-0 in November 2025), often keeping clean sheets, making home win or Palmeiras -1 Asian Handicap attractive options based on historical venue advantage.
  • Consider low-scoring trends in head-to-head encounters — Three of the last five clashes featured under 2.5 goals, reflecting tactical caution in this rivalry, so under 2.5 goals remains a solid angle despite both teams’ late-2025 scoring form.
  • Factor in Santos’ impressive but road-challenged momentum — While on a four-game winning streak overall, Santos’ away efficiency drops against top sides, supporting bets on no BTTS or Palmeiras to win to nil given the hosts’ defensive solidity at Allianz Parque.
  • Account for early-season fatigue and sharpness — With the match coming just days into the Paulista calendar after a short break, teams may start conservatively; this favors first-half under goals or a narrow full-time result as both sides prioritize not losing early momentum.
  • Monitor referee influence on card markets — Referee Vitor Gobi J. averages around 4.4 yellow cards per game in recent Brazilian fixtures, suggesting over 4.5 cards could offer value in a heated Paulista derby where intensity often rises.
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Palmeiras vs Santos Match Prediction

Palmeiras hold the advantage as hosts with superior overall quality and strong recent home performances against Santos. The team enters with balanced form, effective attacking options, and defensive organization under Abel Ferreira. Santos arrive confident after their winning streak, but the absence of Neymar significantly reduces their creative threat. Palmeiras vs Santos odds typically favor the home side due to venue factor and historical dominance at Allianz Parque. Recent head-to-head shows Palmeiras winning most home clashes convincingly. Expect a controlled game where Palmeiras dictate tempo and capitalize on set pieces or build-up play. Santos may threaten on counters but struggle to create sustained pressure without their star forward. The most likely outcome is a narrow Palmeiras victory, potentially with a clean sheet, as early-season matches often feature tight margins. Home advantage and squad depth tilt the balance toward the hosts in this Paulista derby.

Our Prediction: Palmeiras 2-0 Santos

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match WinnerPalmeiras1.74
Total GoalsUnder 2.51.73
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.77

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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