Palmeiras vs Mirassol (1:1): Brazil Serie A Betano 16/07/2025

Jul 16, 2025

Status: Finished

1-1

Brazil Serie A Betano

Palmeiras

Mirassol

The highly anticipated clash between Palmeiras and Mirassol is set to take place on July 16, 2025, at 22:00 GMT+0 at the Allianz Parque in São Paulo, a stadium with a capacity of 43,713. The match, part of the 14th round of the Brazil Serie A Betano, will be officiated by referee Sampaio S., with VAR expected to ensure precision in key decisions, potentially led by renowned referee Edina Alves Batista, who has officiated significant matches for both teams in the past.

This Palmeiras vs Mirassol match prediction marks their first-ever encounter in the Brazilian top flight, as Mirassol are in their debut Serie A season. The game promises a tactical battle, with Palmeiras aiming to leverage their home advantage and Mirassol looking to maintain their surprising form as newcomers.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

To craft accurate Palmeiras vs Mirassol betting tips, understanding recent performances and historical matchups is crucial. The Palmeiras vs Mirassol prediction today hinges on their contrasting form Palmeiras’ experience versus Mirassol’s momentum. Both teams have had a 45-day break due to the Club World Cup, impacting their rhythm. Historical data from the Campeonato Paulista provides context for their rivalry. This section sets the stage for a detailed look at their form and head-to-head encounters.

Palmeiras Results

Palmeiras, under Abel Ferreira, have shown resilience despite a recent setback at the Club World Cup. Their campaign in the global tournament highlighted both strengths and vulnerabilities, particularly in defense. With 22 points from 11 Serie A matches, they sit fifth and aim to climb into the G4.

Palmeiras’ recent form shows a mixed bag, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five matches. Their victory over Botafogo RJ demonstrates their ability to grind out results against strong opposition. However, the 2-1 loss to Chelsea exposed defensive frailties, particularly with injuries to key players like Giay and Murilo. The draws against Inter Miami and FC Porto suggest difficulty in converting chances against defensively solid teams. Palmeiras will rely on their home strength at Allianz Parque to regain momentum.

Mirassol Results

Mirassol, in their first Serie A season, have exceeded expectations, sitting 10th with a solid start. Their disciplined approach under coach Mozart Santos has earned them points against top teams. The 45-day break allowed them to integrate new signings, boosting their squad depth.

Mirassol’s recent performances highlight their attacking efficiency and defensive resilience. Their 1-0 win over Sport Recife and 2-0 victory against São Paulo show their ability to capitalize on opportunities. The draw against Internacional reflects their competitiveness on the road. However, their loss to Bragantino indicates vulnerability against teams with strong home records. Mirassol’s three wins in five matches suggest they could pose a threat to Palmeiras.

Who will win Wednesday’s Brazil Serie A Betano clash between Palmeiras and Mirassol?

Palmeiras > Draw > Mirassol >

Palmeiras

54%

Draw

30%

Mirassol

16%

Head-to-Head: Palmeiras vs Mirassol Encounters

Palmeiras and Mirassol have a history of competitive clashes, primarily in the Campeonato Paulista. Their most recent meetings show Palmeiras dominating, though Mirassol have pulled off upsets in the past. This section examines their last five encounters to inform the Palmeiras vs Mirassol prediction 2025.

Palmeiras have won four of the last five meetings, with Mirassol’s sole victory coming in 2021. Their dominance at home is evident, with three wins in four home games against Mirassol. The 3-2 win in 2025 at Mirassol’s ground shows their ability to secure results away, but Mirassol’s upset in 2021 proves they can challenge Palmeiras when tactically disciplined.

Palmeiras Predicted Lineup

Despite injuries, Palmeiras are expected to field a strong side under Abel Ferreira’s 4-4-2 formation, emphasizing control in midfield and pace on the flanks.

Weverton (GK), Garcia (DF), Fuchs (DF), Gomez (DF), Vanderlan (DF), Martinez (MF), Rios (MF), Allan (MF), Veiga (MF), Torres (FW), Vitor Roque (FW).

Mirassol Predicted Lineup

Mirassol, coached by Mozart Santos, are likely to deploy a 4-4-2 setup, focusing on defensive solidity and quick counter-attacks.

Walter (GK), Ramon (DF), Victor (DF), Jemmes (DF), Reinaldo (DF), Danielzinho (MF), Aldo (MF), Felipe (MF), Negueba (MF), Carioca (FW), Gabriel (FW).

Key Factors to Watch

To make informed Palmeiras vs Mirassol betting tips, several critical elements must be considered. Both teams’ current form, injuries, and tactical setups will shape the outcome. Below are the key factors influencing this Palmeiras vs Mirassol match prediction.

• Injuries at Palmeiras: Defenders Giay and Murilo are sidelined, while attacker Bruno Rodrigues is also out, potentially weakening Palmeiras’ defensive structure and attacking options;
• Mirassol’s New Signings: The additions of Carlos Eduardo, Alesson, and Felipe Jonatan bolster Mirassol’s attack and defense, increasing their depth;
• Palmeiras’ Home Form: Palmeiras have won three of their last four home games against Mirassol, leveraging the Allianz Parque atmosphere;
• Mirassol’s Away Struggles: Mirassol have only one win in six away games, which could hinder their chances against a strong home side;
• Raphael Veiga’s Influence: Palmeiras’ midfielder leads in goals and assists in 2025, making him a key player to watch;
• Mirassol’s Attacking Threat: Dellatorre and Negueba have been pivotal, with the former as the top scorer and the latter providing pace on the flanks;
• Recent Form Streaks: Palmeiras’ loss to Chelsea contrasts with Mirassol’s two consecutive Serie A wins, indicating differing momentum;
• Tactical Discipline: Mirassol’s cautious approach under Mozart Santos could frustrate Palmeiras’ attacking rhythm, leading to a low-scoring game.

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Free Tips on Palmeiras vs Mirassol

To enhance your betting strategy for the Palmeiras vs Mirassol match, consider these tailored tips derived from statistical insights and historical data. These tips focus on unique aspects of the game to provide an edge, complementing the key factors already discussed. Below are five critical considerations for this encounter.

• Referee Tendencies: Sampaio S. averages 5.2 yellow cards per game in Serie A, suggesting a high likelihood of bookings, especially in a competitive match like this.
• Pitch Conditions at Allianz Parque: The natural grass at Allianz Parque is well-maintained, favoring Palmeiras’ possession-based style over Mirassol’s counter-attacking approach.
• Impact of Recent Schedule: Both teams return after a 45-day break, potentially leading to rustiness, but Palmeiras’ deeper squad may adapt quicker.
• Fan Influence: The passionate Allianz Parque crowd, often exceeding 40,000, could pressure Mirassol, who struggle in hostile away environments.
• Player Form in Key Roles: Palmeiras’ goalkeeper Weverton has a 75% save rate in 2025, likely neutralizing Mirassol’s limited scoring chances.

Palmeiras vs Mirassol Match Prediction

The Palmeiras vs Mirassol prediction 2025 favors the home side due to their historical dominance and strong home record. Palmeiras, despite their recent 2-1 loss to Chelsea in the Club World Cup, have shown resilience with wins over Botafogo RJ and Al Ahly. Their squad, led by Raphael Veiga and Vitor Roque, is expected to exploit Mirassol’s weaker away form, where they’ve managed only one win in six attempts. The Palmeiras vs Mirassol odds reflect this, with bookmakers like Betano offering 1.44 for a Palmeiras win, while Mirassol’s victory stands at 8.5. Mirassol’s disciplined setup and recent signings, including Carlos Eduardo and Felipe Jonatan, make them dangerous on the counter, but their struggles away from home tilt the balance. The Allianz Parque’s atmosphere and Palmeiras’ need to bounce back from their Club World Cup exit add pressure for a strong performance. A low-scoring game is likely, given Mirassol’s defensive organization and Palmeiras’ injury-hit defense. We predict a 2-1 victory for Palmeiras, with Veiga likely to influence the scoreline.

Our Prediction: Palmeiras 2-1 Mirassol

Place your bet on the match – Palmeiras vs Mirassol on bc.game to take advantage of competitive odds and elevate your betting experience. With Palmeiras’ home strength and Mirassol’s resilience, this match promises excitement and opportunities for savvy bettors.