Nigeria vs Tunisia (3:2): Africa Cup of Nations 27/12/2025

December 27, 2025
Status: Finished
3-2
Africa Cup of Nations
Nigeria
Tunisia
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This Group C clash in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (AFCON) promises intensity as both teams chase a knockout stage spot after winning their openers. The match takes place on 27 December 2025 at the Complexe sportif de Fès in Fez, Morocco, with a capacity of 45,000. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 GMT+0. No specific referee has been confirmed in advance reports, but the game falls under CAF officiating standards. Nigeria and Tunisia, both on three points, aim to secure advancement from a competitive group.

The encounter carries high stakes, with the winner likely guaranteeing progression to the round of 16. Nigeria enter as slight favorites thanks to their star power, while Tunisia boast momentum from their dominant opener. Expect a tactical battle between two experienced sides.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

This preview sets the stage for a detailed look at recent form and head-to-head dynamics. Nigeria vs Tunisia prediction today focuses on key trends from their campaigns. Both teams showed attacking intent in their first matches. Nigeria’s defensive vulnerabilities and Tunisia’s clinical finishing could shape the outcome. Recent results highlight Nigeria’s group-stage dominance. Tunisia aim to build on ending their AFCON opener hoodoo. These insights guide informed betting decisions.

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Nigeria Results

The Super Eagles started AFCON 2025 strongly but face a tougher test here. Eric Chelle’s side seeks to build on their opener win. They show consistency in competitive games despite mixed qualifiers.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
23.12.25AFCONNigeria vs Tanzania2-1W
16.12.25FriendlyEgypt vs Nigeria2-1L
16.11.25WC Qual.Nigeria vs D.R. Congo1-2L
13.11.25WC Qual.Nigeria vs Gabon4-1W
14.10.25WC Qual.Nigeria vs Benin4-0W

Nigeria have won three of their last five, scoring heavily in wins but conceding in losses. Their AFCON opener victory over Tanzania highlighted finishing from defenders. Recent defensive lapses in qualifiers contrast with group-stage strength. They remain unbeaten in six of seven prior competitive outings. This form positions them well against Tunisia.

Tunisia Results

The Carthage Eagles delivered a statement in their opener. Sami Trabelsi’s men aim for consistency. They show improved scoring in recent internationals.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
23.12.25AFCONTunisia vs Uganda3-1W
18.12.25FriendlyTunisia vs Botswana2-1W
07.12.25Arab CupQatar vs Tunisia0-3W
04.12.25Arab CupPalestine vs Tunisia2-2D
01.12.25Arab CupTunisia vs Syria0-1L

Tunisia have won four of their last five, scoring in every match except one. Their 3-1 win over Uganda displayed attacking flair. Recent form includes high-scoring games. They ended a long AFCON opener drought. This momentum challenges Nigeria’s favorites status.

Who will win Saturday’s Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Tunisia?
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Nigeria
39%
Draw
33%
Tunisia
28%
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Nigeria vs Tunisia Head-to-Head

This fixture has been competitive, with draws common. Tunisia won their most recent meeting in 2022. Historical edge favors Nigeria overall, but recent trends show balance.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
23.01.22AFCONNigeria vs Tunisia0-1
13.10.20FriendlyNigeria vs Tunisia1-1
17.07.19AFCONTunisia vs Nigeria0-1
22.01.16ANCTunisia vs Nigeria1-1
06.09.09WC Qual.Nigeria vs Tunisia2-2

Tunisia claimed the last victory, ending a long winless run against Nigeria. Four of five games ended level or low-scoring. Recent encounters often feature under 2.5 goals. Tunisia seek back-to-back wins here. Nigeria aim to reverse the trend.

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Predicted Starting Lineups for Nigeria vs Tunisia

These are the most likely starting lineups for the Nigeria vs Tunisia match in the Africa Cup of Nations Group C on 27 December 2025. Predictions are based on recent team selections, form from the opening matches, and tactical preferences of coaches Eric Chelle and Sami Trabelsi.

Nigeria possible starting lineup:

Nwabali (GK), Sanusi (DF), Bassey (DF), Ajayi (DF), Osayi-Samuel (DF), Ndidi (MF), Iwobi (MF), Chukwueze (MF), Lookman (MF), Osimhen (FW), Adams (FW).

Nigeria predicted starting lineup AFCON 2025 vs Tunisia

Tunisia possible starting lineup:

Dahmen (GK), Valery (DF), Bronn (DF), Talbi (DF), Abdi (DF), Sassi (MF), Skhiri (MF), Mejbri (MF), Achouri (MF), Mastouri (FW), Saad (FW).

Tunisia predicted starting lineup AFCON 2025 vs Nigeria

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

Both teams have entered the tournament with relatively clean bills of health following their openers. Nigeria has several long-term absentees from the squad, while Tunisia appears at full strength with no fresh concerns reported.

TeamPlayerInjury/Status
NigeriaOla AinaHamstring
NigeriaFelix AguAnkle
NigeriaVictor BonifaceKnee
NigeriaBenjamin FredrickKnee
TunisiaNone reportedNo major injuries

Key Match Factors

Both teams enter without major new injuries from openers. Nigeria miss Ola Aina (hamstring), Felix Agu (ankle), Victor Boniface (knee), and Benjamin Fredrick (knee). Tunisia appear at full strength. Key points include:

  • Nigeria’s strong AFCON group record (six wins in last seven);
  • Tunisia’s clinical finishing, with Elias Achouri’s brace in opener;
  • No fresh injury concerns for either side post-first matches;
  • Nigeria’s late scoring pattern in AFCON (no goals before 30th minute in last nine finals games);
  • Tunisia’s trend of over 2.5 goals in eight of last 11 outings;
  • Ademola Lookman’s form (goals in winning appearances for Nigeria);
  • Motivation high for both to secure knockout berth;
  • Tunisia’s recent H2H edge (2022 win over Nigeria);
  • Nigeria’s attacking stars (Osimhen, Lookman) vs Tunisia’s defense;
  • Potential for BTTS given recent trends.

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Free Tips on Nigeria vs Tunisia

This section offers practical betting advice tailored to the Nigeria vs Tunisia clash in AFCON 2025 Group C. Drawing from statistical trends in recent matches, head-to-head encounters, and key team dynamics, these tips highlight value opportunities. They focus on patterns like goal trends and historical outcomes to help inform decisions without overlapping core match factors.

  • Prioritize recent team form: Nigeria have won six of their last seven AFCON group-stage games, while Tunisia’s four wins in their last five overall matches show growing confidence; backing a side on a positive run often yields better results in high-stakes internationals.
  • Examine head-to-head trends: Four of the last five meetings ended in draws or low-scoring affairs, with Tunisia claiming the most recent victory; this suggests caution on outright winners and potential value in draw options.
  • Consider player-specific performance: Elias Achouri’s brace in Tunisia’s opener highlights his current scoring threat, while Ademola Lookman’s impact for Nigeria in winning games makes him a reliable pick for contributions.
  • Account for goal patterns: Both teams have seen BTTS in several recent outings, with Nigeria’s last seven games featuring it six times and Tunisia’s high-scoring trend in eight of 11; this supports bets on mutual scoring.
  • Evaluate venue and conditions: The neutral Fez stadium in December typically offers mild weather, but any rain could slow the pitch and favor defensive play seen in past H2H; monitor updates for pitch impact on open play.
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Nigeria vs Tunisia Match Prediction

Nigeria hold the edge due to superior individual quality and historical AFCON group dominance. Their 2-1 win over Tanzania showed resilience despite defensive issues. Tunisia impressed with 3-1 over Uganda, but face a step up. Victor Osimhen and Ademola Lookman can exploit spaces. Nigeria’s firepower should prevail in a tight contest. Expect goals, as six of Nigeria’s last seven games saw BTTS. Nigeria vs Tunisia odds favor the Super Eagles slightly. Tunisia’s structure keeps it close, but Nigeria’s depth tips the balance. A narrow Nigeria win seems most likely, potentially 2-1 or 2-0.

Our Prediction: Nigeria 2-1 Tunisia

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match WinnerNigeria to win2.38
Total GoalsOver 2.5 goals2.5
Both Teams to ScoreYes2.08

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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