Newcastle vs Brentford Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – EFL Cup 18/12/2024

EFL Cup
Newcastle vs Brentford
Wed, 18 December 2024 – 21:45
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1.55
Home
4.5
Draw
5.2
Away

Newcastle United will square Brentford at St James’ Park on December 18, 2024 in much awaited quarter-final showdown of the EFL Cup. Both sides fight for a spot in the elite competition’s semi-finals, so this game is vital for both. P. Fuertes from Spain will referee this game; it will take place in St James’ Park, Newcastle’s home venue with 52,305 capacity. While Brentford, who have been suffering on the road, will attempt to challenge the odds, Newcastle, after a much-needed 4-0 triumph over Leicester City, will want to keep momentum.

Days separate this game from Brentford’s 4-2 triumph against Newcastle in the Premier League earlier this month. Newcastle will gain from home advantage, but their past versus Brentford will make this game more difficult. Today’s Newcastle United vs Brentford forecast shows that while Newcastle is favoured, Brentford’s tenacity might make this a close struggle. Having won seven straight EFL Cup games at home, the Magpies are anticipated to depend on their excellent home success in the tournament; yet, Brentford’s away form especially in the cup may surprise.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

Both sides arrive to this game with different strategies. With their outstanding 4-0 victory against Leicester City, Newcastle showed indications of resurgence; nevertheless, they have not been consistent in the Premier League. Brentford keeps suffering on the road, and their latest Premier League defeat to Chelsea exposes their weaknesses away from home. Prediction Newcastle vs Brentford makes it very evident that Newcastle’s home advantage will be a major determinant. The game could be more competitive than anticipated, however, since both clubs have certain shortcomings.

Although Newcastle’s better record in the competition should be the main emphasis of the Newcastle vs Brentford betting advice, caution has to be used as Brentford’s propensity to surprise the cup calls for attention. Regarding Newcastle vs Brentford odds, the hosts are favorites, but considering the volatility of cup events, a careful approach is advised when betting. There appears little chance of a clean sheet from either side, hence over 2.5 goals are a reasonable bet.

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Newcastle United Results

Newcastle United have had a mixed bag of results in their recent matches, but their performance in the EFL Cup has been strong. Here’s a look at their last 5 games:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
14.12.2024PLNewcastle vs Leicester4-0W
07.12.2024PLBrentford vs Newcastle4-2L
04.12.2024PLNewcastle vs Liverpool3-3D
30.11.2024PLNewcastle vs Crystal Palace1-1D
25.11.2024PLNewcastle vs West Ham0-2L

Newcastle’s recent performance points to a team that is difficult to forecast. Although they won dominantly against Leicester City, their losses to Brentford and West Ham mirror the difficulties they encounter. Still, their record in the EFL Cup is strong, indicating they could be difficult to defeat at home in this tournament.

Brentford Results

Brentford’s road record has come under scrutiny, and their most recent away defeat to Chelsea reflects their road performance issues. Still, their home form is very excellent. Let us review Brentford’s previous five games:

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
15.12.2024PLChelsea vs Brentford2-1L
07.12.2024PLBrentford vs Newcastle4-2W
04.12.2024PLAston Villa vs Brentford3-1L
30.11.2024PLBrentford vs Leicester4-1W
23.11.2024PLEverton vs Brentford0-0D

With only one victory in eight league games away from home this season, Brentford’s current away record exposes their weaknesses. Although their triumph against Newcastle earlier this month is encouraging, their general on-road performance still causes major concerns.

Who will win Wednesday’s EFL Cup clash between Newcastle and Brentford?
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Newcastle
80%
Draw
15%
Brentford
5%
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Newcastle vs Brentford Head-to-Head

Although Newcastle has always had the upper hand according to their head-to-head record, Brentford’s recent triumph gives this match an intriguing twist. These are their five last meetings:

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
07.12.2024PLBrentford vs Newcastle4-2
19.05.2024PLBrentford vs Newcastle2-4
16.09.2023PLNewcastle vs Brentford1-0
08.04.2023PLBrentford vs Newcastle1-2
08.10.2022PLNewcastle vs Brentford5-1

Newcastle’s recent defeat to Brentford contrasts sharply with their prior home domination, which includes a 5-1 victory from last season. This inconsistent record implies that Newcastle might be susceptible to an in-form Brentford team even if they usually plays well at home.

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Newcastle United Probable Lineup

Newcastle United wants to beat Brentford, hence their starting XI is probably strong. The team’s tactical strategy probably calls for a strong defense and fast attack transitions.

Dubravka (GK), Trippier (DF), Schar (DF), Burn (DF), Hall (DF), Tonali (MF), Bruno Guimaraes (MF), Joelinton (MF), Barnes (FW), Isak (FW), Gordon (FW).

Newcastle United probable starting lineup for their match against Brentford at EFL Cup 2024.

Brentford Probable Lineup

Brentford’s lineup will center on upsetting Newcastle’s rhythm with a small defense and effective counter-attacks. They will depend on the attacking speed and the midfielders’ inventiveness.

Flekken (GK), Roerslev (DF), Collins (DF), Mee (DF), Van den Berg (DF), Yarmolyuk (MF), Janelt (MF), Mbeumo (MF), Carvalho (FW), Lewis-Potter (FW), Schade (FW).

Brentford probable starting lineup for their match against Newcastle at EFL Cup 2024.

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

Both sides in this game are suffering with injuries and bans, which will keep important players out of the game. The following list shows those not accessible to Newcastle United or Brentford:

TeamPlayerReason
Newcastle UnitedNick PopeKnee Injury
Newcastle UnitedEmil KrafthInjury Recovery
Newcastle UnitedSven BotmanInjury Recovery
Newcastle UnitedJamaal LascellesLong-term Injury
Newcastle UnitedCallum WilsonMuscle Injury
BrentfordJosh DasilvaLong-term Injury
BrentfordRico HenryKnee Injury
BrentfordAaron HickeyAnkle Injury
BrentfordMathias JensenFitness Issue

Newcastle could depend on their backup defensive choices and Martin Dubravka in goal with these major absences, while Brentford’s defensive woes might expose them against Newcastle’s offensive triple of Isak, Barnes, and Gordon.

Key Factors to Watch

When preparing for Newcastle vs Brentford prediction 2024, it’s crucial to take several key factors into account:

  • Newcastle’s strong home form in the EFL Cup;
  • Brentford’s poor away record in the league this season;
  • Absence of key players such as Callum Wilson for Newcastle;
  • Inconsistent form of Brentford, especially on the road;
  • Newcastle’s recent win over Leicester, providing a confidence boost;
  • Brentford’s win in the last league meeting, which they’ll try to replicate;
  • Tactical adjustments by Thomas Frank for away games;
  • Newcastle’s defensive issues, despite their recent clean sheet;
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Free Tips on Newcastle vs Brentford

When betting on a football match, one must first research the statistics and other elements related to both sides. Examining factors like current form, injuries, home versus away performance, and historical team matching is very vital for the next Newcastle and Brentford game. Thinking through these important factors can help you improve your betting plan and produce more accurate forecasts.

  • Current Team Form: The form of both teams leading up to this match is essential. Newcastle has recently bounced back from a poor run, securing a dominant 4-0 win against Leicester. In contrast, Brentford has struggled on the road, with only one win in their last eight away matches. Newcastle’s resurgence after a difficult period could give them a psychological edge going into this game.
  • Injuries & Suspensions: Injuries can have a huge impact on the outcome of a match. For Newcastle, goalkeeper Nick Pope’s injury could be a major blow, though Martin Dubravka filled in well in the last game. Brentford is missing several key players, including Josh Dasilva and Rico Henry, who have been important contributors this season. These absences may leave Brentford vulnerable, especially when playing away.
  • Home vs Away Performance: Home advantage is a strong factor in this matchup. Newcastle has been excellent in the EFL Cup, winning seven consecutive home games, six of which were against Premier League sides. On the other hand, Brentford has struggled significantly on the road, with just one win in their last eight away games in the league. This trend suggests that Newcastle has the upper hand in this fixture, particularly given their strong home record in cup competitions.
  • Historical Head-to-Head: Recent encounters between the two sides have been mixed, with Brentford defeating Newcastle 4-2 earlier in the season at home. However, historically, Brentford has not won away at Newcastle since 1934. This longstanding poor record at St James’ Park could weigh heavily on the visitors, particularly when facing a Newcastle side with a solid recent record at home in this competition.
  • Tactics & Style of Play: Understanding the teams’ tactics can also provide an edge. Newcastle tends to play more direct and aggressive, especially at home, while Brentford, under Thomas Frank, is known for a more compact, counter-attacking style. This could lead to an exciting, high-paced game where Newcastle’s offensive strength could outshine Brentford’s counter-attacks, especially if they get an early lead.
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Newcastle vs Brentford Prediction 2024

In my Newcastle vs Brentford match prediction, Newcastle should use their home advantage to guarantee a modest victory. Although Brentford has demonstrated they can be a tough opponent, especially in cup events, their challenges on the road this season coupled with Newcastle’s better lineup make the hosts favorites for this match. Newcastle should edge a high-scoring game given their home advantage and previous performance in the tournament, even if both teams have scoring capability.

Our Prediction: Newcastle 2-1 Brentford

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultNewcastle to Win1.55
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals1.54
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.6

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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