Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – A-League 23/01/2026

A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix
Fri, 23 Jan 2026 – 08:35
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1.62
Home
4.6
Draw
4.2
Away

The Newcastle Jets host Wellington Phoenix at McDonald Jones Stadium in Newcastle on Friday, January 23, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 08:35 GMT. This Round 14 fixture in the Isuzu UTE A-League Men regular season pits two competitive sides against each other in what promises to be an open contest. Referee Declan Woods will officiate, known for an average of 3.00 cards per game and a measured approach to bookings.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

As we dive into the details, this preview equips you with essential context ahead of the clash. Recent performances, head-to-head trends, and squad availability will shape expectations. Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction today focuses on current momentum and key tactical battles. Both teams enter with contrasting runs, making this matchup intriguing for value opportunities. Home advantage at McDonald Jones Stadium could tilt the balance, but Wellington’s road resilience adds layers. Expect goals given historical patterns in their encounters.

Newcastle Jets Results

Newcastle Jets have shown strong revival with a series of positive results heading into this home fixture. Their recent form highlights defensive solidity combined with clinical finishing. Momentum from away wins has boosted confidence despite earlier setbacks.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
17.01.26ALWS Wanderers vs Newcastle Jets1-2W
11.01.26ALMelbourne City vs Newcastle Jets0-1W
01.01.26ALAuckland FC vs Newcastle Jets1-3W
26.12.25ALNewcastle Jets vs Macarthur FC4-5L
20.12.25ALNewcastle Jets vs Sydney FC2-0W

The Jets boast four wins in their last five outings, including three consecutive away victories that demonstrate growing consistency. They have recovered well from the heavy home defeat to Macarthur, keeping clean sheets in key games. Scoring has been reliable across competitions. Defensive improvements stand out, conceding just four goals in those wins. Overall, the side looks primed for a strong home performance.

Wellington Phoenix Results

Wellington Phoenix arrive with solid away form and a balanced approach under pressure. Their recent matches reflect resilience despite occasional defensive lapses. The team has maintained competitiveness in a demanding schedule.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
18.01.26ALSydney FC vs Wellington Phoenix0-2W
11.01.26ALWellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United2-2D
03.01.26ALBrisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix0-3W
29.12.25ALMelbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix5-1L
21.12.25ALWellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners3-1W

Phoenix secured two clean-sheet wins recently while showing fight in draws and losses. Their attacking output remains potent with multiple goals in several fixtures. The heavy defeat to Victory was an outlier amid stronger showings. Away victories underline road capability. Consistency in results positions them well despite challenges.

Who will win Friday’s A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix?
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Newcastle Jets
57%
Draw
21%
Wellington Phoenix
22%
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Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)

Head-to-head encounters between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix have delivered competitive and often high-scoring affairs. Recent clashes favor narrow margins with both sides claiming victories. Trends point to goals and tight contests.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
14.12.25ALWellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets1-3
06.04.25ALNewcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix1-2
28.12.24ALWellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets2-1
19.04.24ALNewcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix1-1
27.01.24ALNewcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix1-2

Wellington Phoenix hold a slight edge with three wins in the last five meetings. Newcastle Jets managed one victory and one draw at home. Four of five games featured over 2.5 goals. Matches tend to be decisive rather than cagey. Historical patterns suggest an entertaining battle.

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Predicted Starting Lineups for Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix

Predicted lineups offer a realistic view of how both teams might line up for this A-League clash on January 23, 2026, based on recent selections, tactical preferences, and available squad information. These are forecasted starting XIs using the provided player lists, assuming standard formations and no last-minute changes. Actual lineups will be confirmed closer to kick-off.

Newcastle Jets: Predicted lineup

Delianov (GK), Wilmering (DF), Natta (DF), Shaughnessy (DF), Bertolissio (DF), Taylor (MF), Burgess (MF), Bayliss (MF), Adams (MF), Dobson (MF), Rose (FW).

Newcastle Jets predicted starting lineup – A-League match vs Wellington Phoenix 23/01/2026

Wellington Phoenix: Predicted lineup

McCarron (GK), Payne (DF), James (DF), Hughes (DF), Sheridan (DF), Najjarine (MF), Rufer (MF), Nagasawa (MF), Eze (MF), Piper (FW), Armiento (FW).

Wellington Phoenix predicted starting lineup – A-League match vs Newcastle Jets 23/01/2026

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

Team news plays a crucial role ahead of this fixture, with several absences already confirmed or expected. The table below summarizes key injured or doubtful players from both squads based on recent reports, focusing on those impacting potential selections.

TeamPlayerInjury/Status
Newcastle JetsAlex BadolatoACL rupture (season-ending)
Newcastle JetsChristian BraccoACL rupture (season-ending)
Wellington PhoenixNathan WalkerBone bruise (out until late January)
Wellington PhoenixLuke SupykUnknown injury
Wellington PhoenixDan EdwardsUnknown injury

Key Match Factors and Team News

Several elements will influence the outcome of this A-League clash. Squad depth, current streaks, and availability play major roles. Attention to these details reveals potential edges.

  • Newcastle Jets ride a three-game winning streak, boosting morale significantly;
  • Wellington Phoenix show strong away form with recent clean sheets on the road;
  • Key injuries hit Newcastle hard: midfielders Alex Badolato and Christian Bracco sidelined long-term with ACL ruptures from earlier matches;
  • Wellington Phoenix manage ongoing issues, including Nathan Walker (bone bruise, out until late January) and others like Luke Supyk (unknown injury);
  • No major scandals reported, but both teams focus on recovery amid a congested schedule;
  • Newcastle benefit from home crowd support at McDonald Jones Stadium;
  • Wellington’s pragmatic style counters Jets’ attacking intent effectively in past games;
  • Motivation remains high as both chase improved league positions in Round 14;
  • Tactical battle centers on midfield control and quick transitions.

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Free Tips on Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix

This section delivers practical, data-driven free betting advice tailored to the Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix clash on January 23, 2026. Drawing from recent team form, head-to-head patterns, and match-specific statistics, these tips highlight edges without overlapping broader factors like injuries or weather already covered. Focus remains on statistical trends from previous encounters and current momentum to guide smarter decisions.

  • Prioritize recent winning momentum: Newcastle Jets have claimed victory in four of their last five matches, including three straight away wins, signaling high confidence that often translates to strong home displays against mid-table sides like Wellington.
  • Examine head-to-head goal trends: Four out of the last five meetings between these teams produced over 2.5 goals, with an average exceeding three goals per game, pointing to consistent attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities in direct clashes.
  • Factor in home vs away scoring dynamics: Jets demonstrate reliable home scoring (evident in recent clean-sheet wins and high-output games), while Phoenix maintain solid away resilience but concede more frequently on the road against in-form opponents.
  • Consider historical home edge in this fixture: Newcastle remain unbeaten in their last three home games against Wellington Phoenix, with tight but decisive results favoring the hosts in most recent McDonald Jones Stadium encounters.
  • Look at productivity in similar contexts: Both sides show productive streaks recently (Jets with multiple multi-goal games, Phoenix with away clean sheets), but combined data from form and H2H suggests matches lean toward both teams contributing goals rather than shutouts.
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Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix Match Prediction

Newcastle Jets hold the edge at home given their recent momentum and defensive solidity in wins. Wellington Phoenix remain dangerous on the counter, but injuries limit their depth. Expect an open game with goals likely from both sides based on H2H trends and current scoring patterns. Jets’ winning run and home advantage tip the scales toward a narrow victory, though Phoenix could force a high-scoring draw if they exploit transitions. Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix odds reflect this home favoritism, yet value exists in attacking markets. The contest should produce excitement with attacking intent from both.

Our Prediction: Newcastle Jets 2-1 Wellington Phoenix

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match WinnerNewcastle Jets1.62
Total GoalsOver 2.51.34
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.39

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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