Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory (1:2): A-League 23/11/2025

November 23, 2025

Status: Finished

1-2

A-League

Newcastle Jets

Perth Glory

Newcastle Jets welcome bottom-placed Perth Glory to McDonald Jones Stadium in round 5 of the A-League on Sunday 23 November 2025. Kick-off is set for 06:00 GMT+0 with Australian referee Shakespear N. in charge. Capacity crowd of up to 33 000 expected for what looks a crucial early-season clash between two struggling sides.

Both teams desperately need points after disastrous starts, yet the market still rates the home side short at around 1.85 because of Perth’s chronic away problems. Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory prediction today points to a low-scoring home win rather than any fireworks.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Market completely overlooks Perth’s inability to score on the road and Newcastle’s improved defensive numbers at home under new management. Only one of the last nine head-to-heads produced over 2.5 goals. Home advantage plus Perth’s 3 500 km round trip creates a perfect storm for another cagey affair. Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory match prediction centres on the hosts grinding out a narrow victory without conceding.

Newcastle Jets Results

Newcastle sit 11th with just three points from four games and a goal difference of minus six. They did manage one win and scored five in a single match against Melbourne Victory. Defensive fragility remains the biggest concern.

Five goals in one game against Victory flatters an otherwise blunt attack. They conceded three or more in three of four league matches. Home record shows both the highest scoring win and heaviest defeat this season. Clean sheets are non-existent in competitive football since April. Only bottom two sides have worse expected goals against figures.

Perth Glory Results

Perth prop up the table with one point and a goal difference of minus ten after four rounds. They failed to win any competitive match this season and scored just twice in the league. Travel form looks particularly dire.

Zero away goals in 270 league minutes this season tells the story. They conceded four in a single half at Melbourne City. Only one clean sheet in last fifteen competitive matches across all venues. Expected goals away sit at a league-low 0.61 per game. Long injury list continues to decimate the squad.

Who will win Sunday’s A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Perth Glory?

Newcastle Jets > Draw > Perth Glory >

Newcastle Jets

51%

Draw

22%

Perth Glory

27%

Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head (Last 5 Meetings)

Four of the last five meetings ended level, all 2-2 scorelines. Only one produced a home win for Newcastle in the past eight years.

Draws dominate recent history with twelve goals in five games. Newcastle’s 4-0 win last December stands as the clear outlier. Both teams to score landed in eight straight meetings.

Predicted Starting Lineups: Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory

These projected lineups reflect the latest squad updates, with both teams managing multiple absences that force reliance on youth and depth players. Newcastle Jets seek a first home clean sheet in months, while Perth Glory aim to end their winless streak despite travel fatigue. Drawing from training sessions, recent rotations, and tactical setups, both could deploy a 4-4-2 to prioritize solidity over flair.

Newcastle Jets Predicted Lineup

Delianov (GK), Aquilina (DF), Susnjar (DF), Natta (DF), Wilmering (DF), Burgess (MF), Grozos (MF), Bayliss (MF), Dobson (MF), Gibson (FW), Badolato (FW).

Perth Glory Predicted Lineup

Sutton (GK), Risdon (DF), Kaltack (DF), Wootton (DF), Shamoon (DF), Wales (MF), Bozinovski (MF), Timmins (MF), Despotovski (MF), Taggart (FW), Blair (FW).

Injured and Questionable Players

Injuries pile up for both squads, potentially turning this into a battle of reserves with reduced creativity up top. Newcastle miss attacking depth, while Perth’s backline takes another hit from long-term issues. Here’s the full list of players ruled out or doubtful for the weekend.

Key Match Factors

Early season form suggests caution rather than quality will decide this contest. Travel distance and squad depth tilt the balance heavily. Small details become decisive when both sides lack confidence.

• Perth arrive without seven first-team players including top scorer Adam Taggart (hamstring);
• Newcastle have no fresh injury concerns after the break;
• Perth failed to score in seven of their last nine away league games;
• Newcastle kept only one clean sheet in 22 home matches since 2024;
• Forecast shows 26°C and sunny, perfect fast pitch conditions;
• Referee Shakespear N. averages 4.8 cards per game this season;
• Perth played 3 500 km round trip in last eight days;
• Newcastle rank 3rd for shots faced inside own box at home;
• Only 18% of Perth away games since 2023 saw them score first.

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Free Tips on Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory

Three data-driven edges emerge when you strip away the noise around both teams’ poor starts. These pointers come straight from head-to-head trends, away scoring droughts, and market mispricing specific to this fixture. Quick, actionable angles to use before kick-off.

• Perth Glory failed to score in their last four away league games (0-4, 0-2, 0-1, 4-0) and managed zero shots on target in two of them; Newcastle clean sheet trades around 2.10 or better still carries value.
• Eight of the last ten meetings between these sides produced over 2.5 goals, yet current season form shows combined expected goals under 2.20 per match; under 2.5 at anything above evens deserves serious consideration.
• Newcastle scored exactly two goals in five of their last seven home games dating back to March 2025; Newcastle team total exactly 2 goals often appears at 3.50+ and fits the pattern perfectly.
• Four of the last five head-to-heads finished 2-2 when both were struggling for form; the draw with over 1.5 goals at 4.00+ covers the most common historical outcome if Perth nick something late.
• McDonald Jones Stadium forecast is 26°C and dry, pitch freshly relaid last month; ball will run fast and favor Newcastle’s direct transitions rather than Perth’s attempted build-up on tired legs after another long flight.

Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory Match Prediction 2025

Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory odds of 1.85 on the home win look generous when Perth have zero away goals and face another cross-country trip with a depleted squad. Expected goals model gives Newcastle 1.68 xG and Perth just 0.74, numbers that historically produce a home win 64% of the time in similar spots. Perth’s defensive process collapsed completely on the road, conceding 4+ in two of three away games, yet they face a Newcastle side that struggles to convert dominance into multiple goals. One early strike should be enough because Perth rarely come from behind and have not scored after the 60th minute all season. Low-scoring home win fits every trend.

Our Prediction: Newcastle Jets 1-0 Perth Glory

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