Mozambique vs Cameroon (1:2): Africa Cup of Nations 31/12/2025

December 31, 2025
Status: Finished
1-2
Africa Cup of Nations
Mozambique
Cameroon
match decor

Mozambique face Cameroon in a decisive Group F clash at the Africa Cup of Nations, with both sides chasing progression to the knockout stage. The Mambas pulled off a historic first-ever AFCON win against Gabon, while the Indomitable Lions held firm for a draw against holders Ivory Coast.

The match kicks off at 19:00 GMT+0 on Wednesday, December 31, 2025, at Stade Adrar in Agadir, Morocco, which holds over 45,000 spectators. This final group stage fixture carries high stakes in the Africa Cup of Nations, as results elsewhere could determine top spots or best third-place qualifiers. No specific referee appointment details are available yet for this encounter.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

Mozambique showed real grit in their comeback win over Gabon, converting limited chances efficiently, and this Mozambique vs Cameroon prediction today highlights how momentum could play a role against a more experienced side.

Cameroon dominated head-to-head records but looked blunt in attack against Ivory Coast, registering few shots on target. Mozambique’s counter-attacking threat, led by Geny Catamo, might expose transitional weaknesses. Defensive solidity will be key for the Mambas at home venue in Agadir. Expect a tight affair where set pieces and individual moments decide the outcome. Motivation runs high for both, with Cameroon aiming to avoid any slip-ups.

Mozambique Results

Mozambique finally broke their AFCON duck with a thrilling victory last time out, building confidence after a competitive showing against the holders. Their recent form mixes resilience with clinical moments up front. Underlying metrics suggest they can trouble stronger opponents on the break.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
28.12.2025ACNGabon vs Mozambique2-3W
24.12.2025ACNIvory Coast vs Mozambique1-0L
17.12.2025FIAngola vs Mozambique4-1L
17.11.2025FIChad vs Mozambique2-2D
14.11.2025FIMorocco vs Mozambique1-0L

The turnaround against Gabon stands out, with three goals from five shots on target showing improved finishing. Earlier friendlies exposed defensive frailties against stronger attacks. Home/away splits in qualifiers were poor, but tournament performances have lifted intensity. Clean sheets remain rare, yet they now carry a winning feeling into this fixture. Back-to-back wins would mark real progress for Chiquinho Conde’s side.

Cameroon Results

Cameroon secured four points from two tough group games, displaying pragmatic qualities typical of their AFCON pedigree. They grind results effectively, even when not at their fluent best. Five-time champions rarely collapse under pressure.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
28.12.2025ACNIvory Coast vs Cameroon1-1D
24.12.2025ACNCameroon vs Gabon1-0W
13.11.2025WCCameroon vs D.R. Congo0-1L
13.10.2025WCCameroon vs Angola0-0D
08.10.2025WCMauritius vs Cameroon0-2W

Points dropped against Ivory Coast came despite limited clear chances created, highlighting efficiency issues upfront. Wins bookended by draws and a loss show inconsistency outside the tournament. Defensive records remain strong, conceding sparingly in recent outings. Away form in qualifiers was solid, and they adapt well to high-stakes scenarios. Progression looks likely, but topping the group requires sharper attacking play.

Who will win Wednesday’s Africa Cup of Nations clash between Mozambique and Cameroon?
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Mozambique
16%
Draw
27%
Cameroon
57%
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Head-to-Head: Mozambique vs Cameroon

Cameroon hold complete dominance in recent meetings, shutting out Mozambique repeatedly. Encounters often feature low goal tallies, with the Indomitable Lions controlling possession and transitions. Psychological edge clearly favors the five-time champions.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
11.10.2021WCMozambique vs Cameroon0-1
08.10.2021WCCameroon vs Mozambique3-1
16.11.2020ACNMozambique vs Cameroon0-2
12.11.2020ACNCameroon vs Mozambique4-1
13.01.1998FriendlyCameroon vs Mozambique2-1

Cameroon consistently find ways to win these fixtures, often through set pieces or quick breaks. Mozambique struggle to create against organized defenses in this matchup. Goal difference heavily tilts toward the Lions across encounters.

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Predicted Starting Lineups

Team lineups remain subject to final confirmation from coaches, but based on recent selections, injury updates, and tactical patterns in the tournament, these are the most likely starting elevens for this crucial Group F encounter. Managers often stick with winning formulas while making forced adjustments due to suspensions.

Mozambique 

Siluane (GK), Calila (DF), Mexer (DF), Mandava (DF), Langa (DF), Guima (MF), Amade (MF), Catamo (MF), Domingues (MF), Witi (MF), Bangal (FW)

Cameroon

Epassy (GK), Malone (DF), Kotto (DF), Nouhou (DF), Onana (MF), Namaso (MF), Baleba (MF), Avom (MF), Yongwa (MF), Mbeumo (MF), Kofane (FW)

Injured and Questionable Players

Both sides head into the match with relatively clean bills of health, though Cameroon must adjust to one enforced absence. No long-term injuries significantly disrupt either squad beyond the listed suspension.

TeamPlayerReason
CameroonJunior TchamadeuSuspension (yellow card accumulation)

Key Factors to Watch

Several elements could swing this Group F decider, from squad depth to tactical matchups. Both coaches face decisions on rotation and approach. Current context adds extra layers to the contest.

  • Mozambique enter with huge momentum from their first AFCON win, boosting belief for a potential upset;
  • Cameroon miss suspended wing-back Junior Tchamadeu, forcing adjustments in wide areas;
  • Geny Catamo’s flair on the right flank poses Cameroon’s biggest individual threat;
  • Bryan Mbeumo seeks improvement after quiet displays, key for unlocking low blocks;
  • No fresh injuries reported for Mozambique, allowing continuity in attack;
  • Karl Etta Eyong could return upfront for Cameroon after bench impact last game;
  • Historical dominance gives Cameroon psychological advantage in tight moments;
  • Stade Adrar pitch and evening conditions favor quick transitions over sustained pressure;
  • Motivation peaks for Mozambique chasing maiden knockout berth.

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Free Tips on Mozambique vs Cameroon

Sharp punters always dig into the numbers before committing on high-stakes AFCON group deciders like this one. Historical patterns, current trends, and contextual edges often reveal value that casual observers miss. These selected tips draw directly from the statistics of recent matches and head-to-head record to help spot the most likely paths.

  • Cameroon have won all seven previous meetings with Mozambique, keeping clean sheets in four of the last five, which strongly supports backing low Mozambique goal output or Cameroon to nil;
  • Four of the last five head-to-heads finished with under 2.5 goals, matching Cameroon’s pragmatic style in recent games where they conceded only once in the group stage so far;
  • Mozambique scored three times against Gabon but managed zero shots on target in their opener against Ivory Coast, suggesting they struggle to create against organized top-tier defenses like Cameroon possess;
  • Cameroon kept clean sheets in three of their last five competitive away games, while Mozambique failed to score in four of their last six matches against sides ranked higher than them;
  • Recent encounters saw Cameroon win by one-goal margins in three of the last four, pointing toward a narrow victory rather than a blowout despite their dominance.
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Mozambique vs Cameroon Match Prediction 2025

Cameroon hold superior experience and squad quality, likely edging a tense battle through better game management and defensive resilience. Mozambique’s recent heroics make them dangerous on counters, but the Indomitable Lions’ unbeaten run in this fixture, combined with need for points to secure top spot, tips the balance. Expect a low-scoring affair where one goal proves decisive, backed by Cameroon’s ability to grind results against African opposition. Mozambique vs Cameroon odds reflect this edge, yet value lies in cautious approaches given stakes.

This shapes up as a classic AFCON encounter, with pride and progression on the line for both nations. Cameroon emerge narrow victors, capitalizing on transitional moments while containing Catamo’s influence. Underlying metrics support underperforming xG being corrected by the Lions.

Our Prediction: Mozambique 0-1 Cameroon

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultCameroon Win1.63
Both Teams to ScoreNo1.61
Total GoalsUnder 2.51.6

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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