Monaco vs Paris (80:74): LNB Pro A Finals 22/06/2025

Jun 22, 2025
Status: Finished
80-74
LNB Pro A
Monaco
Paris
match decor

On June 22, 2025, at 15:30 GMT+0, Salle Gaston Medecin in Monaco will host Game 4 of the LNB Pro A Finals between Paris and Monaco. The basketball world will be watching. This important game is part of the French basketball league’s championship series. Monaco wants to tie the series at 2-2 after winning Game 3 by a score of 81-78, while Paris wants to take back control and get closer to the crown.

There is no precise information about the referee, but the fact that this is a high-stakes final means that the refereeing will be closely watched. With the series at a crucial 2-1 in Paris’ advantage, this game at Monaco’s home court should be quite exciting as both teams try to win France’s top-tier championship.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

To make an informed Monaco vs Paris prediction today, understanding recent performances and head-to-head dynamics is essential. In Game 3, Monaco demonstrated that they could fight back from losing positions, whereas Paris’s early lead slipped away when they were under siege. The next parts go into more detail on the teams’ most recent games and how they have done in the past. These tips will help people who bet figure out what might happen. This is an important basketball game, and both teams will use their abilities to win.

Monaco Results

Monaco has been both strong and weak in their last several games. Their comeback in Game 3 against Paris showed how tough they are, but their earlier losses in the series showed that they weren’t very good at defense. The team’s home court advantage at Salle Gaston Medecin is still a big part of their postseason run.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
20/06/25LNBMonaco vs Paris81-78W
17/06/25LNBParis vs Monaco92-67L
15/06/25LNBParis vs Monaco94-82L
10/06/25LNBMonaco vs Lyon-Villeurbanne91-86W
08/06/25LNBMonaco vs Lyon-Villeurbanne74-64W

Monaco’s Game 3 win showed how well they could come back, thanks to Jaron Blossomgame’s 26-point explosion. They are still strong at home, having won two convincing games against Lyon-Villeurbanne in the playoffs. But the big losses in Games 1 and 2 versus Paris show that they have trouble with Paris’ fast-paced offense. Elie Okobo and others have had to stand up because Mike James isn’t there. Monaco needs to keep up their defensive energy to stop Paris from scoring.

Paris Results

Paris has been the best team in the LNB Pro A Finals thus far, winning the first two games by a wide margin. But their loss in Game 3 showed that Monaco’s home pressure was too much for them. Even without several key players, Paris is still a tough opponent because they have a lot of good players.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultOutcome
20/06/25LNBMonaco vs Paris81-78L
17/06/25LNBParis vs Monaco92-67W
15/06/25LNBParis vs Monaco94-82W
08/06/25LNBJL Bourg vs Paris93-103W
06/06/25LNBParis vs JL Bourg117-103W

Paris’ high-scoring offense, led by T.J. Shorts, overwhelmed Monaco in Games 1 and 2, averaging 93 points. Their Game 3 loss showed vulnerability when Shorts was contained in the second half. The team’s ability to dominate on the road against JL Bourg highlights their depth. Fatigue from a tight playoff schedule could be a factor, especially after a close loss. Paris needs to regain their first-half focus to secure the title.

Who will win Sunday’s LNB Pro A Finals clash between Monaco and Paris?
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poll
Monaco
51%
Draw
8%
Paris
41%
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Monaco vs Paris Head-to-Head Encounters

The rivalry between Monaco and Paris has produced competitive clashes this season. Their recent finals matchups have been intense, with Paris holding a slight edge. Examining their head-to-head history provides critical insights for the upcoming game.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
20/06/25LNBMonaco vs Paris81-78
17/06/25LNBParis vs Monaco92-67
15/06/25LNBParis vs Monaco94-82
09/03/25LNBMonaco vs Paris94-63
05/03/25EURParis vs Monaco79-91

Paris dominated the early finals games, but Monaco’s Game 3 win and their 31-point rout in March show their potential to overpower Paris at home. The EuroCup loss for Paris suggests Monaco can exploit defensive gaps when at their best. Historical trends favor high-scoring games, with three of five exceeding 150 total points.

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Predicted Starting Lineups for Basketball Match

The starting lineups for Monaco and Paris will heavily influence Game 4’s outcome. Both teams are dealing with absences, forcing adjustments in their rotations. Below are the predicted starting fives, showcasing the key players expected to set the tone in this basketball showdown.

Monaco PlayerPositionParis PlayerPosition
Alpha DialloForwardTyson WardForward
Petr CornelieForwardMikael JantunenForward
Mam JaitehCenterKeion HayesCenter
Elie OkoboGuardYakuba OuattaraGuard
Matthew StrazelGuardT.J. ShortsGuard

Unavailable Players

Injuries and suspensions significantly impact both teams’ strategies. The following table lists players confirmed to miss Game 4. These absences will force coaches to rely on bench depth and tactical adjustments.

TeamPlayerReason
MonacoMike JamesSuspension
MonacoDaniel TheisInjury
ParisCollin MalcolmInjury
ParisMaodo LoInjury

Key Factors to Watch

The fourth game of the LNB Pro A Finals is a big deal for both Monaco and Paris since it puts their momentum and execution in the limelight. The game will be decided by Monaco’s home court advantage and Paris’ strong offense. These are the most important things that could affect the outcome:

  • Monaco’s Home Form: Undefeated in their last three home games, including a comeback against Paris;
  • Paris’ Offensive Output: Averaged 93 points in Games 1 and 2, but faltered in Game 3’s second half;
  • Jaron Blossomgame’s Impact: His 26-point Game 3 performance was a game-changer for Monaco;
  • T.J. Shorts’ Response: Contained in Game 3’s second half, his leadership is crucial for Paris;
  • Injury Absences: Monaco’s Mike James and Daniel Theis, and Paris’ Collin Malcolm and Maodo Lo, weaken both rotations;
  • Defensive Adjustments: Monaco’s tightened defense on Shorts in Game 3 could be a blueprint;
  • Fatigue Factor: Paris’ tight schedule may lead to tired legs, especially after a close loss;
  • Bench Contributions: Monaco’s depth, with players like Strazel, must counter Paris’ versatile reserves.
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Free Tips on Monaco vs Paris

To make smarter bets on this thrilling matchup, consider these key basketball-specific factors. These tips focus on game dynamics that could sway the result. Use them to refine your Monaco vs Paris prediction today:

  • Game Tempo: Monaco’s slower pace could limit Paris’ fast-break opportunities, keeping the scoreline tight;
  • Three-Point Shooting: Paris relies heavily on perimeter shots; a cold night could spell trouble;
  • Rebounding Edge: Monaco’s strong interior presence, led by Jaiteh, may dominate offensive boards;
  • Free Throw Accuracy: In close finals games, Monaco’s 78% free-throw rate could be decisive;
  • Turnover Management: Paris’ 14 turnovers in Game 3 handed Monaco extra possessions, a trend to watch.
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Monaco vs Paris Match Prediction 2025

Monaco’s Game 3 victory has shifted the momentum, and their home court advantage at Salle Gaston Medecin makes them slight favorites. The Monaco vs Paris odds reflect a tight contest, but Monaco’s ability to rally from a 13-point deficit in Game 3, driven by Jaron Blossomgame’s heroics, suggests they can capitalize on Paris’ recent mistakes. Without Mike James, Monaco relies on Elie Okobo and Alpha Diallo to maintain offensive flow, while their tightened defense on T.J. Shorts disrupted Paris’ rhythm. Paris, despite their depth, showed nerves in Game 3, with Shorts’ ejection and missed shots by Hifi and Jantunen proving costly. Their high-scoring offense (averaging 93 points in Games 1-2) remains dangerous, but fatigue from a grueling schedule and missing players like Malcolm and Lo could hinder them. Monaco’s home crowd and defensive adjustments give them an edge in a low-scoring, physical battle. Expect Monaco to cover the -1.5 spread and push the series to a decisive Game 5, with a predicted score reflecting their recent defensive resilience and Paris’ offensive struggles in the clutch.

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match WinnerMonaco1.8

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About the Author

Born in Chicago in 1985, Alex Thompson, a renowned betting expert, obtained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Michigan in 2011. From 2012 to 2018, he collaborated with several NBA teams, specializing in play pattern recognition and player efficiency evaluations. Thompson has contributed to 14 peer-reviewed papers, emphasizing the importance of transitional play and on-court decision-making. In 2019, he shifted his focus to journalism. Thompson currently writes analytical pieces on basketball and is a regular contributor to various sports platforms, employing his expertise to dissect game dynamics and player performance.

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