The eagerly awaited Paulista, Serie A1 game between Mirassol and Guarani scheduled for January 29, 2025, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, with 15,000 capacity. Batalha M. is the allocated referee for the game; the match is scheduled to start at 21:30 GTM+0. Both sides find themselves at pivotal stages in the season as the competition goes on, so this meeting is vital for their goals in the Paulista ranks.
This game looks to be exciting as Mirassol has great home form and Guarani wants to improve their record away from home. To provide a complete Mirassol vs Guarani match prediction, we explore the most recent team news, form, and head-to-head data below.
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Team News: Mirassol
Riding a tide of great form, especially at home where their performances have been nothing less than remarkable, Mirassol comes into this game. Showcasing their supremacy in Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, the squad has able to guarantee regular successes. Mirassol has been very successful defensively and aggressively this season with a positive goal differential of +10. Their offence has been particularly notable; they have averaged 1.7 goals in only 10 games, while their defence has only let out 7 goals in the same time, therefore highlighting their consistency at the back.
Early striking is one of their strongest suit; the squad averages a goal per 26.3 minutes while playing at home. Usually overwhelming opponents, this constant pressure lets Mirassol control the tempo of the game. Their ability to score from many angles from set pieces, counterattacks, open play makes them an erratic and difficult side to defend against.
Mirassol Results
Mirassol has been delivering impressive performances recently, especially in the Paulista tournament. Below is an analysis of their last five matches:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 26/01/25 | Paulista | Mirassol vs Portuguesa | 2-1 | W |
| 23/01/25 | Paulista | Sao Bernardo vs Mirassol | 1-2 | W |
| 19/01/25 | Paulista | Mirassol vs Agua Santa | 6-0 | W |
| 17/01/25 | Paulista | Santos vs Mirassol | 2-1 | L |
| 24/11/24 | Serie B | Mirassol vs Chapecoense | 1-0 | W |
Team News: Guarani
Conversely, Guarani has had great difficulty this season trying to keep consistency in their output. Given just one victory in their previous ten road games, their away form has been especially worrisome. This lack of success away from home has made their challenges breaking down opponent and generating scoring chances more evident. With only 4 goals in 10 games, their offensive has been mostly disappointing, averaging a goal every 225 minutes a far cry from what a competitive squad at this level of play is anticipated from.
Guarani has showed some tenacity defensively, giving up only a quite small 7 goals in those 10 games. But in close games, their incapacity to provide enough offensive production to assist their defence has sometimes left them exposed. Their average goal-scoring time in road games is around 57.3 minutes, which suggests a lack of attacking sharpness and a delayed starting inclination.
Guarani Results
Guarani’s last five matches highlight their inconsistency but also showcase their potential to surprise stronger opponents:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | Outcome |
| 27/01/25 | Paulista | Guarani vs Noroeste | 2-0 | W |
| 24/01/25 | Paulista | Sao Paulo vs Guarani | 1-0 | L |
| 18/01/25 | Paulista | Inter de Limeira vs Guarani | 0-0 | D |
| 16/01/25 | Paulista | Guarani vs Botafogo SP | 2-0 | W |
| 24/11/24 | Serie B | Guarani vs Ceara | 0-0 | D |
Mirassol vs Guarani: Head-to-Head
The two teams have squared each other nineteen times overall. Having won 8 of the meetings, Mirassol has the upper hand; Guarani only has 4 victories. Guarani won a meagre 1-0 in the previous encounter between these teams, on September 18, 24. Their last five head-to-head encounters are listed below:
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 18/09/24 | Serie B | Guarani vs Mirassol | 1-0 |
| 05/06/24 | Serie B | Mirassol vs Guarani | 3-0 |
| 01/02/24 | Paulista | Guarani vs Mirassol | 2-3 |
| 21/10/23 | Serie B | Mirassol vs Guarani | 0-0 |
| 29/06/23 | Serie B | Guarani vs Mirassol | 2-1 |
Mirassol Predicted Lineup
Formation: 4-4-2
Goalkeeper: Muralha
Defenders: Reinaldo, Braz, Victor, Ramon
Midfielders: Moura, Danielzinho, Kim, Gabriel
Forwards: Nehueba, Cahsiho
Guarani Predicted Lineup
Formation: 4-4-2
Goalkeeper: Mesquita
Defenders: Emerson, Lucao, Raphael, Justen
Midfielders: Sarara, Isaque, Camargo, Regis
Forward: Marcelo, Victor
Key Points to Watch
Both teams arrive to this game with different dynamics, hence the Mirassol vs Guarani forecast today is rather interesting. Here are important elements to give thought:
- Mirassol’s home form has been stellar, with 4 wins in their last 5 home matches;
- Guarani’s away record remains a concern, with just one win in 10 games this season;
- Mirassol has scored 17 goals in 10 matches, compared to Guarani’s 4 goals;
- Guarani’s defensive setup has improved, conceding only 7 goals in their last 10 matches;
- Mirassol’s recent 6-0 win over Agua Santa highlights their attacking prowess;
- Key injuries in Mirassol’s midfield could impact their creativity;
- Guarani’s last match saw them secure a morale-boosting 2-0 win against Noroeste;
- The average time for Mirassol to score at home is 26.3 minutes, compared to Guarani’s 57.3 minutes away.
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Free Tips on Mirassol vs Guarani
Making wise selections in analysis of the forthcoming Mirassol vs Guarani requires delving deeply into the statistics, team dynamics, and current trends. Knowing historical performance, tactical patterns, and outside variables helps one get important understanding of possible results. These are important pointers meant especially for this match to assist you in deciding how much to wager.
- Recent Head-to-Head Trends: Mirassol has always done better in head-to-head contests with Guarani, having won 8 of 19 games. Consider how these teams matched up in prior games, including Guarani’s 1-0 victory in their most recent encounter, and if such trends could show up in this game.
- Home Advantage for Mirassol: With 4 out of their 5 Paulista tournament home game victories, Mirassol has shown outstanding form at home this season. The squad is a tough opponent in this environment because of their capacity to take use of home-field advantage and ardent supporters.
- Impact of Scheduling: Guarani is playing their second match in just three days, which could lead to fatigue, especially for key players. In contrast, Mirassol has had slightly more time to recover after their last game, potentially giving them an edge in terms of energy and intensity.
- Referee’s Influence: Referee Batalha M. has a reputation for being lenient with fouls but is quick to award penalties when necessary. This could influence betting on penalties or total cards, especially considering Mirassol’s aggressive attacking style and Guarani’s defensive tendencies.
By considering these aspects, you can make better-informed bets on the match while accounting for factors that may influence the outcome.
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Mirassol vs Guarani Match Prediction 2025
Mirassol clearly has an edge given the present form and previous results, especially with regard to their home dominance and offensive accuracy. Guarani’s recent development may make the game competitive, but their poor away record and lack of offensive production might restrict their prospects.
Mirassol is expected to prevail; the final score probably will be under 2.5 goals. The Mirassol versus Guarani odds mirror the home team’s advantage in this game.
Our Prediction:
Mirassol 2-0 Guarani
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Mirassol to Win | 1.6 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.62 |
| Both Teams to Score | No | 1.59 |
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