Marseille vs Rennes Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips – Coupe de France 03/02/2026

Coupe de France
Marseille vs Rennes
Tue, 3 Feb 2026 – 20:10
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1.63
Home
4.2
Draw
4.8
Away

The Marseille vs Rennes match is scheduled for Tuesday, February 3, 2026, with kick-off at 20:10 GMT at the iconic Stade Vélodrome in Marseille, capacity over 67,000. This match is part of the Coupe de France Round of 16. -This fixture takes place in the Coupe de France Round of 16 (1/8 finals), a knockout stage where both Ligue 1 sides aim to advance toward the trophy. Referee information remains unconfirmed in major previews, but expect a standard Ligue 1-level official with typical card averages. Home advantage at the Vélodrome, known for its passionate atmosphere, could play a significant role in this cup tie.

BETTING TIPS AND MATCH INSIGHTS

This Marseille vs Rennes prediction today focuses on recent momentum, home/away contrasts, and tactical edges in a high-stakes cup clash. Marseille hosts with pressure to rebound from mixed Ligue 1 and European results, while Rennes arrives amid a clear dip in form. Key factors include defensive vulnerabilities exposed lately and attacking threats from both sides. The matchup promises goals given recent trends. Bettors should watch line movements closely ahead of kick-off.

Marseille Results

Marseille enters this cup tie looking to capitalize on home strength after a turbulent run across competitions. Recent performances show attacking flair but defensive lapses, especially in closing games.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
31.01.26Ligue 1Paris FC vs Marseille2-2D
28.01.26Champions LeagueClub Brugge vs Marseille3-0L
24.01.26Ligue 1Marseille vs Lens3-1W
21.01.26Champions LeagueMarseille vs Liverpool0-3L
17.01.26Ligue 1Angers vs Marseille2-5W

Marseille has alternated wins and setbacks, scoring freely in victories but conceding heavily in defeats. The 2-2 draw against Paris FC highlighted late collapses after leading 2-0. Home form remains a strength with goals from key attackers like Greenwood. Defensive issues persist, particularly after European exertions. Overall, the side shows quality but inconsistency in concentration.

Rennes Results

Rennes approaches the tie in poor rhythm, with recent Ligue 1 struggles raising concerns ahead of this cup challenge. The team needs a spark to turn around a worrying slide.

DateCompetitionMatchupResultW/L
31.01.26Ligue 1Monaco vs Rennes4-0L
24.01.26Ligue 1Rennes vs Lorient0-2L
18.01.26Ligue 1Rennes vs Le Havre1-1D
11.01.26Coupe de FranceChantilly vs Rennes1-3W
03.01.26Ligue 1Lille vs Rennes0-2W

Rennes has endured three winless Ligue 1 outings, including heavy defeats to Monaco and Lorient. Early cup progress offers some positivity, but the attack has dried up at home recently. Away form looks vulnerable against stronger opponents. The team lacks confidence, conceding too easily while struggling to create chances consistently.

Who will win Tuesday’s Coupe de France clash between Marseille and Rennes?
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poll
Marseille
58%
Draw
22%
Rennes
20%
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Marseille vs Rennes Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches)

These sides have produced competitive, often goal-filled encounters recently, with mixed results showing no clear dominance.

DateCompetitionMatchupResult
15.08.25Ligue 1Rennes vs Marseille1-0
17.05.25Ligue 1Marseille vs Rennes4-2
11.01.25Ligue 1Rennes vs Marseille1-2
17.03.24Ligue 1Rennes vs Marseille2-0
21.01.24Coupe de FranceRennes vs Marseille2-1

Rennes claimed the most recent league win at home, but Marseille has responded strongly in several prior clashes, especially at the Vélodrome. Goals have featured regularly, with both teams scoring in three of the last five. The pattern suggests tight, eventful games.

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Predicted Lineups for Marseille vs Rennes

Here are the projected starting lineups for the Marseille vs Rennes Coupe de France Round of 16 match on February 3, 2026. These are based on the most recent team news, form, and tactical preferences, with lineups often confirmed closer to kick-off. Note that cup ties can see some rotation, but the selections below reflect likely first-choice options.

Marseille: Predicted lineup

Rulli (GK), Balerdi (DF), Aguerd (DF), Medina (DF), Weah (DF), Hojbjerg (MF), Timber (MF), Paixao (MF), Greenwood (MF), Nwaneri (MF), Aubameyang (FW).

Marseille predicted starting lineup for Coupe de France match against Rennes, February 2026

Rennes: Predicted lineup

Samba (GK), Ait Boudlal (DF), Jacquet (DF), Brassier (DF), Frankowski (DF), Camara (MF), Cisse (MF), Merlin (MF), Tamari (MF), Lepaul (FW), Embolo (FW).

Rennes predicted starting lineup for Coupe de France match against Marseille, February 2026

INJURED AND QUESTIONABLE PLAYERS

Team news plays a crucial role in cup matches, where absences can force adjustments. Below is a summary of key unavailable or doubtful players based on recent updates leading into the February 3, 2026 fixture.

TeamPlayerStatus/Injury
MarseilleEmersonThigh injury (out until mid-February)
RennesValentin RongierInjury (midfield absentee)
Rennes(Additional doubts possible on key defenders/midfielders due to recent heavy defeats)Questionable / Rotation risk

These absences could impact defensive stability for Rennes and full-back options for Marseille. Always check official announcements closer to kick-off for final confirmations.

Key Match Insights: Factors to Watch

This Coupe de France clash hinges on several critical elements that could swing momentum either way. Marseille benefits from home crowd energy, while Rennes seeks to exploit any fatigue.

  • Marseille missing key defender Emerson due to thigh injury (out until mid-February);
  • Rennes captain Valentin Rongier sidelined with injury, weakening midfield structure;
  • Marseille’s recent defensive collapses, conceding late in multiple games;
  • Rennes on a poor run: no Ligue 1 win in last three, heavy losses included;
  • Marseille’s attacking threats like Greenwood in strong scoring form;
  • Home advantage at Stade Vélodrome, where Marseille often dominates;
  • Rennes’ away struggles against top-half sides this season;
  • Potential rotation in cup tie, but motivation high for quarter-final spot;
  • Late goals trend: both teams vulnerable in final stages recently.

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Free Tips on Marseille vs Rennes

This section offers practical, data-driven betting advice tailored to the Marseille vs Rennes Coupe de France clash on February 3, 2026. Drawing from recent form trends, head-to-head patterns, and key statistical insights, these tips highlight edges that could influence outcomes at the Stade Vélodrome. Focus on objective factors like productivity in matches and venue-specific advantages to inform smarter decisions.

  • Prioritize home dominance stats: Marseille consistently performs stronger at the Vélodrome, where their attacking output rises noticeably compared to away games—evident in high-scoring Ligue 1 wins like the 3-1 over Lens and 5-2 at Angers, suggesting value in backing home-side goals or wins.
  • Factor in Rennes’ recent defensive fragility away: Rennes has conceded heavily on the road lately (e.g., 4-0 at Monaco), while Marseille exploits such weaknesses with creative threats, making markets like over goals or both teams scoring appealing based on recent patterns.
  • Examine head-to-head goal trends: The last five encounters averaged over 2.5 goals in several cases (including 4-2 and 2-1 results), with no draws in the most recent eight clashes, pointing toward an open, eventful game rather than a stalemate.
  • Consider player-specific momentum: Marseille benefits from in-form attackers like Mason Greenwood, who has contributed goals and assists recently, contrasting Rennes’ struggle to create consistently—favor anytime scorer bets on home forwards.
  • Account for fatigue from schedules: Marseille’s mix of Ligue 1 and Champions League fixtures contrasts with Rennes’ winless Ligue 1 run, potentially giving the hosts an energy edge in a knockout tie where intensity spikes late.
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Marseille vs Rennes Match Prediction

Marseille holds the edge in this Marseille vs Rennes prediction thanks to home ground advantage, superior attacking options, and Rennes’ alarming form dip. Despite recent draws and losses exposing defensive frailties, Marseille’s firepower—led by consistent scorers—should overwhelm a Rennes side that has failed to score in recent Ligue 1 defeats. Rennes beat Marseille earlier this season away, but replicating that at the Vélodrome looks tough given current confidence issues and injuries like Rongier. Expect Marseille to control possession and create chances, likely leading to a home victory with goals on both ends. Marseille vs Rennes odds favor the hosts across major markets, reflecting the logical tilt. A 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline aligns with patterns. Marseille advances in the cup.

Our Prediction: Marseille 2-1 Rennes

Prediction TypePredictionOdds
Match ResultMarseille Win1.63
Both Teams to ScoreYes1.64
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals1.57

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About the Author

Born in Liverpool in 1984, Ian Fletcher, a distinguished betting expert, attained a Master’s in Sports Analytics from the University of Manchester in 2010. Between 2011 and 2019, he was engaged with various English football clubs, focusing on tactical analysis and player performance metrics. Fletcher has contributed to 12 academic papers, emphasizing the role of game tempo and set-piece efficiency. In 2020, he transitioned into the realm of journalism. Presently, Fletcher authors in-depth analytical pieces on football, exploring game dynamics and team strategies, and his expertise is sought after by numerous sports platforms.

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