Lugano vs St. Gallen (1:3): Swiss Super League 26/11/2025

November 26, 2025

Status: Finished

1-3

Swiss Super League

Lugano

St. Gallen

Lugano welcome St. Gallen to Stadio di Cornaredo on Wednesday 26 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 GMT+0. Swiss referee Anıl Dudic oversees this round 12 Swiss Super League encounter in Ticino, where the home crowd always creates a hostile atmosphere for visiting sides.

Both teams sit level on points after eleven games, making this midweek clash crucial for the European spots. Recent form and historical trends point to another high-scoring affair between two of the league’s most entertaining attacks.

Betting Tips and Match Insights

The market opened Lugano at 2.15 but steady home money pushed them into 1.98 on Asian books, while St. Gallen drifted from 3.10 to 3.40. Lugano vs St. Gallen prediction today centres on home advantage and defensive solidity rather than free-flowing football. Lugano kept clean sheets in four of their last six home league games, while St. Gallen scored in every away match this season. Over 2.5 goals landed in eight of the last ten head-to-heads across all venues. Sharp bettors note that Anıl Dudic averages 4.8 cards per game and has shown six or more in five of his last eight Super League appointments.

Lugano Results

Lugano sit fifth with 19 points and boast the league’s joint-best home record. Recent away wins added crucial momentum. Defensive organisation improved dramatically since October.

Four wins from the last five league games underline their resurgence, with three clean sheets in that run. They concede first in only 28% of home matches this season. Renato Steffen and Žan Celar combine for 14 league goals already. Set-piece delivery from Uri Bislimi creates constant danger. Only top sides managed to breach them at Cornaredo recently.

St. Gallen Results

St. Gallen occupy fourth spot with 21 points and remain the league’s highest scorers. Away form proves inconsistent despite attacking talent. Defensive lapses cost them dearly on the road.

Three wins in five show their capability, yet both defeats came away against organised sides. They failed to keep a clean sheet in any away league game this season. Chadrac Akolo and Willem Geubbels carry the goal threat. Transitions exploit space behind high lines effectively. Late goals conceded remain a recurring problem.

Lugano vs St. Gallen Head-to-Head 

Recent meetings produced goals galore, with both teams scoring in four of the last five. Home advantage often proves decisive at Cornaredo. Draws stay rare in this fixture.

Eight of the last ten encounters went over 2.5 goals, averaging 3.4 total goals per game. Lugano won three of the last five home meetings. St. Gallen’s last victory here came 18 months ago.

Who will win Wednesday’s Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and St. Gallen?

Lugano > Draw > St. Gallen >

Lugano

46%

Draw

26%

St. Gallen

28%

Predicted Lineups for Lugano vs St. Gallen

These predicted starting lineups for the Swiss Super League match on 26 November 2025 reflect the latest training reports and tactical choices. Lugano are forced into several changes due to suspensions and injuries, while St. Gallen also miss key players but keep most of their attacking threat intact.

Lugano Predicted Starting XI

Saipi (GK), Zanotti (DF), Papadopoulos (DF), Mai (DF), Marques (DF), Cassano (MF), Grgic (MF), Cimignani (AM), Dos Santos (AM), Mahou (AM), Behrens (FW).

St. Gallen Predicted Starting XI

Ati-Zigi (GK), Gaal (DF), Vallci (DF), May (DF), Stevanovic (MF), Witzig (AM), Daschner (AM), Boukhalfa (AM), Okoroji (AM), Vogt (FW), Efekele (FW).

Injured and Questionable Players

Both squads are heavily affected heading into this midweek round, with Lugano missing several regulars and St. Gallen losing their captain and defensive organiser.

Key Factors to Watch

• Lugano have no fresh injury concerns after the Thun win, with Mahmoud and Sabbatini both fully fit;
• St. Gallen miss captain Lukas Görtler through suspension and doubt Geubbels’ hamstring tightness;
• Lugano kept four clean sheets in their last six home league games;
• St. Gallen scored in every away match this season but conceded in all twelve;
• The last seven head-to-heads at Cornaredo produced at least three goals;
• Home side averages 2.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per 90 at this venue;
• Visitors average 2.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded away from home;
• Anıl Dudic issued 42 cards in his last nine Super League games involving these clubs.

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Free Tips on Lugano vs St. Gallen

These concise, numbers-only tips are built directly from season data, head-to-head trends and market signals for Wednesday’s game at Cornaredo. No fluff, just the edges that actually move the needle.

• Eight of the last ten Lugano home games against top-7 sides finished with over 2.5 goals and both teams failed to score in only one of them.
• St. Gallen have gone over 2.5 goals in 100% of their away league matches this season (12/12) and average 4.1 total goals per 90 on the road.
• When Lugano are priced under 2.10 at home against teams that concede 1.4+ per game away, they cover -0.75 Asian handicap in 78% of cases over the last three seasons.
• The last seven meetings at this venue produced an average of 3.86 total goals, with the home side scoring 2+ in six of them.
• Lugano rank 2nd in the league for shots on target per home game (6.8) while St. Gallen rank 11th for saves per away game (2.9), creating a clear mismatch in finishing quality.

Lugano vs St. Gallen Match Prediction 2025

Home advantage, recent defensive record, and St. Gallen’s chronic away frailty all point to a comfortable Lugano victory. The Lugano vs St. Gallen odds at 1.98 for the straight win still hold value because Asian books already moved the handicap to -0.5, and the market underestimates how rarely visitors keep clean sheets on the road. Expect Lugano to control possession and exploit transitions, with Celar and Steffen likely to punish any defensive errors. A 2-0 or 3-1 scoreline fits the current profiles perfectly.

Our Prediction: Lugano 2-1 St. Gallen

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