Liverpool is facing Newcastle United in the EFL Cup final on Sunday, 16 March 2025, at 16:30 GMT+0, setting the scene for an amazing football clash. With a capacity of 90,000 and referee John Brooks from England officiating, this much awaited showdown will take place at the legendary Wembley Stadium in London and lend even more mystery to this pivotal encounter in one of England’s most esteemed domestic events.
While Newcastle is trying to break a trophy drought going back to 1955, Liverpool, the defending champions, want to solidify their supremacy in the game. This game, which marks the last of the EFL Cup, promises to be highly dramatic since both sides have overcome strong opponents to get to this point, so defining a moment in their particular seasons.
Betting Tips and Match Insights
Get ready for a deep dive into the key factors shaping this Liverpool vs Newcastle prediction today. Examining the teams’ current results and their past conflicts will provide you with crucial insights in this part, therefore providing a strong basis for knowledge of the dynamics involved. We will dissect the most recent data to point out trends and notable events that might influence the result. Looking at head-to- head records will help you to see how these sides have performed against one another recently. Knowing this will help you evaluate the following betting advice and forecasts.
Liverpool Results
Under Arne Slot’s direction, Liverpool has been a force to deal with this season, especially in domestic contests as they hunt another piece of silverware. Though a recent European defeat has heightened their attention on this prize, their path to the EFL Cup final has demonstrated their attacking ability and fortitude. To find out what is motivating their campaign, let’s closely examine their recent five games.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 11.03.25 | CL | Liverpool vs PSG | 0-1 (1-4 pens) | L/L |
| 08.03.25 | PL | Liverpool vs Southampton | 3-1 | W |
| 05.03.25 | CL | PSG vs Liverpool | 0-1 | W |
| 26.02.25 | PL | Liverpool vs Newcastle | 2-0 | W |
| 23.02.25 | PL | Manchester City vs Liverpool | 0-2 | W |
Liverpool’s form shows a strong run with four wins in their last five, including convincing victories over Southampton and Manchester City. Their only stumble came against PSG in a Champions League penalty shootout, exposing some vulnerability under pressure. The 2-0 win over Newcastle just weeks ago at Anfield highlights their ability to dominate this opponent. Slot’s side has consistently found the net, averaging over two goals per game in these fixtures. Despite the European exit, their domestic momentum suggests they’re primed for success at Wembley.
Newcastle Results
Under Eddie Howe, Newcastle has shown glimpses of genius; nevertheless, inconsistency has dogged their season as they try to break through a decades-long waiting for a big title. Their road to the championship has been rough, shaped by brave wins mixed with disappointing losses. Here is their performance during their most recent five appearances.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result | W/L |
| 10.03.25 | PL | West Ham vs Newcastle | 0-1 | W |
| 02.03.25 | FAC | Newcastle vs Brighton | 1-2 | L (after extra time) |
| 26.02.25 | PL | Liverpool vs Newcastle | 2-0 | L |
| 23.02.25 | PL | Newcastle vs Nottingham | 4-3 | W |
| 15.02.25 | PL | Manchester City vs Newcastle | 4-0 | L |
With two victories and three losses in their previous five, Newcastle’s recent performance is conflicting. Although their capacity to grind out results is shown by their 1-0 victory over West Ham, defensive flaws in huge losses to Manchester City and Liverpool highlight Their FA Cup departure to Brighton puts more emphasis on this last as their only chance at triumph. The Magpies have battled elite opposition, caving in somewhat badly in two of these games. On their day, though, their propensity for scoring keeps them dangerous as opposed to Nottingham.
Liverpool vs Newcastle Head-to-Head
With Liverpool clearly leading in recent years, the rivalry between Liverpool and Newcastle has generated some unforgettable meetings. Given the stakes and past trends, these head-to-head conflicts provide a window into how this final might turn out. To set the picture, let’s go over their most recent five meetings.
| Date | Competition | Matchup | Result |
| 26.02.25 | PL | Liverpool vs Newcastle | 2-0 |
| 04.12.24 | PL | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 3-3 |
| 01.01.24 | PL | Liverpool vs Newcastle | 4-2 |
| 27.08.23 | PL | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 1-2 |
| 18.02.23 | PL | Newcastle vs Liverpool | 0-2 |
Having one high-scoring draw and four of the last five victories over Newcastle, Liverpool has been dominant. Having just one concession in three of these games, their defensive record is outstanding. Newcastle’s one bright point was the 3-3 home thriller, which shown they could challenge when at their best.
Predicted Lineups for Liverpool vs Newcastle Football Match
Gauging the possible starting elevens helps one to predict how this football final might turn out. Teams’ strategies will be shaped by injuries and tactical choices; so, below is a view of the expected lineups depending on the most recent team news.
Liverpool Predicted Lineup: Kelleher (GK), Quansah (RB), Konate (CB), Van Dijk (CB), Robertson (LB), Mac Allister (MF), Gravenberch (MF), Salah (RW), Szoboszlai (AM), Diaz (LW), Gakpo (FW)
Newcastle Predicted Lineup: Dubravka (GK), Trippier (RB), Schar (CB), Burn (CB), Livramento (LB), Guimaraes (MF), Tonali (MF), Joelinton (MF), Murphy (RW), Isak (FW), Barnes (LW)
Unavailable Players for the EFL Cup Final
With both sides lacking major players, injuries and bans will be very important in this game. Here’s a list of those not expected on the pitch.
| Team | Player | Reason |
| Liverpool | Trent Alexander-Arnold | Injury (Leg) |
| Liverpool | Joe Gomez | Injury (Hamstring) |
| Liverpool | Conor Bradley | Injury (Hamstring) |
| Liverpool | Tyler Morton | Injury (Shoulder) |
| Newcastle | Lewis Hall | Injury (Foot) |
| Newcastle | Sven Botman | Injury (Knee) |
| Newcastle | Jamaal Lascelles | Injury (Knee) |
| Newcastle | Anthony Gordon | Suspension |
Key Factors to Watch in the Final
A number of factors will decide the winner of this explosive collision as the EFL Cup final draws near. This is a battle full of interest since both teams have special strengths and difficulties for Wembley. These are the important things to monitor before laying your money.
- Liverpool’s Right-Back Crisis: With Alexander-Arnold, Gomez, and Bradley out, Quansah or Jones stepping in could expose a weak flank;
- Newcastle’s Defensive Woes: Conceding at least twice in four of their last six games, the Magpies must tighten up against Liverpool’s lethal attack;
- Alexander Isak’s Form: With four goal contributions in five games against Liverpool, Isak could be Newcastle’s X-factor;
- Liverpool’s Trophy Pedigree: Ten EFL Cup titles and a knack for winning finals give the Reds a psychological edge;
- Newcastle’s Motivation: A 70-year trophy drought fuels their desperation to upset the odds;
- Recent Head-to-Head Dominance: Liverpool’s 17-match unbeaten streak against Newcastle is a daunting stat;
- Fatigue Factor: Liverpool’s midweek PSG clash might leave them less fresh than Newcastle, who last played on Monday;
- Set-Piece Threat: Both teams have tall defenders (Van Dijk, Burn), making corners and free kicks pivotal.
Free Tips on Liverpool vs Newcastle
Looking for an edge in this final? This section distills expert advice tailored to Liverpool vs Newcastle, focusing on practical tips beyond the obvious. Here’s how to sharpen your betting strategy for this matchup.
- Study Player Matchups: Dive into how Newcastle’s pacey wingers (Barnes, Murphy) fare against Liverpool’s makeshift right-back, potentially exploiting a gap left by Alexander-Arnold’s absence;
- Assess Goal Trends: With Liverpool scoring freely and Newcastle’s defense leaking goals, expect a high-scoring affair consider over 2.5 goals as a safe bet;
- Monitor Referee Tendencies: John Brooks’ officiating style could influence card counts; his average suggests a disciplined game, so lean toward under 4.5 cards;
- Evaluate Pitch Conditions: Wembley’s pristine grass suits Liverpool’s possession game, giving them an edge over Newcastle’s counter-attacking style;
- Check Late Team News: Last-minute updates on Konate’s fitness could shift Liverpool’s defensive stability watch for lineup confirmations;
- Consider Motivation Levels: Newcastle’s hunger for a first trophy since 1955 might push them to overperform, making a double-chance bet (Newcastle or draw) tempting.
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Liverpool vs Newcastle Match Prediction 2025
Liverpool enter this EFL Cup final as favorites, and for good reason. Their recent 2-0 win over Newcastle at Anfield, combined with a 17-match unbeaten run against the Magpies, underscores their superiority. The Reds’ attack, led by Salah, Gakpo, and Diaz, has been relentless, averaging over two goals per game in their last five outings. Despite the loss to PSG, their domestic form four wins in five shows they rebound well from setbacks. Newcastle’s defense, however, has been shaky, conceding heavily against top sides like Manchester City and Liverpool earlier this season. The absence of Alexander-Arnold is a blow, but Van Dijk’s presence and Konate’s likely return should steady the backline. Newcastle’s hopes rest on Isak, who’s troubled Liverpool before, yet their injury-hit squad missing Hall, Botman, and Gordon lacks depth to match Liverpool’s firepower. The Liverpool vs Newcastle odds reflect this, likely favoring the Reds around 1.60, with Newcastle drifting above 5.00. Wembley’s big stage favors teams with trophy-winning experience, and Liverpool have that in spades with 10 EFL Cup titles. Newcastle’s grit might keep it close, but Liverpool’s quality should prevail in a 2-1 victory.
Our Prediction: Liverpool 2-1 Newcastle
| Prediction Type | Prediction | Odds |
| Match Result | Liverpool to Win | 1.7 |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes | 1.7 |
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